LIVE 10:26 2nd Apr 26
OKC 36 -15.0 o224.0
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DEN 7.0 o211.0
LAC -7.0 u211.0
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GS -3.5 u205.0
Final Apr 26
CLE 124 -5.0 o212.0
MIA 87 5.0 u212.0
Charlotte 14th EASTERN CONFERENCE19-63
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45

Charlotte @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Charlotte

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Charlotte
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-115

Josh Green has converted 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's sunk overall this season on the road. In comparison to last year's 24.1 rate, Josh Green's playing time has increased this year to 28.6 minutes per game. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup. The faceoff with Andrew Wiggins registers in the 100th percentile with rival starting SFs converting a massive 50.0% of their attempts from downtown since the start of last season when they are on the road. The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Josh Green

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Josh Green has converted 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's sunk overall this season on the road. In comparison to last year's 24.1 rate, Josh Green's playing time has increased this year to 28.6 minutes per game. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup. The faceoff with Andrew Wiggins registers in the 100th percentile with rival starting SFs converting a massive 50.0% of their attempts from downtown since the start of last season when they are on the road. The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Under
-120

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Charlotte is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Charlotte Hornets are away from home (3rd-least in the league).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Charlotte is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the Charlotte Hornets are away from home (3rd-least in the league).

Miles Bridges Points Scored Props • Charlotte

M. Bridges
small forward SF • Charlotte
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Under
-175

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Hornets. The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league). Miles Bridges will likely see a decline in performance for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Miles Bridges

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Hornets. The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league). Miles Bridges will likely see a decline in performance for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-135

Davion Mitchell has sunk 54.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 11.6% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has converted 55.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 13.4% more than he's made over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. The Hornets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Davion Mitchell has sunk 54.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 11.6% higher than he's made over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has converted 55.6% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 13.4% more than he's made over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has averaged 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 5.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. The Hornets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 52.4% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Kel'el Ware comes in at the 88th percentile for 3-point proficiency at home with a terrific 43.1% rate this year. Kel'el Ware has played 30.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 6.9 higher than he's played overall this season at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. The matchup against Mark Williams is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.0 threes per game (100th percentile).

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 52.4% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Kel'el Ware comes in at the 88th percentile for 3-point proficiency at home with a terrific 43.1% rate this year. Kel'el Ware has played 30.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 6.9 higher than he's played overall this season at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. The matchup against Mark Williams is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 3.0 threes per game (100th percentile).

Nick Smith Points Scored Props • Charlotte

N. Smith
shooting guard SG • Charlotte
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Over
-129

Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 14.8 shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 7.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Nick Smith Jr. has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 10.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nick Smith

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 14.8 shots per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Nick Smith Jr. has attempted 7.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Nick Smith Jr. has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 10.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

LaMelo Ball Points Scored Props • Charlotte

L. Ball
point guard PG • Charlotte
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
-117

LaMelo Ball has attempted 21.9 shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 19.2 mark last season. LaMelo Ball has attempted 11.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a significant increase from his 9.0 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

LaMelo Ball

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

LaMelo Ball has attempted 21.9 shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 19.2 mark last season. LaMelo Ball has attempted 11.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a significant increase from his 9.0 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball ranks in the 85th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 32.2 minutes per game while playing on the road this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.9
Best Odds
Over
-125

Tyler Herro has attempted 20.9 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Relative to last year's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 9.6 per game. Tyler Herro has tallied 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. The matchup vs. the Hornets is a favorable one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.5).

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.9
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.9

Tyler Herro has attempted 20.9 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Relative to last year's 8.1 mark, Tyler Herro's shot attempts from downtown have jumped this year to 9.6 per game. Tyler Herro has tallied 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 96th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. The matchup vs. the Hornets is a favorable one for 3-pointers; opposing starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (2.5).

Mark Williams Points Scored Props • Charlotte

M. Williams
center C • Charlotte
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Over
-111

Mark Williams has successfully made 69.8% of his field goals over the last 8 games on the road, 8.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year on the road. The number of three-pointers drained against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (1.4 per game) when he is at home and defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Mark Williams has attempted 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Mark Williams

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Mark Williams has successfully made 69.8% of his field goals over the last 8 games on the road, 8.4% more than he's put through the net in all games this year on the road. The number of three-pointers drained against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (1.4 per game) when he is at home and defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). Mark Williams has attempted 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-128

Duncan Robinson has converted 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. The Hornets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production across the board.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Duncan Robinson has converted 2.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league. Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 5.0 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. The Hornets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should raise opportunities for the Miami Heat. Duncan Robinson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production across the board.

Andrew Wiggins Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Wiggins
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins measures in the 87th percentile for field goal attempts at home, logging 12.5 per game since the start of last season. Andrew Wiggins has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 0.8 fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have scored 22.3 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.

Andrew Wiggins

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Among all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins measures in the 87th percentile for field goal attempts at home, logging 12.5 per game since the start of last season. Andrew Wiggins has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a measly 0.8 fouls per game while playing at home since the start of last season. The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-pointers. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have scored 22.3 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.

DaQuan Jeffries Points Scored Props • Charlotte

D. Jeffries
shooting guard SG • Charlotte
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-109
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.5
Best Odds
Over
-109
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.4 free throws per game this year when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage (9th-most in the league).

DaQuan Jeffries

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.5
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.5

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Hornets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.4 free throws per game this year when the Miami Heat have the home court advantage (9th-most in the league).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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