ATL 6.0 o219.0
ORL -6.0 u219.0
MEM 7.0 o227.5
GS -7.0 u227.5
Phoenix 11th WESTERN CONFERENCE36-46
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Phoenix @ Los Angeles props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaxson Hayes Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Hayes
center C • L.A. Lakers
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Jaxson Hayes has successfully made 79.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 5.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Jaxson Hayes has tallied 26.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year. When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's impressive 48.8% field goal percentage while playing at home rates 6th-best in the league this year. When guarding fellow starting Cs, Nick Richards has been in the 87th percentile with a monstrous 11.0 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. Jaxson Hayes figures to see a spike in production in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Jaxson Hayes

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

Jaxson Hayes has successfully made 79.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 5.8% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Jaxson Hayes has tallied 26.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year. When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's impressive 48.8% field goal percentage while playing at home rates 6th-best in the league this year. When guarding fellow starting Cs, Nick Richards has been in the 87th percentile with a monstrous 11.0 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. Jaxson Hayes figures to see a spike in production in all facets of the game in light of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.5
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Bradley Beal has successfully made 6.7 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Bradley Beal has played 32.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 87th percentile. In terms of offense, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 127.2 points per game as the away team places most in the NBA over the last 5 games. Bradley Beal has successfully made 4.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's converted in all games this season away from home. The matchup against Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Lakers are at home (10th-most in the NBA).

Bradley Beal

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.5

Bradley Beal has successfully made 6.7 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. Bradley Beal has played 32.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 87th percentile. In terms of offense, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 127.2 points per game as the away team places most in the NBA over the last 5 games. Bradley Beal has successfully made 4.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's converted in all games this season away from home. The matchup against Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Lakers are at home (10th-most in the NBA).

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Finney-Smith
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Dorian Finney-Smith has played 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's played over the course of the year. When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's impressive 48.8% field goal percentage while playing at home rates 6th-best in the league this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Suns are the visiting squad (2nd-most in the NBA). Dorian Finney-Smith stands to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Dorian Finney-Smith

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Dorian Finney-Smith has played 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's played over the course of the year. When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's impressive 48.8% field goal percentage while playing at home rates 6th-best in the league this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a whopping 7.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Suns are the visiting squad (2nd-most in the NBA). Dorian Finney-Smith stands to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Nick Richards Points Scored Props • Phoenix

N. Richards
center C • Phoenix
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Nick Richards has attempted 0.0 threes per game this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Nick Richards lands in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year. The clash with Jaxson Hayes measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs nailing just 0.3 shots from downtown per game this year. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Suns.

Nick Richards

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Nick Richards has attempted 0.0 threes per game this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Nick Richards lands in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year. The clash with Jaxson Hayes measures in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs nailing just 0.3 shots from downtown per game this year. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Suns.

Mason Plumlee Points Scored Props • Phoenix

M. Plumlee
center C • Phoenix
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Under
+110
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Under
+110
Projection Rating

Mason Plumlee has attempted 0.1 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Suns. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Mason Plumlee will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

Mason Plumlee

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.2

Mason Plumlee has attempted 0.1 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league. The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Suns. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Mason Plumlee will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The matchup against the Suns is a hard one for threes; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.5). The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Suns have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Austin Reaves

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

The matchup against the Suns is a hard one for threes; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.5). The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Suns have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jarred Vanderbilt Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Vanderbilt
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Jarred Vanderbilt has made 51.1% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jarred Vanderbilt has been on the court for 22.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's impressive 48.8% field goal percentage while playing at home rates 6th-best in the league this year. Jarred Vanderbilt stands to see an increase in production across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jarred Vanderbilt

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Jarred Vanderbilt has made 51.1% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jarred Vanderbilt has been on the court for 22.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's impressive 48.8% field goal percentage while playing at home rates 6th-best in the league this year. Jarred Vanderbilt stands to see an increase in production across the board due to having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Luka Dončić Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. Dončić
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
31.9
Best Odds
Under
-128
Prop
33.5 Points Scored
Projection
31.9
Best Odds
Under
-128
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has sunk a mere 9.2 baskets per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 11.2 rate last year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one; when the Suns are the visiting squad, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (12.2). The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Suns have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Luka Dončić

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31.9
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31.9

Luka Doncic has sunk a mere 9.2 baskets per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 11.2 rate last year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a difficult one; when the Suns are the visiting squad, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (12.2). The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers. The Suns have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers. The Lakers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.4
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

Devin Booker has attempted 7.7 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.1 mark last season. Devin Booker has averaged 37.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In terms of offense, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 127.2 points per game as the away team places most in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Lakers, branding this as a favorable matchup. Devin Booker has made 6.0 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Devin Booker

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.4
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.4

Devin Booker has attempted 7.7 3-pointers per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 6.1 mark last season. Devin Booker has averaged 37.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. In terms of offense, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 127.2 points per game as the away team places most in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Lakers, branding this as a favorable matchup. Devin Booker has made 6.0 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
power forward PF • Phoenix
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
-109
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.3
Best Odds
Under
-109
Projection Rating

The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Suns. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA). Kevin Durant should suffer a drop-off in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.3

The 6th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns. The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Suns. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA). Kevin Durant should suffer a drop-off in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Dalton Knecht Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Knecht
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Dalton Knecht has made 6.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's converted in all games this season. Dalton Knecht has made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Dalton Knecht has played 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 more than he's played over the course of the year. When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's impressive 48.8% field goal percentage while playing at home rates 6th-best in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on three-pointers (8th-best in the NBA) vs. the Suns, resulting in a positive matchup.

Dalton Knecht

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

Dalton Knecht has made 6.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's converted in all games this season. Dalton Knecht has made 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season. Dalton Knecht has played 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.4 more than he's played over the course of the year. When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's impressive 48.8% field goal percentage while playing at home rates 6th-best in the league this year. This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on three-pointers (8th-best in the NBA) vs. the Suns, resulting in a positive matchup.

Ryan Dunn Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. Dunn
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

In terms of offense, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 127.2 points per game as the away team places most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Lakers is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Ryan Dunn

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.8

In terms of offense, the Phoenix Suns's exceptional 127.2 points per game as the away team places most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Lakers is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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