Final Apr 27
NY 94 2.5 o216.0
DET 93 -2.5 u216.0
Final Apr 27
LAL 113 2.5 o209.0
MIN 116 -2.5 u209.0
Final Apr 27
BOS 107 -7.5 o199.0
ORL 98 7.5 u199.0
Final Apr 27
IND 129 4.0 o226.5
MIL 103 -4.0 u226.5
Utah 15th WESTERN CONFERENCE17-65
Minnesota 6th WESTERN CONFERENCE49-33

Utah @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Naz Reid has successfully made 7.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.9 higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing at home. Naz Reid has sunk 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while at home. Naz Reid has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Naz Reid

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Naz Reid has successfully made 7.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.9 higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing at home. Naz Reid has sunk 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while at home. Naz Reid has averaged 35.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Brice Sensabaugh Points Scored Props • Utah

B. Sensabaugh
small forward SF • Utah
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Brice Sensabaugh has sunk 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Brice Sensabaugh has played 24.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's played overall this season. The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Brice Sensabaugh has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 8.7% more than he's made overall this year.

Brice Sensabaugh

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.7

Brice Sensabaugh has sunk 3.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Brice Sensabaugh has played 24.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 higher than he's played overall this season. The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Brice Sensabaugh has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 8.7% more than he's made overall this year.

Kyle Filipowski Points Scored Props • Utah

K. Filipowski
center C • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Kyle Filipowski has made 63.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 16.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing on the road. Kyle Filipowski has sunk 42.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 9.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Kyle Filipowski has tallied 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Filipowski

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Kyle Filipowski has made 63.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 16.5% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year when playing on the road. Kyle Filipowski has sunk 42.7% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 9.4% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Kyle Filipowski has tallied 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this year. The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Donte DiVincenzo Points Scored Props • Minnesota

D. DiVincenzo
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Donte DiVincenzo has notched 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 6.3 higher than he's notched overall this season at home. Donte DiVincenzo has converted 4.0 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three overall this season. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Donte DiVincenzo will likely see a rise in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Donte DiVincenzo

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.5

Donte DiVincenzo has notched 19.6 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 6.3 higher than he's notched overall this season at home. Donte DiVincenzo has converted 4.0 threes per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from three overall this season. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Donte DiVincenzo will likely see a rise in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Walker Kessler Points Scored Props • Utah

W. Kessler
center C • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Walker Kessler has sunk a terrific 74.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 68.5 mark last season. Walker Kessler has averaged 30.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Walker Kessler

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Walker Kessler has sunk a terrific 74.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, quite a bit more than his 68.5 mark last season. Walker Kessler has averaged 30.2 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. Randle
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-115

Julius Randle has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 2.4 3-pointers per game (most in the league) against the Utah Jazz, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Jazz may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league).

Julius Randle

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Julius Randle has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 2.4 3-pointers per game (most in the league) against the Utah Jazz, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The matchup vs. the Jazz may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (3rd-most in the league).

Cody Williams Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Williams
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.2
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

In terms of field goals, the Jazz's poor 40.4 drained baskets per game rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goals (3rd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, designating this as a tough matchup. The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA). Cody Williams will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Cody Williams

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.2
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.2

In terms of field goals, the Jazz's poor 40.4 drained baskets per game rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 40.6% on field goals (3rd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, designating this as a tough matchup. The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA). Cody Williams will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

Isaiah Collier Points Scored Props • Utah

I. Collier
point guard PG • Utah
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.4
Best Odds
Under
+100
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Isaiah Collier places in the 13th percentile for 3-point ability while playing on the road with a poor 17.6% rate this year. Isaiah Collier has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. In terms of field goals, the Jazz's poor 40.4 drained baskets per game rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).

Isaiah Collier

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.4

Among all players in the NBA, Isaiah Collier places in the 13th percentile for 3-point ability while playing on the road with a poor 17.6% rate this year. Isaiah Collier has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 0.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. In terms of field goals, the Jazz's poor 40.4 drained baskets per game rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves).

Collin Sexton Points Scored Props • Utah

C. Sexton
shooting guard SG • Utah
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.3
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Collin Sexton has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile). In terms of field goals, the Jazz's poor 40.4 drained baskets per game rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.3). The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). Collin Sexton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player production across the board.

Collin Sexton

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.3

Collin Sexton has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile). In terms of field goals, the Jazz's poor 40.4 drained baskets per game rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year. The matchup against Minnesota is a tough one for 3-pointers; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.3). The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Timberwolves). Collin Sexton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player production across the board.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.1
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has made 66.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 23.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this year with the home court advantage. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Mike Conley will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost stat production for all stats.

Mike Conley

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.1
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.1

Mike Conley has made 66.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 23.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this year with the home court advantage. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 8.7% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Mike Conley will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boost stat production for all stats.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
27
Best Odds
Over
-124

Anthony Edwards has attempted 20.4 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league. Anthony Edwards has made a terrific 4.1 threes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.5 rate last year. Anthony Edwards has averaged 36.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.0 3-point attempts per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz, branding this as a positive matchup. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27

Anthony Edwards has attempted 20.4 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league. Anthony Edwards has made a terrific 4.1 threes per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 2.5 rate last year. Anthony Edwards has averaged 36.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 98th percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.0 3-point attempts per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Jazz, branding this as a positive matchup. The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).

Lauri Markkanen Points Scored Props • Utah

L. Markkanen
power forward PF • Utah
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-113
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
16.7
Best Odds
Over
-113
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen lands in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.7 minutes per game this year. The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Lauri Markkanen has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Lauri Markkanen

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.7
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.7

Out of all players in the NBA, Lauri Markkanen lands in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 31.7 minutes per game this year. The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. The Jazz have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Lauri Markkanen has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 15.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Rudy Gobert has sunk 6.3 baskets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Walker Kessler is a strong one for treys; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have finished with a massive 1.0 3-pointers per game (93rd percentile). The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Rudy Gobert has sunk 6.3 baskets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing at home. Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Walker Kessler is a strong one for treys; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have finished with a massive 1.0 3-pointers per game (93rd percentile). The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 7.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's made overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has made 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels places in the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.6 minutes per game playing at home this year. The matchup vs. the Jazz is a good one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have tallied the most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 7.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's made overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has made 2.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels places in the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.6 minutes per game playing at home this year. The matchup vs. the Jazz is a good one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have tallied the most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this game from being pitted against the quickest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Utah Jazz).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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