Houston @ Miami props

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 51.7% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games at home, 12.0% higher than he's converted from three in all games this season playing at home. As it relates to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.1% rate of converted threes while at home places 5th-most in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 2.4 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a favorable matchup. Jaime Jaquez Jr. ought to see an increase in performance across the board due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

Fred VanVleet has converted 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year when playing away from home. Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a good matchup for offensive output. The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Fred VanVleet has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 14.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 3.5 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted over the course of the season playing at home. As it relates to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.1% rate of converted threes while at home places 5th-most in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 2.4 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, making this a favorable matchup. Duncan Robinson has failed to make 0.1 foul shot attempts per game while at home this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this standard: 21st percentile for misses at home. Duncan Robinson will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

Out of all players in the league, Kel'el Ware ranks in the 18th percentile for 3-point prowess with a lackluster 25.4% rate this year. Kel'el Ware has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season. The matchup vs. Alperen Sengun is a difficult one; he has given up a mere 11.1 points per game when facing fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Heat. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-least up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 51.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 8.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Davion Mitchell has made 42.0% of his 3-pointers this year, putting him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league. Davion Mitchell has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. As it relates to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.1% rate of converted threes while at home places 5th-most in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 45.5% on shots from the field (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, designating this as a positive matchup.

Tari Eason has successfully made 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's made over the course of the year. Tari Eason has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Tari Eason has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on the road.

Andrew Wiggins has converted 7.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net overall this year. Andrew Wiggins has sunk a terrific 2.1 3-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.3 mark last year. Among all players in the league, Andrew Wiggins slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game this year. As it relates to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.1% rate of converted threes while at home places 5th-most in the league over the last 25 games. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 21.7% on three-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Rockets, making this a difficult matchup. The least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Heat. The Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-least up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Rockets). The Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.3 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 8.1 mark last season. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 35.5 minutes per game this year. As it relates to three-pointers, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.1% rate of converted threes while at home places 5th-most in the league over the last 25 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 45.5% on shots from the field (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, designating this as a positive matchup. Tyler Herro has made a whopping 3.6 foul shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.3 mark last year.

Amen Thompson has converted 7.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Amen Thompson has played 37.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.6 more than he's played in all games this season. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists). Amen Thompson has attempted 5.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

Dillon Brooks has attempted 14.1 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks lands in the 91st percentile for three-pointers scored, totaling 2.5 per game this year. Dillon Brooks has averaged 32.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SFs have tallied the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). The faceoff with Andrew Wiggins comes in at the 100th percentile with the other team's starting SFs draining a monstrous 51.2% of their shots from behind the three-point arc this year when they are playing on the road.

Alperen Sengun has sunk 10.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 3.0 higher than he's made in all games this season when playing on the road. Alperen Sengun has converted 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 25.6% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season. Alperen Sengun has played 31.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 84th percentile. The rate of three-pointers drained against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (43.1%) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jalen Green has totaled 27.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's totaled overall this season. Jalen Green has attempted 11.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Jalen Green has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith has gone over 10.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.