LIVE 03:40 4th Apr 23
GS 87 4.0 o204.5
HOU 104 -4.0 u204.5
Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE37-45
Philadelphia 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE24-58

Miami @ Philadelphia picks

Wells Fargo Center

MIA vs PHI Picks

NBA Picks
Total Assists
Q. Grimes u4.5 Total Assists
Projection 3.6 (Under)
Best Odds
u4.5 +125 bet365
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -155
4.5 +125
4.5 -130
4.5 -105
4.5 -141
4.5 +106
4.5 -125
4.5 -109
4.5 -135
4.5 +105
4.5 -130
4.5 +102

The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the slowest pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Points Scored
Q. Grimes u23.5 Points Scored
Projection 18.7 (Under)
Best Odds
u23.5 -125 draftkings
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
23.5 -105
23.5 -125
22.5 -122
22.5 -108
23.5 -103
23.5 -133
23.5 -105
23.5 -125
22.5 -128
22.5 -102

The Philadelphia 76ers will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the slowest pace team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The Philadelphia 76ers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Points Scored
A. Bona o6.5 Points Scored
Projection 9.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o6.5 -130 fanduel
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -120
7.5 -114
7.5 -115
7.5 -115
6.5 -130
6.5 +102

Among all players in the NBA, Adem Bona ranks in the 97th percentile for scoring efficiency when playing at home with an outstanding 67.5% rate this year. The showdown with Kel'el Ware ranks in the 93rd percentile with the opposition's starting Cs sinking an enormous 41.3% of their shots from downtown this year. The 76ers have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 6 games while on their home court. Adem Bona has successfully made 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net overall this year. When it comes to getting to the foul line, the 76ers's exceptional 22.7 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the 8th-best in the NBA this year.

Points Scored
J. Butler o11.5 Points Scored
Projection 13.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o11.5 -110 bet_rivers_co
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
11.5 -125
11.5 -110
11.5 -110
11.5 -121
11.5 -114
11.5 -120
11.5 -115
11.5 -115
11.5 -113
11.5 -113

Jared Butler has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jared Butler has played 29.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 13.5 more than he's played in all games this year. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have notched 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance. The 76ers have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 6 games while on their home court. Jared Butler has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

3-Pointers Made
T. Herro o2.5 3-Pointers Made
Projection 3.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o2.5 -120 bet365
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
2.5 -120
2.5 -110
2.5 -160
2.5 +120
2.5 -134
2.5 +100
2.5 -154
2.5 +112
2.5 -145
2.5 +114
2.5 -156
2.5 +122

Tyler Herro has made 48.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's made overall this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 9.0 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. Tyler Herro has played 35.4 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. In regard to 3-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing away from home over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The matchup against the Philadelphia 76ers is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting PGs have shot for the 9th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (37.7%).

Points Scored
R. Council o10.5 Points Scored
Projection 11.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o10.5 +100 betmgm
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
10.5 +100
10.5 -130
11.5 -113
11.5 -118
10.5 -137
10.5 +100
11.5 -105
11.5 -125
11.5 +100
11.5 -128

Ricky Council IV has attempted 5.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Ricky Council IV has been on the court for 28.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 12.1 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for threes; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (43.4%). The 76ers have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 6 games while on their home court. Ricky Council IV has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Total Rebounds
T. Herro o4.5 Total Rebounds
Projection 5.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 -105 betmgm
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
4.5 -105
4.5 -130
4.5 -132
4.5 +100
4.5 -143
4.5 +104
4.5 -135
4.5 +105
4.5 -136
4.5 +106

Tyler Herro has tallied 4.8 defensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 89th percentile. Tyler Herro has played 35.4 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 6 games at home, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat.

Points Scored
H. Highsmith o7.5 Points Scored
Projection 8.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 +100 fanduel
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
7.5 -109
7.5 -125
7.5 -110
7.5 -120
7.5 +100
7.5 -128

Haywood Highsmith has tallied 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. In regard to 3-point attempts, the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing away from home over the last 25 games has been the Heat. The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 6 games at home, which ought to boost possessions for the Miami Heat. Haywood Highsmith has successfully made 93.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 18.8% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Total Assists
J. Butler o5.5 Total Assists
Projection 6.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o5.5 +115 betmgm
Projection updated: 25 days ago
EV Model Rating
Books
Over
Under
5.5 -105
5.5 -125
5.5 +115
5.5 -155
5.5 +108
5.5 -147
5.5 +110
5.5 -140
5.5 +112
5.5 -142

Jared Butler has totaled 4.9 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's totaled overall this year. Jared Butler has played 29.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 13.5 more than he's played in all games this year. The 76ers have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 6 games while on their home court. Jared Butler will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production for all stats.

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