LIVE Halftime Apr 6
LAL 78 9.0 o230.5
OKC 56 -9.0 u230.5
LIVE Halftime Apr 6
TOR 61 -2.5 o217.5
BK 46 2.5 u217.5
SA 4.0 o227.0
POR -4.0 u227.0
SAC 9.5 o236.5
CLE -9.5 u236.5
UTA 12.5 o245.0
ATL -12.5 u245.0
WAS 20.5 o228.5
BOS -20.5 u228.5
PHO 9.0 o225.0
NY -9.0 u225.0
IND 6.5 o240.5
DEN -6.5 u240.5
HOU 5.0 o225.0
GS -5.0 u225.0
MIL -6.5 o218.5
NO 6.5 u218.5
Final Apr 6
CHI 131 -8.0 o230.5
CHA 117 8.0 u230.5
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE35-43
Boston 2nd EASTERN CONFERENCE57-20

Miami @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Under
-121
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Under
-121
Projection Rating

As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has converted 67.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 12.9% more than he's sunk overall this season. Kel'el Ware has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing on the road, 7.8 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Kel'el Ware has converted 67.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 12.9% more than he's sunk overall this season. Kel'el Ware has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing on the road, 7.8 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Pelle Larsson Points Scored Props • Miami

P. Larsson
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Pelle Larsson has sunk 53.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 10.2% higher than he's made in all games this year without the home court advantage. Pelle Larsson has made 55.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year away from home. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Pelle Larsson

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Pelle Larsson has sunk 53.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 10.2% higher than he's made in all games this year without the home court advantage. Pelle Larsson has made 55.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year away from home. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 51.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.7% more than he's made over the course of the year. Davion Mitchell has sunk 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 51.8% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.7% more than he's made over the course of the year. Davion Mitchell has sunk 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has averaged 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

Alec Burks has compiled 11.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's compiled overall this year. Alec Burks has converted 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from three in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Alec Burks comes in at the 18th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 0.9 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Boston is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

Alec Burks

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.5

Alec Burks has compiled 11.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's compiled overall this year. Alec Burks has converted 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's made from three in all games this year. Out of all players in the league, Alec Burks comes in at the 18th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 0.9 fouls per game while playing away from home this year. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Boston is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Under
-135
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Under
-135
Projection Rating

As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
22.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has compiled 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's compiled overall this year. Tyler Herro has averaged 35.3 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 threes per game (highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, making this a favorable matchup. Tyler Herro has made 98.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 13.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

Tyler Herro has compiled 28.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's compiled overall this year. Tyler Herro has averaged 35.3 minutes per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 3.0 threes per game (highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, making this a favorable matchup. Tyler Herro has made 98.4% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 13.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Over
-105

Relative to last year's 9.0 clip, Payton Pritchard's points per game have spiked this year to 14.0. Payton Pritchard has sunk a whopping 3.3 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.7 mark last year. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard will likely see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

Relative to last year's 9.0 clip, Payton Pritchard's points per game have spiked this year to 14.0. Payton Pritchard has sunk a whopping 3.3 3-pointers per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.7 mark last year. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard will likely see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
center C • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

Kristaps Porzingis has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Ware is playing on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.1 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Kristaps Porzingis has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year. As it relates to shooting, the Boston Celtics's lackluster 45.8% field goal rate while on their home court comes in as the 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Boston Celtics will likely see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat). The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Ware is playing on the road and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.1 free throws per game (3rd percentile).

Sam Hauser Points Scored Props • Boston

S. Hauser
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-103
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-103
Projection Rating

Sam Hauser has sunk 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Sam Hauser has tallied 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a strong matchup. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 90.9% mark, Sam Hauser's free-throw efficiency has increased this year to 100.0%.

Sam Hauser

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Sam Hauser has sunk 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season. Sam Hauser has tallied 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a strong matchup. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Compared to last year's 90.9% mark, Sam Hauser's free-throw efficiency has increased this year to 100.0%.

Luke Kornet Points Scored Props • Boston

L. Kornet
center C • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The rate of 3-point shots sunk against Kel'el Ware has been remarkably high (40.5%) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Luke Kornet will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Luke Kornet

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

The rate of 3-point shots sunk against Kel'el Ware has been remarkably high (40.5%) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Luke Kornet will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance in all facets of the game.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
15.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 84th percentile, tallying a monstrous 16.5 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 99th percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 3.5 per game this year. Derrick White has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 84th percentile, tallying a monstrous 16.5 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Derrick White measures in the 99th percentile for three-pointers scored, tallying 3.5 per game this year. Derrick White has averaged 33.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
17.5 Points Scored
Projection
17.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo has tallied 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 3.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. Bam Adebayo has sunk 58.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 28.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.7
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.7

Bam Adebayo has tallied 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 3.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. Bam Adebayo has sunk 58.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 28.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games. Bam Adebayo has attempted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
25.5 Points Scored
Projection
25.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jayson Tatum has totaled 34.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.4 higher than he's totaled in all games this season at home. In comparison to last year's 2.9 rate, Jayson Tatum's three-point shots hit have risen this year to 3.5 per game. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.7

Jayson Tatum has totaled 34.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 7.4 higher than he's totaled in all games this season at home. In comparison to last year's 2.9 rate, Jayson Tatum's three-point shots hit have risen this year to 3.5 per game. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.4 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. The Celtics rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Neemias Queta Points Scored Props • Boston

N. Queta
center C • Boston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.90
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
+105
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.90
Best Odds
Over
-140
Under
+105

Neemias Queta has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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