Orlando @ Washington props

Bub Carrington has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (83rd percentile). The Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league at home with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's converted over the course of the season while playing away from home. Out of all players in the NBA, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope comes in at the 80th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 30.1 minutes per game this year. The Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Orlando Magic. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been terrific at drawing fouls: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, tallying 23.3 free throws per game.

Jordan Poole has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile). This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.9 three attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, branding this as a hard matchup. The Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league at home with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1). The Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the most sluggish tempo road team in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the league at home with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Justin Champagnie has successfully made a lowly 66.4% of his foul shots this season, significantly lower than his 80.0 mark last season. The matchup against Orlando may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are the visiting squad (3rd-least in the NBA).

Relative to last season's 15.2 rate, Franz Wagner's shots taken have risen this season to 19.4 per game. Franz Wagner has tallied 33.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile. This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 50.2% on field goal attempts (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Wizards, branding this as a positive matchup. The Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Orlando Magic. Among all players in the league, Franz Wagner ranks in the 96th percentile for free throws hit, tallying a colossal 4.6 per game this year.

The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA as the away team this year. The Magic check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Paolo Banchero will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance for all stats.

Wendell Carter Jr. has made 55.3% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's sunk overall this season. The number of points totaled against Alex Sarr has been very high (17.3 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Wizards have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Orlando Magic. As a team, the Orlando Magic have been terrific at drawing fouls: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, tallying 23.3 free throws per game.

AJ Johnson has attempted 11.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. AJ Johnson has tallied 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 17.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. Out of all players in the NBA, AJ Johnson ranks in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a mere 1.1 fouls per game this year. This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have posted 18.9 points per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Magic, creating a positive matchup for offensive productivity. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.

Alex Sarr has gone over 15.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Cory Joseph has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Cole Anthony has gone over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Anthony Black has gone over 9.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.