Memphis @ Miami picks

Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 29.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 78th percentile. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank best in in the NBA away from home with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Wells comes in at the 78th percentile for 3-point attempts, registering 5.0 per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. The rate of three-point shots hit against Pelle Larsson has been remarkably high (44.2%) when he is playing at home and defending opposing starting SFs this year (100th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank best in in the NBA away from home with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Ja Morant has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road. The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Ja Morant will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player performance across the board.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama comes in at the 76th percentile for shots sunk on the road, registering an enormous 4.8 per game this year. Santi Aldama has attempted 6.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank best in in the NBA away from home with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Santi Aldama has attempted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.