Memphis @ Miami props

Ja Morant has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.0 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road. The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Ja Morant will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player performance across the board.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Wells comes in at the 78th percentile for 3-point attempts, registering 5.0 per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. The rate of three-point shots hit against Pelle Larsson has been remarkably high (44.2%) when he is playing at home and defending opposing starting SFs this year (100th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank best in in the NBA away from home with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Among all players in the NBA, Santi Aldama comes in at the 76th percentile for shots sunk on the road, registering an enormous 4.8 per game this year. Santi Aldama has attempted 6.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank best in in the NBA away from home with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Santi Aldama has attempted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year. The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kel'el Ware has sunk 63.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 9.6% more than he's converted overall this season. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 28.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. When it comes to three-pointers, the Heat's impressive 48.8% rate of successful threes measures as the highest in the league over the last 5 games. The matchup against Zach Edey is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when Edey is on the visiting team opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 10.7 shots made from the field per game (87th percentile). The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. registers in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.5 fouls per game this year. The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). Compared to last season's 5.1 mark, Jaren Jackson Jr.'s free throws drained have dropped this season to 4.3 per game. Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Jaren Jackson Jr. will likely suffer a reduction in performance in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Alec Burks has logged 12.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's logged over the course of the year. Alec Burks has successfully made 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, Alec Burks measures in the 12th percentile for personal fouls, registering a measly 0.7 fouls per game this year. When it comes to three-pointers, the Heat's impressive 48.8% rate of successful threes measures as the highest in the league over the last 5 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Tyler Herro has registered 27.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 more than he's registered over the course of the year. Tyler Herro has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile. When it comes to three-pointers, the Heat's impressive 48.8% rate of successful threes measures as the highest in the league over the last 5 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Heat. Tyler Herro has successfully made 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Davion Mitchell has made 63.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 9.2% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season playing at home. Davion Mitchell has converted 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this year. Davion Mitchell has tallied 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year. When it comes to three-pointers, the Heat's impressive 48.8% rate of successful threes measures as the highest in the league over the last 5 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

Desmond Bane has successfully made 3.0 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Desmond Bane registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 31.7 minutes per game this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a strong matchup. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league this year. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank best in in the NBA away from home with 14.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Zach Edey has been called for 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year. The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the slowest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Heat). The matchup with Kel'el Ware in terms of getting to the charity stripe comes in at the 13th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a mere 2.3 foul shots per game this year. Zach Edey will likely suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Pelle Larsson has sunk 63.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 25.6% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. When it comes to three-pointers, the Heat's impressive 48.8% rate of successful threes measures as the highest in the league over the last 5 games. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Heat. Pelle Larsson has successfully made 90.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 14.8% higher than he's made over the course of the season while on his home court. Pelle Larsson will likely see a spike in production across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Kyle Anderson has gone over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Luke Kennard has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Scotty Pippen Jr. has gone over 9.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.