Final Apr 23
ORL 100 10.0 o196.0
BOS 109 -10.0 u196.0
Final Apr 23
MIA 112 12.0 o213.0
CLE 121 -12.0 u213.0
Final Apr 23
GS 94 4.0 o204.5
HOU 109 -4.0 u204.5
Golden State 7th WESTERN CONFERENCE48-33
Los Angeles 3rd WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32

Golden State @ Los Angeles props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dorian Finney-Smith Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

D. Finney-Smith
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds
Over
+105

Dorian Finney-Smith has made 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Dorian Finney-Smith has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 32.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game. Dorian Finney-Smith ought to see a rise in production for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Dorian Finney-Smith

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Dorian Finney-Smith has made 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made over the course of the year. Dorian Finney-Smith has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 32.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year. As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game. Dorian Finney-Smith ought to see a rise in production for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Rui Hachimura Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

R. Hachimura
power forward PF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Rui Hachimura has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Rui Hachimura has tallied a terrific 31.5 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 26.9 minutes per game last season. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (14.4). As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Rui Hachimura

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

Rui Hachimura has attempted 5.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Rui Hachimura has tallied a terrific 31.5 minutes per game this season, significantly higher than his 26.9 minutes per game last season. The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (14.4). As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.6
Best Odds
Over
+100

Moses Moody has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Moses Moody has averaged 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Lakers, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has successfully made 95.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Moses Moody

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.6
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.6

Moses Moody has attempted 6.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. Moses Moody has averaged 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Lakers, identifying this as a strong matchup. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Moses Moody has successfully made 95.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 14.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Jaxson Hayes Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

J. Hayes
center C • L.A. Lakers
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
-130

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaxson Hayes lands in the 98th percentile for shooting efficiency on his home court with an impressive 74.0% rate this year. As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game. Jaxson Hayes will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production in all stat categories.

Jaxson Hayes

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaxson Hayes lands in the 98th percentile for shooting efficiency on his home court with an impressive 74.0% rate this year. As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game. Jaxson Hayes will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to boost player production in all stat categories.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-120

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 13.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Brandin Podziemski has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Brandin Podziemski has attempted 13.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 3.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year. Brandin Podziemski has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 17 games when they are away from home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 free throws per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

LeBron James Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. James
small forward SF • L.A. Lakers
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

LeBron James has converted 9.3 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, LeBron James places in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a good one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). LeBron James has successfully made 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 more than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home. As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game.

LeBron James

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.4
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.4

LeBron James has converted 9.3 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, LeBron James places in the 96th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a good one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). LeBron James has successfully made 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.8 more than he's converted in all games this year while playing at home. As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game.

Austin Reaves Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

A. Reaves
shooting guard SG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-110

Austin Reaves has sunk 9.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Austin Reaves has tallied 34.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. Austin Reaves has sunk 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk overall this year. As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Austin Reaves

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Austin Reaves has sunk 9.0 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Austin Reaves has tallied 34.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. Austin Reaves has sunk 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk overall this year. As a team, the Lakers have been among the best at getting to the charity stripe playing at home: 3rd-best in the NBA this year, averaging 24.2 free throws per game. This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • L.A. Lakers

L. Doncic
point guard PG • L.A. Lakers
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Prop
28.5 Points Scored
Projection
28.4
Best Odds
Under
-105
Projection Rating

Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 20.6 field goals per game this year, quite a bit less than his 23.4 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year. The 8th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the league at home with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.4
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.4

Luka Doncic has attempted a mere 20.6 field goals per game this year, quite a bit less than his 23.4 rate last year. Among all players in the NBA, Luka Doncic places in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year. The 8th-most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers. Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 4thworst in in the league at home with just 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 11.7 shots from the field per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Jonathan Kuminga has attempted 11.7 shots from the field per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Butler
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Prop
18.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-118
Projection Rating

Jimmy Butler has averaged 31.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Jimmy Butler has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the league (22nd percentile). This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, resulting in a good matchup. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Jimmy Butler has made 6.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing away from home.

Jimmy Butler

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Jimmy Butler has averaged 31.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. Jimmy Butler has accumulated 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-prone players in the league (22nd percentile). This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, resulting in a good matchup. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Jimmy Butler has made 6.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing away from home.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds
Over
-118

Draymond Green has tallied 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 28.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Draymond Green has tallied 29.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Draymond Green has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 28.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-160

Stephen Curry has logged 30.9 points per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 4.9 higher than he's logged overall this year on the road. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 86th percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Lakers, marking this as a strong matchup. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has made 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Stephen Curry has logged 30.9 points per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 4.9 higher than he's logged overall this year on the road. Stephen Curry has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 86th percentile. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Lakers, marking this as a strong matchup. The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists). Stephen Curry has made 5.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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