Final Apr 5
NY 121 -1.0 o236.0
ATL 105 1.0 u236.0
Final Apr 5
MIN 114 -16.5 o224.5
PHI 109 16.5 u224.5
Final Apr 5
MEM 109 -1.5 o239.0
DET 103 1.5 u239.0
Final OT Apr 5
MIL 121 1.0 o210.0
MIA 115 -1.0 u210.0
Final Apr 5
DAL 104 9.5 o221.0
LAC 135 -9.5 u221.0
Houston 2nd WESTERN CONFERENCE51-27
Golden State 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE46-31

Houston @ Golden State props

Chase Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Fred VanVleet Points Scored Props • Houston

F. VanVleet
point guard PG • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.3
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 95th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, averaging 7.7 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 6th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Fred VanVleet

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.3
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.3

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet rates in the 95th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, averaging 7.7 per game this year. Fred VanVleet has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 96th percentile. The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 6th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.4%). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Moses Moody Points Scored Props • Golden State

M. Moody
small forward SF • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Moses Moody has made 54.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Moses Moody has been on the court for 28.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.4 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Moses Moody

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Moses Moody has made 54.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Moses Moody has been on the court for 28.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.4 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The matchup vs. Houston is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Dillon Brooks Points Scored Props • Houston

D. Brooks
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 47.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 5.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 32.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for threes; opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Dillon Brooks

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Dillon Brooks has successfully made 47.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 5.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Among all players in the NBA, Dillon Brooks registers in the 86th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 32.0 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for threes; opposing starting SFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (47.0%). The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Amen Thompson Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Thompson
small forward SF • Houston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

When it comes to offense, the Rockets's subpar 45.4% field goal rate settles in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making it tough to get to the foul line. Amen Thompson is expected to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Amen Thompson

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

When it comes to offense, the Rockets's subpar 45.4% field goal rate settles in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors, making it tough to get to the foul line. Amen Thompson is expected to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Alperen Sengun Points Scored Props • Houston

A. Sengun
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
19.5 Points Scored
Projection
19
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 31.7% rate, Alperen Sengun's three-point proficiency has tailed off this season to 23.1%. When it comes to offense, the Rockets's subpar 45.4% field goal rate settles in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Draymond Green rates in the 7th percentile with a mere 1.6 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Draymond Green has been remarkably low this year (2.6 free throws per game: 25th percentile). Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

Alperen Sengun

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19

In comparison to last season's 31.7% rate, Alperen Sengun's three-point proficiency has tailed off this season to 23.1%. When it comes to offense, the Rockets's subpar 45.4% field goal rate settles in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year. When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Draymond Green rates in the 7th percentile with a mere 1.6 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year. The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Draymond Green has been remarkably low this year (2.6 free throws per game: 25th percentile). Alperen Sengun will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

Draymond Green Points Scored Props • Golden State

D. Green
center C • Golden State
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.3
Best Odds
Under
-118
Projection Rating

Draymond Green has shot and missed 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's missed from downtown over the course of the year while at home. Draymond Green has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. As it relates to scoring, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 112.7 points per game while at home settles in as the 10th-weakest in the league this year. The clash with Alperen Sengun comes in at the 4th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs logging only 10.9 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green measures in the 23rd percentile for foul-shot performance with a bad 68.3% rate this year.

Draymond Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.3

Draymond Green has shot and missed 4.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's missed from downtown over the course of the year while at home. Draymond Green has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. As it relates to scoring, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 112.7 points per game while at home settles in as the 10th-weakest in the league this year. The clash with Alperen Sengun comes in at the 4th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs logging only 10.9 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Draymond Green measures in the 23rd percentile for foul-shot performance with a bad 68.3% rate this year.

Jalen Green Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Green
shooting guard SG • Houston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
20.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Jalen Green has successfully made 46.4% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green lands in the 95th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc when playing on the road, tallying 7.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.5 minutes per game this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jalen Green

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

Jalen Green has successfully made 46.4% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 13.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Green lands in the 95th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc when playing on the road, tallying 7.9 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Jalen Green measures in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 33.5 minutes per game this year. The 9th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jonathan Kuminga Points Scored Props • Golden State

J. Kuminga
power forward PF • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-102
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-102
Projection Rating

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 83rd percentile for shots, registering 12.4 per game this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jonathan Kuminga will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Jonathan Kuminga

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Among all players in the league, Jonathan Kuminga rates in the 83rd percentile for shots, registering 12.4 per game this year. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. Jonathan Kuminga will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Brandin Podziemski Points Scored Props • Golden State

B. Podziemski
shooting guard SG • Golden State
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 7.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's made in all games this year. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. Brandin Podziemski has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's played overall this season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Brandin Podziemski

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 7.4 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's made in all games this year. Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year. Brandin Podziemski has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's played overall this season. The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Stephen Curry Points Scored Props • Golden State

S. Curry
point guard PG • Golden State
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.8
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

Stephen Curry has put up 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's put up over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.5 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup against Houston is a strong one for field goals; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.5%). The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Stephen Curry

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.8
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.8

Stephen Curry has put up 32.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's put up over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Stephen Curry registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.5 minutes per game while at home this year. The matchup against Houston is a strong one for field goals; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 9th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.5%). The Golden State Warriors are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 9th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets). Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Scored Props • Houston

J. Smith Jr.
power forward PF • Houston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.18
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-114
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
12.18
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-114

Jabari Smith Jr. has gone over 10.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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