SAC 7.0 o230.5
DET -7.0 u230.5
PHI 14.5 o214.0
MIA -14.5 u214.0
Philadelphia 13th EASTERN CONFERENCE23-55
Miami 10th EASTERN CONFERENCE35-43

Philadelphia @ Miami props

Kaseya Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

B. Adebayo
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year. The Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the 76ers).

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year. The Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the 76ers).

Kel'el Ware Points Scored Props • Miami

K. Ware
center C • Miami
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
-122
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Under
-122
Projection Rating

Kel'el Ware has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year. The Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the 76ers).

Kel'el Ware

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Kel'el Ware has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season. The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year. The Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the 76ers).

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Under
-114
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year. The Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the 76ers).

Alec Burks

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year. The Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the 76ers).

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Prop
23.5 Points Scored
Projection
20.6
Best Odds
Under
-125
Projection Rating

The 7th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the most sluggish pace home team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA while on the road with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. Quentin Grimes figures to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.6

The 7th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the 76ers. The Philadelphia 76ers are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the most sluggish pace home team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA while on the road with only 9.3 offensive boards per game this year. Quentin Grimes figures to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

Jared Butler Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

J. Butler
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Jared Butler has successfully made 52.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Jared Butler has averaged 28.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 12.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, making this a favorable matchup for offensive production. Jared Butler has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year away from his home court. As a team, the 76ers have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe while playing away from home: 4th-best in the NBA this year, totaling 23.0 free throw attempts per game.

Jared Butler

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Jared Butler has successfully made 52.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season. Jared Butler has averaged 28.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 12.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have logged 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, making this a favorable matchup for offensive production. Jared Butler has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year away from his home court. As a team, the 76ers have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe while playing away from home: 4th-best in the NBA this year, totaling 23.0 free throw attempts per game.

Adem Bona Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

A. Bona
center C • Philadelphia
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Adem Bona has made 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Adem Bona has tallied 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a strong one for shots from the field; when Ware is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 61.3% of their field goal attempts (90th percentile). As a team, the 76ers have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe while playing away from home: 4th-best in the NBA this year, totaling 23.0 free throw attempts per game.

Adem Bona

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Adem Bona has made 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season. Adem Bona has tallied 29.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 15.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a strong one for shots from the field; when Ware is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a whopping 61.3% of their field goal attempts (90th percentile). As a team, the 76ers have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe while playing away from home: 4th-best in the NBA this year, totaling 23.0 free throw attempts per game.

Lonnie Walker IV Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

L. Walker IV
shooting guard SG • Philadelphia
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
14.1
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Lonnie Walker IV has attempted 11.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Lonnie Walker IV has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. Lonnie Walker IV has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 24th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a positive matchup. The rate of shots from downtown converted against Andrew Wiggins has been very high (50.5%) when he is at home and guarding fellow starting SFs this year (100th percentile).

Lonnie Walker IV

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.1
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.1

Lonnie Walker IV has attempted 11.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Lonnie Walker IV has tallied 29.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. Lonnie Walker IV has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 24th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making this a positive matchup. The rate of shots from downtown converted against Andrew Wiggins has been very high (50.5%) when he is at home and guarding fellow starting SFs this year (100th percentile).

Justin Edwards Points Scored Props • Philadelphia

J. Edwards
small forward SF • Philadelphia
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Justin Edwards has averaged 18.2 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 8.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. Justin Edwards has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's converted in all games this season away from home. Justin Edwards has tallied 34.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for threes; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have put up the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). Justin Edwards has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Justin Edwards

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Justin Edwards has averaged 18.2 points per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 8.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. Justin Edwards has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's converted in all games this season away from home. Justin Edwards has tallied 34.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for threes; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have put up the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%). Justin Edwards has attempted 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
24.5 Points Scored
Projection
24.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Tyler Herro has logged 30.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's logged over the course of the season. Tyler Herro has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a strong one for three-pointers; when the 76ers are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 7th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.9%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 5th-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Tyler Herro has converted 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's converted in all games this season.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.7
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.7

Tyler Herro has logged 30.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 more than he's logged over the course of the season. Tyler Herro has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 97th percentile. The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a strong one for three-pointers; when the 76ers are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 7th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.9%). Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 5th-best in in the league with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Tyler Herro has converted 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 more than he's converted in all games this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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