NYJ 2.5 o42.0
MIN -2.5 u42.0
IND 3.0 o45.5
JAC -3.0 u45.5
MIA -1.0 o35.5
NE 1.0 u35.5
BUF 1.0 o47.0
HOU -1.0 u47.0
CLE 3.0 o43.5
WAS -3.0 u43.5
BAL -2.5 o48.5
CIN 2.5 u48.5
CAR 4.0 o40.5
CHI -4.0 u40.5
ARI 7.5 o49.0
SF -7.5 u49.0
LV 2.5 o35.0
DEN -2.5 u35.0
GB -3.0 o49.5
LA 3.0 u49.5
NYG 7.5 o42.5
SEA -7.5 u42.5
DAL 2.5 o43.5
PIT -2.5 u43.5
NO 5.0 o43.0
KC -5.0 u43.0
Final OT Oct 3
TB 30 2.5 o43.5
ATL 36 -2.5 u43.5
New York 3rd NFC East6-11
Washington 4th NFC East4-13
FOX

New York @ Washington props

Northwest Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Wan'Dale Robinson Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

W. Robinson
wide receiver WR • N.Y. Giants
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on passing than their usual approach. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the projection model to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The 8th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year. Wan'Dale Robinson's 82.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 77.9% figure.

Wan'Dale Robinson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.3

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on passing than their usual approach. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the projection model to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The 8th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year. Wan'Dale Robinson's 82.5% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 77.9% figure.

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

D. Bellinger
tight end TE • N.Y. Giants
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.7
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on passing than their usual approach. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the projection model to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The 8th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year. In this week's contest, Daniel Bellinger is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 76th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets.

Daniel Bellinger

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.7
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.7

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on passing than their usual approach. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the projection model to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The 8th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year. In this week's contest, Daniel Bellinger is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 76th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets.

Saquon Barkley Receptions Made Props • N.Y. Giants

S. Barkley
running back RB • N.Y. Giants
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on passing than their usual approach. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the projection model to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The 8th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to earn 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Saquon Barkley

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are heavy underdogs this week, suggesting much more of a focus on passing than their usual approach. Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the projection model to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week. The 8th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the New York Giants this year (a staggering 60.7 per game on average). The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.1 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Saquon Barkley to earn 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among running backs.

Logan Thomas Receptions Made Props • Washington

L. Thomas
tight end TE • Washington
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders offensive strategy to skew 14.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays. Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game. Logan Thomas's receiving performance has improved this year, averaging 4.1 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.9 last year.

Logan Thomas

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders offensive strategy to skew 14.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays. Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game. Logan Thomas's receiving performance has improved this year, averaging 4.1 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.9 last year.

Terry McLaurin Receptions Made Props • Washington

T. McLaurin
wide receiver WR • Washington
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders offensive strategy to skew 14.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays. Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game. With a remarkable 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin ranks as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

Terry McLaurin

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.7
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.7

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders offensive strategy to skew 14.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays. Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game. With a remarkable 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Terry McLaurin ranks as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

Brian Robinson Receptions Made Props • Washington

B. Robinson
running back RB • Washington
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders offensive strategy to skew 14.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays. Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game. Brian Robinson's 2.0 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 0.7 figure.

Brian Robinson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders offensive strategy to skew 14.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy now calling the plays. Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics. The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game. Brian Robinson's 2.0 adjusted receptions per game this season indicates a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 0.7 figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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