Seattle 3rd NFC West9-8
Dallas 1st NFC East12-5
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Seattle @ Dallas Props

AT&T Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Zach Charbonnet Receptions Made Props • Seattle

Z. Charbonnet
running back RB • Seattle
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
+114
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Over
+114
Projection Rating

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are big underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.96 seconds per snap. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. With an excellent 87.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (75th percentile) this year, Zach Charbonnet rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs.

Zach Charbonnet

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are big underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.96 seconds per snap. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. With an excellent 87.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (75th percentile) this year, Zach Charbonnet rates among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs.

Noah Fant Receptions Made Props • Seattle

N. Fant
tight end TE • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are big underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.96 seconds per snap. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Noah Fant

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are big underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.96 seconds per snap. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

DK Metcalf Receptions Made Props • Seattle

D. Metcalf
wide receiver WR • Seattle
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
-128
Projection Rating

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are big underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.96 seconds per snap. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The leading projections forecast D.K. Metcalf to garner 9.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

DK Metcalf

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.2

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are big underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 26.96 seconds per snap. The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer. The leading projections forecast D.K. Metcalf to garner 9.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

Tony Pollard Receptions Made Props • Dallas

T. Pollard
running back RB • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.4
Best Odds
Under
-130
Projection Rating

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan. Opposing squads have played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (context-neutralized) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per snap. The Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.1%) to running backs this year (76.1%).

Tony Pollard

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.4

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan. Opposing squads have played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (context-neutralized) against the Cowboys defense this year, averaging 28.19 seconds per snap. The Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.1%) to running backs this year (76.1%).

Jake Ferguson Receptions Made Props • Dallas

J. Ferguson
tight end TE • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to tilt 7.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Jake Ferguson to notch 5.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

Jake Ferguson

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to tilt 7.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Jake Ferguson to notch 5.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Made Props • Dallas

C. Lamb
wide receiver WR • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to tilt 7.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year. CeeDee Lamb grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a remarkable 7.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

CeeDee Lamb

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.8

The model projects the Dallas Cowboys offensive scheme to tilt 7.0% more towards the passing game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate. The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. The Seahawks defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year. CeeDee Lamb grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a remarkable 7.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Weather Forecast

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