New York @ Philadelphia props

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Giants, who are giant -14-point underdogs. The projections expect the Giants to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the NFL (41.1 per game) this year. Our trusted projections expect Darren Waller to accrue 7.4 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs. Darren Waller grades out as one of the leading tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an outstanding 4.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the projections expect the Eagles as the 5th-quickest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment. The Eagles O-line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board. D'Andre Swift checks in as one of the leading pass-game running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 2.7 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 79th percentile. D'Andre Swift's 83.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a noteworthy growth in his receiving ability over last season's 75.9% figure. This year, the weak New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a whopping 88.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the worst rate in the NFL.

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Giants, who are giant -14-point underdogs. The projections expect the Giants to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the NFL (41.1 per game) this year. This week, Saquon Barkley is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 91st percentile among RBs with 4.6 targets. With a terrific 3.1 adjusted receptions per game (88th percentile) this year, Saquon Barkley ranks among the best running backs in the pass game in football.

This game's spread implies an extreme passing game script for the Giants, who are giant -14-point underdogs. The projections expect the Giants to be the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the NFL (41.1 per game) this year. Wan'Dale Robinson's 83.3% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a meaningful improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 77.9% rate. The Philadelphia cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the projections expect the Eagles as the 5th-quickest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment. This week, A.J. Brown is predicted by the projections to finish in the 94th percentile among WRs with 9.0 targets. A.J. Brown's 79.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 70.9. A.J. Brown's pass-catching performance gotten better this year, totaling 6.9 adjusted receptions compared to just 5.2 last year. This year, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 4th-biggest rate in the NFL.

As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the projections expect the Eagles as the 5th-quickest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment. Dallas Goedert has run a route on 87.5% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs. The predictive model expects Dallas Goedert to earn 5.3 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among TEs. The Eagles O-line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all passing game metrics across the board. With an exceptional 4.2 adjusted catches per game (88th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert stands among the best pass-catching TEs in the NFL.