Ottawa @ Buffalo picks
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OTT vs BUF Covers Picks
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Dylan Cozens + Drake Batherson Over 0.5 points (+240)
The Senators take on James Reimer and the Sabres tonight, which is great for the visitors' possible point production. Since coming over from Buffalo, Dylan Cozens has pointed in all but one of his eight games with Ottawa, and this correlated point prop combo with Drake Batherson has hit in four of the last six games at an average price of +240/+250. There is a massive revenge factor here and there will be plenty of money on the board in the Ottawa locker room, which will be an even more motivating factor for the road team that is five points up vs. the No. 9 team in the Eastern Conference standings. Most of Cozens’ markets are still too long. He is even money for a point (fair price is around -140) and +550 for a power-play point despite playing on the top unit. This is a game featuring two Bottom 10 penalty kills. That is way too long. This is +222 at DraftKings, which is also a play as I have this fair price around +160.
Ottawa Senators to win in regulation (+109)
The Ottawa Senators have been playing some outstanding hockey as of late, they have lost two of their last three games, but they have been trending in a very positive direction. Tonight’s game will be extra emotional for them, as it’s the first time they’re playing the Buffalo Sabres since the trade that was made at the deadline between the two teams. It’s Dylan Cozens return to Buffalo tonight, and his teammates will be playing for him. Not only is this a revenge game for Ottawa because of Cozens, but the Sabres have won both of the two previous meetings, so tonight they will look to avoid a season sweep.
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o5.5 (-134)
It's never a bad bet to fade the Senators' and Sabres' defense, respectively. Both teams are among the worst in the league in SOG allowed, and rank in the bottom third in PK%. The Sens have been playing some good hockey of late and the offense is clicking, netting at least 3 goals in nine of their last 11 games. The Sabres offense has shown glimpses at times, and coming off a five-goal outburst against a solid Jets, team, I like them to keep it rolling on home ice. Play the Over at 5.5 before it disappears.
