UFC 258: Vieira vs Hernandez Picks and Predictions

Rodolfo Vieira will enter the octagon at UFC 258 undefeated and set up well to continue his winning ways against Anthony Hernandez.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 12, 2021 • 16:38 ET
Rodolfo Vieira Middleweight UFC
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Rodolfo Vieira vs. Anthony Hernandez is the final fight on the preliminary card for UFC 258 betting on Saturday, February 13. 

There's more to MMA than striking, and fight fans should be excited for this matchup which should feature slick submissions and high-end grappling ability. UFC odds have Vieira installed as a -420 favorite while Hernandez comes back at +330. 

We break down the UFC betting odds for this middleweight bout, as we bring you our picks and predictions for Vieira vs. Hernandez at UFC 258 in Las Vegas.

Vieira vs Hernandez Fight Odds

Method of Victory Rodolfo Vieira Anthony Hernandez
Win Outright -420 +330
Win by KO/TKO +1,100 +550
Win by Points +600 +1,000
Win by Submission  -190 +2,600
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Vieira vs Hernandez Betting Preview

Rodolfo Vieira is a perfect 7-0 in his MMA career, including 2-0 under the UFC banner. He submitted Oskar Piechota in his UFC debut in 2019 and followed that up with a first-round submission win against Saparbek Safarov last March.

Vieira's striking is subpar but he's one of the best grapplers in the world. That's right, not just in the UFC, but across the entire globe. The 31-year-old is a four-time Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu World Champion and a seven-time World Cup champion. 

Anthony "Fluffy" Hernandez is 1-2 in his UFC career and is coming off a first-round TKO loss to Kevin Holland last May. 

The 27-year-old is an active striker but he's more comfortable on the mat where he can rely on his wrestling and grappling.

Vieira vs Hernandez Tale of the Tape

Rodolfo Vieira Anthony Hernandez
31 Age 27
6-foot-0 Height 6-foot-0
185 lbs Weight 185 lbs
73 inches Reach 75 inches
7-0-0 (1 KO) Record 7-2-0 (1 KO)

Vieira vs Hernandez UFC Prediction and Betting Pick

PREDICTION: Viera to win by submission -190 - Stylistically, this matchup couldn't be any better for Vieira. The Brazilian has plenty of holes in his striking and ate some big shots in his two UFC fights; getting cracked by Piechota and taking a front kick to the face from Safarov. 

Fortunately for Vieira, "Fluffy" doesn't have the kickboxing ability or power to take advantage of that weakness. Hernandez is more of a grappler himself, with five of his last six wins coming by submission. That said, while his grappling is impressive, Vieira is on a whole other level when it comes to jiu-jitsu skills.

While both fighters are listed with identical height and weight, Vieira looks absolutely massive when compared to Hernandez and should have a significant edge when it comes to strength as well as grappling technique.

With six of Vieira's seven career MMA wins coming by submission, and Hernandez losing by anaconda choke in his UFC debut two years ago, back Vieira to win by sub. And if the -190 payout isn't enough to make you bite, consider the Round 1 Viera submission at +115.

Where Can I Bet on UFC Odds?

Most online sportsbooks and casinos offer bets on UFC odds and props. While odds to win usually come out as soon as a fight is announced, prop bets become more readily available closer to an event. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what UFC bets they have available.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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