The Chicago Sky are doing a great job of playing themselves out of the playoffs. With only six games left in the regular season, they're now 2.5 games behind the Sparks. Credit to L.A. for playing that well of late, but the Sky have barely helped their own cause.
Tonight, they're on the road against one of the league’s worst teams, yet the spread is effectively a pick’em. That is less an endorsement of the Seattle Storm and more a criticism of Chicago of late. Can the Sky escape with a win and keep their playoff hopes alive?
Here are our free WNBA picks and predictions for the Sky vs. Storm on August 27.
Sky vs Storm best odds
Sky vs Storm picks and predictions
This is the last meeting between the Chicago Sky and the Seattle Storm this season. Chicago is 2-1 both outright and against the spread in the series, including a 23-point win as 4.5-point favorites just on Tuesday.
Seattle rookie forward Jordan Horston had her worst shooting game of the year, going 1-for-11 from the field, redeemed somewhat by snagging 11 rebounds and dishing out four assists.
She is not usually a key piece of the Seattle offense, scoring 9+ points in only 11 of her 30 games this season. Why the influx that night? Occam’s Razor: Chicago encouraged it. In their other two matchups this season, Horston went 4-for-7 and 4-for-6, both more efficient and more in line with her average night.
Assume Seattle can counter that Sky wrinkle now. Horston’s bad night alone does not explain an 18.5-point loss to the spread. The Storm were also terribly loose with the ball, committing 12 turnovers. Seattle is always that way, though, averaging more than 15 turnovers per game, part of why it's only 10-24 and sitting at No. 11 in the standings.
At its core, Chicago was simply better that night, and it needed that boost. The Sky had lost five straight — both outright and against the spread — before that get-right victory against the Storm. Chicago followed that up with a 7-point loss to Las Vegas, covering a 14.5-point spread.
Guard Marina Mabrey, in particular, stepped up in those two games, scoring 19 and 22 points, respectively, after averaging 10.8 points in that five-game losing streak. When she scores 15 or more points this season, Chicago is 13-1-2 against the spread. When she doesn’t, the Sky are just 4-14 ATS.
Let’s bet on the Sky’s win on Tuesday being an example of the better team showing up. Horston’s shooting woes were an example of Chicago’s success, nothing more and therefore nothing more encouraging for Seattle tonight.
Let’s bet on the Sky keeping their playoff hopes alive while the Storm go through the motions to finish the year. Let’s bet on Mabrey continuing this hot streak.
My best bet: Sky -1 (-105 at Caesars)
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Sky vs Storm spread and Over/Under analysis
This spread has bounced between -1.5 and -1, depending on the book, always favoring the Sky. It should favor Chicago, even at its worst, this team is better than the Storm.
Think back to that game on Tuesday. The Sky were 4.5-point home favorites and won by 23 points, and no individual piece of the box score shouts unsustainability.
If nothing changed in the power ratings, tonight’s spread would be right about where it is. If Chicago gained a nod — and remember, the Sky played the Aces competitively on Thursday, within a bucket for a chunk of the fourth quarter — then tonight’s spread should be a notch or two higher.
There is more value in this number than is expected, given the Sky’s recent struggles.
The total opened at 160.5 late Saturday night and fell to 159.5 for a moment Sunday night before jumping up to 161.5. That has all the markings of a feint, perhaps one expecting more success from Mabrey.
When she scores at least 15 points, Chicago has cleared the Over in 13 of 16 games this season. When she falls short, the Sky have hit the Over only three of 18 games.
Sky vs Storm betting trend to know
The Sky are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the Western Conference. Find more WNBA betting trends for Sky vs. Storm.
Sky vs Storm game info
Location: | Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA |
Date: | Sunday, August 27, 2023 |
Tip-off: | 6:00 p.m. ET |
TV: | Prime Video |
Sky vs Storm key injuries
Sky: Rebekah Gardner G (Out), Isabelle Harrison F (Out).
Storm: Gabby Williams F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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