Best WNBA Player Props Today: Can't Pass Up Caitlin Clark

Prop bet #1: A’ja slowed by success

The headlines have slowed since A’ja Wilson stopped scoring at least 28 points in every single game, reaching that mark in eight straight at one point. But has she actually slowed down? She's still topped this points prop in six of her last 11 games, clearing 30 points three times, and is still dominating the league.

But in those five games where Wilson fell short of this points prop, two were against these Washington Mystics, scoring 11 and 18 points on just 27 total shots.

For some quick context on her offensive aggressiveness in those games, Wilson averaged 19.8 shot attempts in those nine other games. Why the reluctance?

It’s not reluctance. It’s blowouts. The Las Vegas Aces won those two games by 11 and 21 points. Wilson did not need to carry a workload, playing just 32 and 26 minutes in those two games, respectively.

With the Aces favored by 12.5 points again today, do not expect Wilson to play a full game. She will not need to.

A'Ja Wilson prop: Under 26.5 points (-110 at BetRivers)

Prop bet #2: Caitlin Clark’s continued distribution

Caitlin Clark’s assists prop is available at Over 8.5 at -115 at BetRivers. Is one more assist worth 35 cents? Absolutely.

Clark has reached at least 11 assists in six of her last seven games, averaging 11.7 per game. Initially, Clark’s playmaking was not raising the Indiana Fever offense as much as expected but their offensive rating is 1.1 points better in these seven games than in the first 17 of the season.

Until Clark’s streak of playmaking slows, there is no reason to doubt it.

Getting this kind of value on her reaching 10 assists turns this from a “don’t doubt it” situation into a “must bet” one.

Caitlin Clark prop: Over 9.5 assists (+120 at DraftKings)

Prop bet #3: Gray gets smothered

In the nine games since Rhyne Howard was sidelined with injury, Allisha Gray has attempted 4.4 threes per game, making 32.5% of them. Those long-range buckets propelled Gray to 17.3 points per game while operating largely on her own in the Atlanta Dream backcourt.

Her worry today is that Seattle Storm do not give up looks from deep, allowing only 18.7 attempts from beyond the arc per game in the last month, the second-fewest in the WNBA. Opponents have made just 29.4% of their 3-pointers in that stretch, also the second-lowest mark in the league.

Seattle should be able to focus on Gray. Atlanta’s offense has been moribund since Howard’s injury, ranking last in offensive rating. That focus should keep Gray more than in check against a defense as stingy as the Storm's.

Allisha Gray prop: Under 17.5 points (-120 at DraftKings)