If you haven't already bought in on the New York Liberty, your time is now. The Liberty appear so focused as to not even worry about a double-digit spread tonight against the Dallas Wings.
My Wings vs. Liberty predictions see the favorites continuing to dominate. Find out my best WNBA picks ahead of tip at 7:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, August 20.
Wings vs Liberty predictions
My best bet
Liberty -11 (-108 at FanDuel)
My analysis
Sportsbooks are starting to notice how well the New York Liberty are playing. NY is down to +120 to win the WNBA championship at FanDuel, with the two-time defending champion Las Vegas Aces back at +190. (To be thorough, the Minnesota Lynx at +850 and the Connecticut Sun at +900 are the only other vague contenders.)
The Liberty have covered six straight games against the spread and by an average of 11.1 points per game compared to bookmakers’ expectations. Four of those did come before a monthlong break for the Olympics, though, of course, Sabrina Ionescu and Breanna Stewart starred in Paris.
The two games back from the Olympics may be the most convincing that New York has raised its game. Going on the road to Los Angeles as 11-point favorites just days after Ionescu and Stewart won gold, the Liberty did not blink. They won by 35 points. Life does not get much easier.
Two days later, on the road against their biggest rival, New York controlled the entire second half against Las Vegas, winning by 12 despite being a 3.5-point underdog.
The Liberty have only one goal left ahead of them. They have clinched a playoff spot. Their two biggest stars won gold medals. All that is left is winning an elusive WNBA championship.
New York looks dialed in. There may not be a spread big enough tonight to scare us off backing the Liberty, not that getting this at the best number won't increase confidence all the same.
Wings vs Liberty same-game parlay (SGP)
Liberty -11
Jonquel Jones Over 10.5 rebounds
Arike Ogunbowale Under 20.5 points
Jonquel Jones gets her rebounds. Of the Liberty rotation, only Jones and Stewart collect more than 9% of available rebounds, Jones tracking down 17.1% of missed shots when she is on the court.
Arike Ogunbowale will provide many of those missed shots. Of the 20 players in the WNBA scoring more than 14 points per game, only Ogunbowale and Seattle’s Jewell Loyd shoot worse than 40% from the field, with Ogunbowale the worst at 36.0%.
In the last two months — effectively one month of games, accounting for the Olympics break — New York has posted the No. 2 defensive rating in the WNBA, the kind of defense that will scoff at Ogunbowale’s volume shooting.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Wings vs Liberty odds
Wings vs Liberty live odds
Get the latest Wings vs Liberty WNBA odds for tonight.
Wings vs Liberty opening odds
- Spread: Dallas +14 (-108) | New York -14 (-106)
- Moneyline: Dallas +790 | New York -1,500
- Over/Under: Over 174 (-108) | Under 174 (-108)
Wings vs Liberty spread and Over/Under analysis
- New York opened as a lofty 14.5-point favorite late on Sunday, a number that began falling rapidly Tuesday morning, reaching -11 around midday. Frankly, that move is what then prompted this best bet.
- The total opened at 175.5 late on Sunday before falling to 174 on Monday, then jumping all the way up to 176.5 on Tuesday morning, only to correct again to 174.5 at midday.
- The Dallas Wings are 8-17 against the spread this season, including 1-8 in their last nine games.
Wings vs Liberty trend
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against a team with a winning record. Find more WNBA betting trends for Wings vs. Liberty.
Wings vs Liberty game info
| Location: | Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY |
| Date: | Tuesday, 8-20-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Fox 5 New York, Bally Sports Southwest Extra |
Wings vs Liberty latest injuries
Wings: Maddy Siegrist F (Out).
Liberty: Sabrina Ionescu G (Questionable), Betnijah Laney-Hamilton F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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