Alouettes vs Argonauts Week 8 Picks and Predictions: Als Take Advantage of Banged-Up Toronto D

Both teams enter this Week 8 matchup in Toronto, where the Argos are undefeated this season, coming off losses. But look for Montreal's running game to go beast mode against Toronto's banged-up defense. Read more in our Alouettes vs. Argonauts picks.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 21, 2021 • 14:34 ET • 4 min read
William Stanback Montreal Alouettes CFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Montreal Alouettes head to BMO Field to face the Toronto Argonauts in Week 8 of CFL action on Friday.

Both of these teams are coming off losses and will hope to get back in the win column, with Toronto looking to stay undefeated at home. CFL betting lines opened with the Argos as slim 2.5-point home favorites with the Over/Under at 46.5.

Here are our best free Alouettes vs. Argonauts picks and predictions for September 24.

Alouettes vs Argonauts game info

Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Date: Friday, September 24, 2021
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

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Alouettes vs Argonauts odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Alouettes at Argonauts betting preview

Weather

Key injuries

Alouettes: Quan Bray WR (Probable), Mario Alford WR (Questionable), Michael Wakefield DE (Questionable), Ryan Carter DB (Out).
Argonauts: Nick Arbuckle QB (Questionable), Davaris Daniels WR (Questionable), Henoc Muamba LB (Doubtful), Cameron Judge LB (Out), Dariusz Bladek OL (Questionable), Drake Nevis DT (Questionable), Cordarro Law DE (Questionable), Daniel Braverman WR (Questionable), Isiah Cage OL (Questionable), Ricky Collins Jr. WR (Questionable), Shane Richards OL (Questionable), Crezdon Butler DB (Out), Philip Blake OL (Out), Juwan Brescacin WR (Out), Shane Ray DE (Out).

Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Alouettes are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Find more CFL betting trends for Alouettes vs. Argonauts.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

The Argonauts have alternated wins and losses in six contests this season and are coming off a sloppy 30-16 defeat to the Roughriders in a game that saw them turn the ball over three times and give up 112 yards in penalties. The Alouettes are coming off a loss of their own, falling 27-18 to the Lions in Montreal, giving them three losses in their last four games.

Both of these teams have been wildly inconsistent this season but one thing the Als can usually do is run the ball down the throat of whichever team they face off against. Led by William Stanback, the Als lead the league with a whopping 149 rushing yards per game on 6.0 yards per carry.   

That could be a very bad matchup for a Toronto defense that has been hit hard by injuries. The Argos defensive line has been decimated for weeks and now their linebacker corps will be without its two best players in Henoc Muamba and Cameron Judge. The two LBs are not just tackling machines but they are also national players and ratio-breakers which means their absence could have a ripple effect throughout Toronto's lineup. 

Toronto quarterback Nick Arbuckle was limited in practice Monday but even if he can't go, backup QB Bethel MacLeond-Thompson isn't much of a downgrade. However, there are a host of other injuries at wide receiver and on the offensive line which could prove more damaging for the Argos offense.

While the Alouettes defense has flaws, their pass rush has looked far more impressive than it did in 2019. Montreal is second in the CFL with 15 sacks this year, despite playing one fewer game than most of the other teams in the league.

Look for the Als running game to dominate a banged-up Toronto defense, and back Montreal on the spread.  

PREDICTION: Montreal +2.5 (-110)

Over/Under pick

Although the Under is 4-2 in the last six meetings between these teams, they combined for at least 47 points in each contest which makes this lower total of 46.5 seem ripe for the picking. The Als are second in the league with 392.6 yards per game while the Argos are one spot behind them with 374.7 ypg. 

Regardless of who plays quarterback for Toronto, I expect them to have success against a weak Montreal secondary that has allowed more than 300 passing yards in three of the last four games. Unfortunately the same holds true for the Montreal running game, which will have its way with the Argos' front seven. 

The Argos added Chris Jones as a defensive consultant following the departure of coordinator Glen Young last week. But since Jones hasn't coached in Toronto since 2013, it will likely take a while for his influence to be felt and for the Argos defenders to adapt to his schemes. Take the Over. 

PREDICTION: Over 46.5 (-110)

Alouettes vs Argonauts betting card

  • Montreal +2.5 (-110)
  • Over 46.5 (-110)

Picks made on 9/21/2021 at 2:00 p.m. ET

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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