Grey Cup 104 has finally arrived, as BC Place in Vancouver is set to host the CFL's championship game for the first time in 10 years.
Zach Collaros and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers will look to bounce back after falling short of the trophy in consecutive years, and I anticipate the two-time MOP quarterback will be airing it out early and often inside the dome.
Here are my favorite CFL picks for Sunday, November 17, and check out Rohit Ponnaiya's full Argonauts vs. Blue Bombers predictions before placing your bets!
Argonauts vs Blue Bombers props for Grey Cup
Zach Collaros o266.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Ka'Deem Carey o69.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)- DaVaris Daniels o37.5 receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel)
Picks made on 11-16.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Argonauts vs Blue Bombers CFL player props
Prop bet #1: Zach Collaros Over 266.5 passing yards
On the surface, Zach Collaros' 2024 numbers have been rough. Initially mired by a sloppy 0-4 start that saw the Winnipeg Blue Bombers pivot fail to record a touchdown pass until Week 6, Collaros' final regular season numbers weren't what we've been accustomed to seeing from the two-time MOP.
However, Collaros has been airing it out lately, throwing for 331 yards in a thrilling season finale against Montreal, and following that up with 301 against Saskatchewan in the West Final despite a run-heavy game script that saw Winnipeg take an early 14-0 lead over the Riders.
The Winnipeg quarterback is now set to face a Toronto Argonauts pass defense that has been highly vulnerable in 2024, surrendering 296.8 passing yards during the regular season and a 105.5 passer rating (second-worst in the CFL). The Argos haven't fared any better during their first two postseason games, with Ottawa's Dru Brown and Montreal's Cody Fajardo each exceeding 300+ passing yards against them.
Collaros came away with Grey Cup MOP honors in 2021, and we could see a similar story unfold on Sunday.
Prop bet #2: Ka'Deem Carey Over 69.5 rushing yards
With QB Chad Kelly suffering a broken ankle in the second half of Toronto's Eastern Final dub over Montreal, the Argos will be forced to be extremely conservative in their offensive approach.
Enter Ka'Deem Carey, as the former Chicago Bears running back could be due for a breakout game on the ground. The 2024 East-All Star is coming his second 1,000-yard season of his CFL career, averaging 5.5 yards per carry for the Boatmen, and he could take advantage of the one vulnerability that the Bombers hold on defense.
Winnipeg finished the season allowing an average of 5.3 yards per rush, and with backup pivot Nick Arbuckle thrust into starting action after seeing limited action this year, expect Ryan Dinwiddie to rely heavily on his star RB.
Prop bet #3: DaVaris Daniels Over 37.5 receiving yards
Experience matters in championship games, and boy, oh boy, does DaVaris Daniels possess it.
Not only did Daniels appear in the 2013 National Championship against Alabama and record a game-high 115 receiving yards, but the veteran receiver is a two-time Grey Cup champion who has eclipsed 50+ receiving yards in all three of his GC starts.
Daniels is listed as WR3 on Toronto's depth chart, but it's important to note that he and Arbuckle were teammates in Calgary from 2016-2018. Although the slotback was only targeted three times against Montreal, he caught two touchdown passes and racked up 88 receiving yards a week prior against Ottawa in the East Semi-Final.
Expect Daniels & Arbuckle's chemistry to help the 31-year-old eclipse a modest total of 37.5 receiving yards.
Not intended for use in MA.
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