Week 14 in the CFL features a clash between the Montreal Alouettes and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Saturday night.
The defending Grey Cup champion Blue Bombers have already locked up first place in the West Division and welcome the Als to IG Field.
The Als have their sights set on a playoff spot but oddsmakers aren't expecting them to pull off the victory in Winnipeg, with CFL betting lines installing Montreal as a massive 12.5-point road underdog.
Here are our best free Alouettes vs. Blue Bombers picks and predictions for Saturday, November 6, with kickoff at 7 p.m. ET.
Alouettes vs Blue Bombers odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Alouettes vs Blue Bombers picks
Picks made on 11/05/2021 at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Alouettes vs Blue Bombers game info
• Location: IG Field, Winnipeg, MB
• Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021
• Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN
Alouettes at Blue Bombers betting preview
Weather
Key injuries
Alouettes: Matthew Schiltz QB (Questionable), Vernon Adams JR. QB (Out), Mario Alford WR (Out), B.J. Cunningham WR (Out), Ryan Carter DB (Out).
Blue Bombers: Andrew Harris RB (Questionable), Jermarcus Hardrick RT (Questionable), Jackson Jeffcoat DE (Questionable).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Alouettes are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games. Find more CFL betting trends for Alouettes vs. Blue Bombers.
Alouettes vs Blue Bombers predictions
Alouettes +12.5 (-110)
The Blue Bombers are coming off a bye, and before that destroyed the Lions by a final score of 45-0. They are now +125 favorites to win their second Grey Cup in a row and are 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS this season. They haven't just been beating foes, they've been blowing them out with eight-straight wins by double digits.
The Alouettes are fresh off a 19-14 loss at home to the Roughriders, which snapped a four-game winning streak for them. The Als had a 351-243 advantage in yards gained and controlled 56.3 percent of possession against the Riders but an interception thrown by Matthew Schiltz towards the end of the first half proved costly. Schiltz was replaced by the newly acquired Trevor Harris in the fourth quarter and the veteran looked sharp, completing 12 of 15 passes for 123 yards and a score.
Harris was destroyed by the Bombers four weeks ago when he was playing with Edmonton, but which passer hasn't looked like Nathan Peterman against Winnipeg's elite pass defense? And this time he'll be able to hand the ball off to the league's best running back in William Stanback. Despite missing two games with an injury, Stanback leads the league with 960 rushing yards and 6.1 yards per carry while Montreal racks up an incredible 152.3 yards per game on the ground.
Winnipeg has been excellent in virtually every part of the game this season but it has been vulnerable against the run, surrendering 5.3 yards per carry. When you look at the betting trends for both teams, there's reason to like either side. The Blue Bombers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite while the Als are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games as a road underdog.
However, as incredible as the Bombers have been at covering the spread, they have rarely been faves of this magnitude. Until just a month ago they hadn't been favored by more than seven points since August 2019.
It's one thing to consistently cover spreads shorter than a touchdown, it's another to cover almost two touchdowns against a playoff-caliber squad like the Als, especially when you consider how competitive the Als were against the Bombers when they clashed twice down the stretch during the 2019 regular season.
Under 44.5 (-110)
We mentioned how important Stanback is to Montreal's attack but the Bombers have a star running back of their own in Andrew Harris. Unfortunately, the 34-year-old Harris has been banged up at times this year and hasn't practiced this week due to a knee injury.
The Bombers struggled on offense early in the year when Harris was out with an ankle injury and if he's MIA, along with the possible absence of tackle Jermarcus Hardrick, their normally high-octane attack could take a step back.
The Als were vulnerable on defense earlier in the year but have been excellent lately, holding opponents to 277.4 yards and 17.4 points per game over their last five contests. They've also terrorized opposing passers with a league-high 44 sacks.
That said, the Bombers' dominant defense is on a whole other level. Winnipeg is allowing just 11.5 ppg with that number doing down to an incredible 6.8 ppg in six games at IG Field. With the Under cashing in four of Montreal's last five games overall and the Bombers going below the total in six of their previous seven home contests, take the Under 44.5.
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