The Toronto Argonauts face off against the Edmonton Elks in Week 21 of CFL action on Friday night.
The Argos have wrapped up home-field advantage in the first round of the playoffs and my Argonauts vs. Elks predictions are betting on them to give less than a stellar performance in a meaningless road finale.
Here are my CFL picks for this October 25 clash.
Argonauts vs Elks prediction
My best bet
Elks moneyline (-120 at Sports Interaction)
My analysis
The Toronto Argonauts took their foot off the pedal in the fourth quarter last week, allowing the Redblacks to score 25 unanswered points in the final frame. However, they were able to hold on for a 38-31 and clinch home-field advantage against Ottawa next week. If they were unable to maintain their focus with such a big lead in that pivotal clash, I have a tough time seeing them play hard on the road in this meaningless game.
There's a strong chance they'll rest key starters, including star quarterback Chad Kelly. If Kelly is given the night off or plays limited snaps, Toronto's offense will be severely hindered. The Argos have thrown for 307.1 passing yards per game with Kelly under center but averaged a CFL-worst 210.9 ypg through the air when he was suspended during the first half of the season.
The Edmonton Elks are set to miss the playoffs for the fourth straight year but have shown plenty of fight. While they began the year on an ugly seven-game losing streak, the majority of those defeats came in close contests. They've won six of their last 10 games with their only defeats coming against division leaders Winnipeg (twice) and Montreal, and playoff-bound Saskatchewan.
The Elks have been eliminated from the postseason for weeks yet they still beat the Stampeders 23-18 on the road in their last game and have since enjoyed a week off. This is a team led by a first-year head coach and hungry, young players like quarterback Tre Ford and running back Justin Rankin who are trying to earn starting jobs for next year. That should result in a hard-fought win at home in their season finale.
Argonauts vs Elks same-game parlay (SGP)
Elks moneyline
Under 49.5
Parlay options are limited in the final week of the CFL regular season with books unsure of starting lineups. That said, if Kelly doesn't play (and the line movement suggests he won't) it makes sense to parlay the Under alongside the Edmonton ML.
Without Kelly, Toronto's offense was extremely conservative under backup QB Cameron Dukes, who averaged just 6.5 yards per pass attempt in his last five starts. On the other side of the ball, even if the Argos rest some key players, they still have the depth to compete on defense — especially with the Elks leaning on their ground game to chew up the clock.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Argonauts vs Elks odds
Argonauts vs Elks live odds
Argonauts vs Elks opening odds
- Spread: Toronto -2.5 | Edmonton +2.5
- Moneyline: Toronto -135 | Edmonton +115
- Over/Under: Over 49.5 | Under 49.5
Argonauts vs Elks spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Argos opened as 2.5-point favorites but money has poured in on the Elks, flipping this line to favor Edmonton at -1.5.
- The Elks are 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- These teams previously clashed back in Week 3 with Toronto winning 39-36 on a last-second field goal at home.
- Toronto has the highest-graded O-line in the league per PFF but both starting tackles are out with injuries along with guard Dylan Giffin who has slotted into the lineup since Week 15.
Argonauts vs Elks trend
The Argonauts are 1-5 ATS versus teams with a losing record. Find more CFL betting trends for Argonauts vs. Elks.
Argonauts vs Elks game info
| Location: | Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton, AB |
| Date: | Friday, 10-25-2024 |
| Kick-off: | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TSN |
Argonauts vs Elks key injuries
Argonauts: Brandon Calver LB (Questionable), Rasheed Bailey WR (Questionable), Richie Sindani WR (Out).
Elks: Hergy Mayala WR (Questionable), Vincent Forbes-Mombleau WR (Questionable), Gavin Cobb WR (Questionable), Kevin Brown RB (Questionable), Arkell Smith WR (Questionable), Jacob Plamondon DL (Questionable), Tanner Green FB (Out), Kyran Moore WR (Out), Jarret Doege QB (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Argonauts vs Elks weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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