Although the Toronto Argonauts are coming off a tough Labor Day defeat at the hands of the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, the Argos offense has found new life with Chad Kelly back under center.
Find out why the reigning MOP winner headlines our Argonauts vs. Redblacks predictions, as the former Mississippi star will continue to rack up the passing yards in our CFL picks for Saturday, September 7.
Argonauts vs Redblacks prediction
My best bet
Chad Kelly Over 295.5 passing yards (-114 at FanDuel)
My analysis
Last season saw quarterback Chad Kelly take the CFL by storm, throwing for 4,000+ yards with a 109.6 passer rating, as the Toronto Argonauts finished the season with a dominating 16-2 record.
The NFL's former "Mr. Irrelevant" was subsequently named CFL MOP, and it looked like he would be the face of the league for years to come. However, that took a turn during the latest offseason when Kelly was suspended nine regular-season games for violating the league's gender-based violence policy.
The Argos offense kicked off 2024 mired in a slump, with backup Cameron Dukes failing to eclipse 300 passing yards in any start, and Toronto holding a mediocre 5-4 record. With Kelly returning in Week 12, Toronto's offense has seen an immediate boost in production, scoring 31 points in a win over Saskatchewan, followed by 28 in its latest field goal loss to Hamilton.
Kelly has surpassed 300+ passing yards in both of those contests, yet FanDuel has him listed at 295.5 for Saturday's clash against the Ottawa Redblacks.
Considering Ottawa's offense is starting to fire on all cylinders (averaging 26.4 points over its last five games) while simultaneously allowing a 68% completion percentage to opposing QBs, I expect a high-scoring affair that will result in another pass-heavy game script for Kelly.
Argonauts vs Redblacks same-game parlay (SGP)
Chad Kelly Over 295.5 passing yards
Over 51.5
With Toronto's offense gaining traction with Kelly under center and Ottawa's offense eclipsing 30+ points in three out of their last five games, I'm expecting another high-scoring affair between these two Ontario rivals.
The Redblacks offense is much more complete than in years past, with QB Dru Brown spearheading a unit that features dynamic running back Ryquel Armstead (averaging 5.0 yards per carry), plus former NFL wideout Justin Hardy, who ranks second in league receiving yards with 853.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Argonauts vs Redblacks odds
Argonauts vs Redblacks live odds
Argonauts vs Redblacks opening odds
- Spread: Toronto +1.5 (-110) | Ottawa -1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Toronto +100 | Ottawa -120
- Over/Under: Over 51.5 (-110) | Under 51.5 (-110)
Argonauts vs Redblacks spread and Over/Under analysis
- Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last five meetings against Ottawa.
- The Argonauts are 19-5-3 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss.
- The Over is 7-1 in the Argonauts last eight road games.
- The Over is 11-2 in the RedBlacks' last 13 games following a SU loss.
Argonauts vs Redblacks trend
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last five games at TD Place Stadium. Find more CFL betting trends for Argonauts vs. Redblacks.
Argonauts vs Redblacks game info
| Location: | TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON |
| Date: | Saturday, 9-7-2024 |
| Kick-off: | 1:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TSN |
Argonauts vs Redblacks key injuries
Argonauts: Tyron Vede LB (Questionable), Bryce Carter DL (Out), Eric Starczala OL (Out), Zack Pelehos OL (Out), DeVonte Dedmon RB (Out).
Redblacks: DaVaris Daniels WR (Questionable), Dashaun Amos DB (Out), Brandon Calver FB (Out), Ryan Hunter OL (Out), Jordan Williams DL (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Argonauts vs Redblacks weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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