Argonauts vs Redblacks Week 14 Picks and Predictions: Redblacks Just Can't be Backed

Ottawa has been the most futile team in the CFL this season, and they're showing us no reason to buck the trends. Don't overthink the large spread here — our Argonauts vs. Redblacks picks suggest fading Ottawa again.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 4, 2021 • 12:33 ET • 4 min read
D.J. Foster Toronto Argonauts CFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Argonauts head to the nation's capital in Week 14 of CFL action to take on the Ottawa Redblacks.

This is the final home game of the year for the Redblacks and oddsmakers aren't expecting them to reward their fans with a victory, installing the Argos as 10.5-point road favorites. 

Here are our best free Argonauts vs. Redblacks picks and predictions for Saturday, November 4, with kickoff at 4 p.m. ET. 

Argonauts vs Redblacks odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Check out the full line movement for this game.

Argonauts vs Redblacks picks

Picks made on 11/04/2021 at 12:15 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Argonauts vs Redblacks game info

Location: TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Argonauts at Redblacks betting preview

Weather

Key injuries

Argonauts: DaVaris Daniels WR (Questionable), D.J. Foster RB (Questionable), Dexter McCoil LB (Doubtful), Kony Ealy DL (Questionable), Jamal Peters DB (Questionable), Peter Nicastro C (Questionable), Jamal Campbell OT (Out), Drake Nevis DT (Out), Eric Rogers WR (Out), Juwan Brescanin WR (Out), Daniel Braverman WR (Out), Isiah Cage OT (Out).
Redblacks: Dominique Davis QB (Questionable), Matt Nichols QB (Questionable), Sherrod Baltimore DB (Questionable), Antoine Pruneau DB (Out), Nolan MacMillan OT (Out), Justin Davis RB (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Redblacks are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games versus East Division foes. Find more CFL betting trends for Argonauts vs. Redblacks.

Argonauts vs Redblacks predictions

The Argos are fresh off an overtime victory against the Lions to improve their record to 7-4 and clinch a playoff spot. They have a one-game lead over the Tiger-Cats and Alouettes in the East Division standings and have won four of their last five contests.

Toronto has dealt with injuries all season but continues to play at a high level. While their receiver corps has been banged up, the Argos still rank third in the league with 269.5 passing yards per game.

The Reblacks have been the CFL's worst team, going 2-21 SU and 5-18 ATS in their last 23 games going back to 2019. Both of their outright wins and four of their five covers during that span came against Edmonton, who is arguably the second-worst team in the league. 

This Ottawa squad is brutal on both sides of the ball, ranking last in the league in total offense (290.2 yards per game) and total defense (387.8 ypg allowed), as well as scoring offense (15.4 points per game) and scoring defense (28.6 ppg allowed).

Not only have the Redblacks been losing games, but they've also been consistently getting blown out with nine of 10 losses this season coming by at least 11 points — including a 35-16 defeat against the Argos on October 6. With the Argos line for this game currently at -10.5, grab that number before it gets any bigger. 

The Over has cashed in six straight games for the Argos, thanks in large part to a defense that has shown cracks. However, their best defensive lineman, Shawn Oakman, is healthy after being hurt last week, and Cameron Judge returns at linebacker after missing more than a month of action. That should help them shut down a pathetic Ottawa offense that has scored more than one touchdown in just two of 12 games this year. 

The Reblacks' top-two quarterbacks, Dominique Davis and Matt Nichols, just came off the six-game IL but Devlin "Duck" Hodges will make his first start. Regardless of who has been under center for the Redblacks this year, they've been unable to move the ball, and a lack of weapons at the skill positions and a brutal offensive line haven't helped matters.

Meanwhile, the Argos have seen their depth at wide receiver and offensive line decimated by injuries and have yet to score more than 24 points on the road this year, averaging 17.5 ppg in six away contests. Take the Under. 

CFL parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s CFL Argonauts vs. Redblacks picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our CFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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