Argonauts vs Stampeders Week 1 Picks and Predictions: Smooth Sailing Even Without Arbuckle

McLeod Bethel-Thompson and the Argonauts enter Week 1 as the underdogs but in a matchup against a similarly revamped Stampeders squad, Toronto's new additions could prove to be the difference. Check out our picks and predictions for the CFL betting value.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Aug 6, 2021 • 20:26 ET • 4 min read
McLeod Bethel-Thompson Toronto Argonauts CFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

After not playing for almost two years there are a lot of unknowns heading into the 2021 CFL season. And, two of the teams with the biggest question marks are the Toronto Argonauts and the Calgary Stampeders.

So, it seems appropriate these two CFL teams open the season against one another. The Argos made a bit of surprise naming quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson their starter, while Bo Levi Mitchell’s health will be key to the Stamps' success. 

But who has the betting edge in this matchup? Check out our CFL free picks and predictions for Argonauts vs. Stampeders on Saturday, August 7, and find out.

Argonauts vs Stampeders game info

Location: McMahon Stadium, Calgary, AB
Date: Saturday, August 7, 2021
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Argonauts vs Stampeders odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Compare CFL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Argonauts at Stampeders betting preview

Weather

Key injuries

Argonauts: Nick Arbuckle QB (Out), Cordarro Law DL (Questionable).
Stampeders: No key injuries to report.
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Stampeders are 0-7-1 ATS in their last eight games as favorites. Find more CFL betting trends for Argonauts vs. Stampeders.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

With QB Nick Arbuckle limited in practice this week, new head coach Ryan Dinwiddie will lean on Bethel-Thompson, who started 13 games in 2019 and threw for 4,024 yards and a league-high 26 touchdowns. So, he played well despite the team’s 4-14 record.

The Argos wide receiving corps was completely reworked, bringing in free agents Eric Rogers and Juwan Brescacin and added Candian Dejon Brissett with No. 2 overall draft pick in the 2020 draft.

Toronto also made significant upgrades to a defense that ranked second-to-last in points and yards allowed per game. In comes Most Outstanding Canadian Award winner, Henoc Muamba, and Charleston Hughes, who led the CFL in sacks in 2019.

For the Stampeders and head coach Dave Dickenson, everything relies on the health of Bo Levi Mitchell. If he is healthy, he can still be one of the best quarterbacks in the CFL, but that just hasn’t been the case the last couple of seasons. Mitchell and the Stamps have also lost key pieces on both sides of the ball between 2019 and now.

While it is tough to win in Calgary, the Stamps were a costly 5-13-1 ATS in 2019 and the Argos look like they have the more talented bunch in this matchup and are getting points. Take the underdogs here.

PREDICTION: Argonauts +5.5 (-110)

Over/Under pick

As noted, this is a matchup of CFL teams with some of the biggest roster and coaching turnover in the league’s nearly two-year absence. So, that could mean there is a bit of a feeling-out process in the first few weeks of this CFL season, particularly when you consider there were no preseason games played.

The Argos did a good job revamping a defense that allowed the second-most points and yards back in 2019. They play a Stamps offense that needs to replace two starters at wide receiver and a starting running back.

While the Stampeders lost a few players on defense as well, this is still a strong unit that ranked fourth in opponent yards per game and surrendered just 22.6 points per game in 2019. And even though the Boatmen look to have some talent on offense, this is still a new coaching staff who have yet to coach in a CFL game.

PREDICTION: Under 46.5 (-110)

Argonauts vs Stampeders betting card

  • Argonauts +5.5 (-110)
  • Under 46.5 (-110)
CFL parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s CFL Argonauts vs. Stampeders picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our CFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on the CFL?

You can bet on CFL odds at most online and casino sportsbooks, including CFL moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and CFL prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on CFL odds in your area.

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Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew “Taco” Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he’s been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS.

These days Andrew’s betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams – the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He’s also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can’t be friends with you if you don’t appreciate a Service Academy Under. You can also call him Covers’ Sixth Man, as he regularly steps up to guest host Before You Bet and our MLB and NCAAF release shows.

The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It’s not an interesting story. Seriously.

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