The CFL betting board for Week 15 features a rematch from last week with the Winnipeg Blue Bombers facing off against the Montreal Alouettes.
Winnipeg won at home last week and CFL betting lines opened with the Bombers installed as 8.5-point road favorites this time around. That line has since shortened to -7 with the news that starting quarterback Zach Collaros will be rested.
Here are our best free Blue Bombers vs. Alouettes picks and predictions for Saturday, November 13 with kickoff at 1 p.m. ET.
Blue Bombers vs Alouettes odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Blue Bombers vs Alouettes picks
Picks made on 11/11/2021 at 12:05 p.m. ET.
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Blue Bombers vs Alouettes game info
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC
• Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021
• Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN
Blue Bombers at Alouettes betting preview
Weather
Key injuries
Blue Bombers: Zach Collaros QB (Out), Andrew Harris RB (Questionable), Deatrick Nichols CB (Questionable), Jermarcus Hardrick RT (Probable), Jackson Jeffcoat DE (Questionable).
Alouettes: Matthew Schiltz QB (Questionable), Vernon Adams JR. QB (Out), Mario Alford WR (Out), B.J. Cunningham WR (Out), Ryan Carter DB (Out), Cameron Artis-Payne RB (Questionable).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Alouettes are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning record. Find more CFL betting trends for Blue Bombers vs. Alouettes.
Blue Bombers vs Alouettes predictions
Alouettes +7 (-110)
The Blue Bombers have been far and away the best team in the CFL this year and with first place already clinched, coach Mike O'Shea has opted to rest Collaros in favor of backup Sean McGuire. The 25-year-old has just 10 career pass attempts at the professional level and will be a huge downgrade from Collaros, who leads the league in passing yards (3,112), passing touchdowns (20), average yards per pass attempt (9.3), and pass efficiency (111.6).
Winnipeg might also be without running back Andrew Harris for the third game in a row due to a knee injury. The three-time CFL rushing leader is averaging 89 yards per game on the ground this season but has missed five games due to various injuries and it makes sense not to rush the 34-year-old back to the field too soon.
With the Bombers already having secured home-field advantage in the playoffs, Collaros might not be the only starter they choose to rest on Saturday. That should give more than a fighting chance to an Alouettes side that was neck-and-neck with them until the fourth quarter last week.
We backed the Als to cover as 12.5-point (+11.5 by game time) road underdogs in Week 14 and they did that by rushing for 125 yards on the ground and scoring 21 points. While 21 points might not sound that impressive, it is when you consider that prior to that contest the Bombers had allowed just 6.8 ppg at home this year.
The Bombers aren't quite as dominant on the road (giving up 17 ppg) and they won't be as explosive on offense without Collaros, which will make it tough to cover a touchdown spread.
Montreal has clinched a playoff spot but still needs to win and get some help if it wants to secure home-field advantage in the East Division semifinals. Montreal's biggest strength is its ground game, which leads the CFL with 150 rushing yards per game and 5.9 yards per carry, and it just so happens that Winnipeg's defense ranks seventh in the league with 5.4 ypc.
Expect running back William Stanback (1,066 rushing yards on 6.3 ypc) and the Als to get it done against a Winnipeg squad that could feature plenty of backups. With the Bombers 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road fave and the Als 17-7 ATS in their previous 24 contests as an underdog, grab the more motivated side with the points.
Under 44.5 (-110)
We mentioned that the Bombers defense hasn't been quite as good on the road as they are at home, but that's only when compared to their absurd dominance at IG Field. This is still a terrific stop unit that holds opponents to 6.4 yards per pass attempt, leads the league with 25 takeaways, and has allowed a total of six points in the fourth quarter all year.
That said, they might need their defense to play at a high level in this one if they hope to keep winning. Sure, the Bombers offense has depth but not even they can sit a likely MOP candidate like Collaros in favor of an untested QB and expect to continue playing at a high level — especially against an Alouettes defense that has shown a lot of improvement lately.
The Als lead the league with 45 sacks on the year and are limiting foes to 295 yards and 19.7 ppg over their last six contests. With the Under cashing in four of the Als last five games at home and also going 10-4 in Winnipeg's previous 14 contests overall, back it on Saturday.
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