Blue Bombers vs Argonauts Week 3 Picks and Predictions: Winnipeg D Looks Too Tough

Toronto and Winnipeg face off in a rematch of Week 2's low-scoring tilt. With the Bombers rocking a Teflon defense, is there any hope of the Argos breakout offensively? Find out as we preview the matchup with our Blue Bombers vs. Argonauts picks.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Aug 20, 2021 • 11:44 ET • 3 min read

The CFL betting board for Week 3 features a rematch of last Friday's clash between the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Toronto Argonauts, except this time it will be at BMO Field in Toronto.

After the Bombers easily covered as 7-point favorites a week ago, oddsmakers opened with them once again at -7 before shifting down to -3.

Can the defending Grey Cup champions beat and cover the spread against the Argos in consecutive weeks? We let you know what we think with our best free Blue Bombers vs. Argonauts picks and predictions for Saturday, August 21.

Blue Bombers vs Argonauts game info

Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Date: Saturday, August 21, 2021
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Blue Bombers vs Argonauts odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Check out the full line movement for this game

Blue Bombers at Argonauts betting preview

Weather

Key injuries

Blue Bombers: Andrew Harris RB (Questionable), Darvin Adams SB (Probable), Nic Demski SB (Questionable), Kyrie Wilson LB (Questionable).

Argonauts: John White IV RB (Questionable), Eli Rogers WR (Questionable), Robertson Daniel DB (Questionable), Shane Ray DE (Out), Drake Nevis DT (Questionable), Cordarro Law DE (Questionable), Isiah Cage OT (Questionable), Arjen Colquhoun DB (Questionable).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 5-0 in the Argonauts' last five games overall. Find more CFL betting trends for Blue Bombers vs. Argonauts.

Against the spread (ATS) pick

Coming off a Grey Cup victory in 2019, and with most of their team intact, it's a bit surprising that the Blue Bombers were just third on the CFL futures odds board heading into the season. But they have provedn that they're ready to defend their title, shutting down the Tiger-Cats and Argonauts in consecutive weeks.

The Bombers were efficient on offense and opportunistic on defense en route to a 20-7 win against the Argos on Saturday. Toronto was sloppy for the second week in a row, turning the ball over four times and getting called for 13 penalties. The Argos managed to win their season opener against Calgary despite 12 penalties, but Winnipeg is simply too clinical to let that sort of poor discipline go unpunished. 

After coming on in relief during the second half of Saturday's game, Nick Arbuckle has been given the starting job for the Argos this week. The 27-year-old impressed when he replaced the injured Bo Levi Mitchell in Calgary in 2019,  going 4-3 SU as a starter and completing over 73 percent of his passes for 2,103 yards and 11 touchdowns, while adding another four scores on the ground.

While Arbuckle immediately led the Argos on a touchdown-scoring drive in the third quarter, he finished the contest having completed just 10 of 19 passes for 96 yards and an interception. 

If the Argos tighten up and play smarter, they definitely have the talent to keep this game close at home, or even win outright. That made them very appealing as 7-point underdogs when the line for this game opened. But now that they're only catching three points, I have a hard time backing them, especially when you consider that the Bombers are 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these teams. 

PREDICTION: Winnipeg -3 (-110)

Over/Under pick

Quite simply, the Blue Bombers look like the best defensive team in the league. They were rock solid during their Grey Cup-winning season and look even tougher this season, holding Hamilton to 297 yards and six points in their season opener before limiting the Argos to 289 yards and seven points last week. Defensive ends Willie Jefferson and Jackson Jeffcoat bring the heat from the outside, while Adam Bighill is a force at linebacker. 

However, Winnipeg isn't the most explosive team on offense, and being without running back Andrew Harris hasn't helped. Harris led the league in rushing yards from 2017-2019 and is expected to be on the sidelines again as he battles a calf injury. 

The Argos have plenty of key players listed as questionable as well, but they are much more talented in their front seven than they were in 2019. The Argos held the Bombers' vaunted running game to just 53 yards on the ground last week and limited Stampeders star quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell to 252 yards through the air in Week 1.

These teams combined for just 27 points a week ago and I didn't see enough from either offense to even consider backing the Over 45.5 this time around. 

PREDICTION: Under 45.5 (-110)

Blue Bombers vs Argonauts betting card

  • Winnipeg -3 (-110)
  • Under 45.5 (-110)

Picks made on 8/20/2021 at 11:30 a.m. ET

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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