Elks vs Roughriders Week 15 Picks and Predictions: Catching Points in the Prairies

The CFL's penultimate week wraps up with Edmonton visiting Saskatchewan in hopes of ending a lost season with some momentum. Our Elks vs. Roughriders picks reveal why there may be some cause for optimism behind the underdogs.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Nov 12, 2021 • 15:22 ET • 4 min read

The final game on the CFL betting board in Week 15 is a rematch of last week's showdown between the Edmonton Elks and Saskatchewan Roughriders.

The Riders edged the Elks on the road last Friday and are 10.5-point favorites in Regina this time around. 

Here are our best free Elks vs. Roughriders for Saturday, November 13, with kickoff at 4 p.m. ET.

Elks vs Roughriders odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

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Elks vs Roughriders picks

Picks made on 11/12/2021 at 3:05 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Elks vs Roughriders game info

Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK
Date: Saturday, November 13, 2021
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
TV: TSN

Elks at Roughriders betting preview

Weather

Key injuries

Elks: Greg Ellingson WR (Questionable), James Wilder Jr. (Questionable), Derek Walker WR (Questionable), Mike Jones WR (Questionable), Thomas Costigan DT (Questionable), Mike Moore DT (Questionable), Nyles Morgan LB (Questionable), SirVincent Rogers OT (Out), Colin Kelly OT (Out), Jonathan Mincy DB (Out).
Roughriders: Kyran Moore WR (Out), Terran Vaughn OT (Out), Jon Ryan P (Out), Mike Edem LB (Out), Larry Dean LB (Out), Freddie Bishop III (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Under is 14-6-1 in the Elks' last 21 road games. Find more CFL betting trends for Elks vs. Roughriders.

Elks vs Roughriders predictions

The Elks have the worst record in the West at 2-9 and are decimated by injuries at the moment. However, they fought back in the fourth quarter last week, and while they came up short, they covered the touchdown spread, losing by a final score of 19-17.

Edmonton traded for quarterback Nick Arbuckle two weeks ago and signed him to an extension, but don't be surprised if they stick with Taylor Cornelius under center. The rookie passer is coming off his best performance, completing 21 of 35 passes for 322 yards and two scores against Saskatchewan last week.

Although the Elks' two best receivers (Greg Ellingson and Derel Walker) and starting running back James Wilder Jr. are all questionable with injuries, none of them played last week and Cornelius still impressed. 

The Riders have won five of their last seven games, but that's been mostly due to their stingy stop-unit. Their offense has struggled, with QB Cody Fajardo averaging just 216.9 passing yards per game while throwing for seven touchdowns and nine interceptions over the last nine contests. 

The Elks actually rank third in the league in total offensive yards (366.4) while ranking fourth in yards per game allowed (344.5), but a turnover margin of minus-16 has cost them several games.  That said, they haven't turned the ball over once in their last two games, and if they continue to take care of the football we like them to cover this big spread against an offense that hasn't been putting up points. 

The Riders have scored under 20 points in five straight games and there's plenty of blame to go around. Their offensive line has been shaky, top slotback Kyran Moore is out for the rest of the season with a knee injury, and star wideout Shaq Evans doesn't look fully recovered from a broken foot that cost him two months.

Whatever the reason, Fajardo has completed just one pass over 20 yards in his last four games and his frustration has been evident. and the Under has hit in five consecutive contests for Saskatchewan. 

Thankfully for Riders fans, their defense has been bailing them out, holding foes to 19 ppg over their last seven games. Saskatchewan's front seven has been outstanding, ranking second in the CFL with 40 sacks and holding opponents to a league-low 79.1 rushing yards per game.

Meanwhile, Cornelius showed last week he's still a rookie passer with a banged-up wide receiver corps and a lot of his production came in garbage time.

The betting trends are also pointing in the same direction. The Under is 14-6-1 in Edmonton's last 21 away games and has cashed in five straight contests for the Riders. Five of the last six meetings between these West Division foes have also gone below the total.

CFL parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed this week’s CFL Elks vs. Roughriders picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our CFL parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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