The closest line on the CFL betting board for Week 13 is a showdown between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Montreal Alouettes.
Both teams have identical 6-4 records and the Riders opened as slim 1.5-point road favorite for this contest before the line jumped the fence with the Als now at -1.
Here are our best free Roughriders vs. Alouettes picks and predictions for Saturday, October 30, with kickoff at 7 p.m. ET.
Roughriders vs Alouettes odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Roughriders vs Alouettes picks
Picks made on 10/28/2021 at 3:45 p.m. ET.
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Roughriders vs Alouettes game info
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC
• Date: Saturday, October 30, 2021
• Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN
Roughriders at Alouettes betting preview
Weather
Key injuries
Roughriders: A.J. Hendy DB (Questionable), Garrett Marino DL (Probable), Jon Ryan P (Out), Terran Vaughn OT (Out), Mike Edem S (Out), Larry Dean LB (Out), Freddie Bishop III DE (Out).
Alouettes: Vernon Adams Jr QB (Out), Mario Alford WR (Out), B.J. Cunningham WR (Out), Jean-Samuel Blanc DL (Out), Ryan Carter DB (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
Alouettes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games. Find more CFL betting trends for Roughriders vs. Alouettes.
Roughriders vs Alouettes predictions
Roughriders ML (+100)
The Alouettes are fresh off a 37-16 beatdown of the Argos and have won four games in a row despite losing star QB Vernon Adams Jr. to the six-game IL. The Als traded for veteran QB Trevor Harris last week and he could make his season debut on Saturday.
Harris struggled with turnovers with Edmonton this season but he's a proven commodity and should be an upgrade over limited backup Matt Schiltz. But the Als offense hinges on a running game that leads the CFL with a whopping 155.3 rushing yards per game and 6.0 yards per carry.
That said, running back William Stanback could find his job tougher than usual against a Saskatchewan stop-unit that ranks first in the league in rushing yards allowed per game (73.8) and yards allowed per carry (4.4).
The Riders are coming off a much-needed 20-17 win over the Stampeders last week. While they are 6-4 SU this season, all four of their losses have come against the Blue Bombers and Stamps. They've been much better against East Division foes, going a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS this year and 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in their previous nine contests versus East Division opponents going back to 2019.
Saskatchewan has a strong and balanced team on offense, defense, and special teams. That should give the Riders an edge against an Als team that has flaws in certain areas. Montreal's secondary and run defense have been suspect this season and the Alouettes defensive stats have been bouyed by three games against the Redblacks. With the Als going 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five games against West Division opponents, fade them versus Saskatchewan.
Under 46.5 (-110)
The Riders have a strong front four and should get a boost from the likely return of defensive tackle Garrett Marino. Saskatchewan's defense limits opponents to 20.5 points per game and is second in the league in both takeaways (21) and sacks (32). Who leads the league in sacks? You guessed it, the Alouettes who have racked up 38.
The Als have a high-powered attack and a leaky defense which is typically a recipe for Overs, but over the last few weeks their offense has slowed down slightly while their defense has shown improvement. While their running game has been dominant, they have taken fewer risks when throwing the ball and their return game has been sluggish without Mario Alford.
Although Harris will eventually settle in, it always takes a while for a QB to adjust to a new system, so don't expect a downfield attack on Saturday. Especially with a high chance of rain in Montreal.
With both Saskatchewan and Montreal able to clinch a playoff spot with a victory, expect strong defensive play and conservative play-calling from these squads and take the Under.
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