The CFL betting board for Week 6 features some intriguing games with three rematches from last week. The first of those will take place Friday night as the Hamilton Tiger-Cats try to make it three wins in a row when they travel to BMO Field for a grudge match against the Toronto Argonauts.
The Ti-Cats beat the Argos by 13 points on Monday and CFL betting lines opened with them installed as 4-point road favorites for Friday's contest.
Can the Argos bounce back? We let you know what we think with our best free Tiger-Cats vs. Argonauts picks and predictions for Friday, September 10.
Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts game info
• Location: BMO Field, Toronto, ON
• Date: Friday, September 10, 2021
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN
Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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Tiger-Cats at Argonauts betting preview
Weather
Key injuries
Tiger-Cats: Jeremiah Masoli QB (Questionable), Maleek Irons RB (Out), Chris Van Zeyl OT (Out), Bralon Addison (Out), DeVier Posey WR (Out), Lorenzo Mauldin IV DE (Out).
Argonauts: Ricky Collins Jr. WR (Questionable), Arjen Colquhoun DB (Questionable), Kony Ealy DL (Out), Juwan Brescanin WR (Out), Shane Ray (Out), Drake Nevis (Out), Cordarro Law (Questionable), Isiah Cage OL (Out).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between these teams. Find more CFL betting trends for Tiger-Cats vs. Argonauts.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
The Argos have a good 'ol fashioned QB battle on their hands. They began the season with 2019 starter McLeod Bethel-Thompson under center, then replaced him with offseason acquisition Nick Arbuckle midway through a Week 2 loss to Winnipeg. Arbuckle led them to a revenge victory against the Bombers in Week 3 but was pulled against the Ti-Cats after throwing two picks.
Both of these teams have identical 2-2 records but Hamilton has more momentum after a 32-19 victory against the Argos on Labor Day.
However, the Argos actually outgained the Ti-Cats 369-332 in total yards and had almost four more minutes of ball control in that contest. In addition, Bethel-Thompson looked sharp in relief, completing 8-12 passes for 111 yards and a score. It was turnovers and a punt return touchdown from Frankie Williams that cost the Argos the game.
It's always tough to win (and cover the spread as a fave) in consecutive weeks against the same opponent, especially when that foe is at home. We saw that in Week 3 when the Argos beat the Bombers as 4.5-point home dogs despite losing 20-7 just a week earlier. Expect the Argos to make the necessary adjustments and back them on the spread.
PREDICTION: Toronto +4 (-110)
Over/Under pick
The Ti-Cats had a bit of a QB controversy of their own. Jeremiah Masoli was named a CFL East All-Star in 2018 but suffered a season-ending injury in his sixth game of the 2019 season.
Backup Dane Evans took over and had a fantastic year, leading Hamilton to the Grey Cup and passing for over 330 yards in seven of his last nine games. When this season started, Masoli got his job back but, banged up and struggling, he has been replaced by Evans who has, once again, been very efficient.
It's also worth mentioning that Hamilton's star receiver Brandon Banks has yet to put together a good game this year. The speedster had 2,970 receiving yards and 24 touchdowns in 30 games during 2018 and 2019, but has just 157 receiving yards and hasn't found the end zone in four contests this year. Once he gets going, this passing game could be scary again.
We mentioned that Bethel-Thompson looked good after replacing Arbuckle on Monday and perhaps Toronto coach Ryan Dinwiddie was too quick to replace the 2019 starter with someone he had coached in Calgary. After all, the Blue Bombers proved in Week 5 against Cody Fajardo that their defense can make any passer look silly.
Don't forget that Bethel-Thompson threw for 4,024 yards and 26 touchdowns with a mediocre receiving corps in 2019, and he gashed the Stampeders for 354 yards through the air in Week 1 this year. And with the Argos now boasting an entirely new group of starting receivers they are just starting to scratch the surface of their newfound chemistry with Bethel-Thompson.
The Argos offense ranks second in the league with 381.8 yards per game but their defense ranks third-worst in points per game allowed with 23.8. With the Over cashing in seven of the last eight games between these rivals, don't hesitate to back it again.
PREDICTION: Over 45.5 (-110)
Tiger-Cats vs Argonauts betting card
- Toronto +4 (-110)
- Over 45.5 (-110)
Picks made on 9/08/2021 at 10:30 a.m. ET
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