UFC 253: Kara-France vs Royval Picks and Predictions

Kai Kara-France is No. 7 in the UFC flyweight rankings. He's coming off a unanimous-decision victory over Tyson Nam in February and has won nine of his last 10 fights.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Sep 22, 2020 • 07:01 ET
Kai Kara France UFC 253
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Kai Kara-France vs. Brandon Royval is on the main card for UFC 253 betting on Saturday, September 26. This should be a war between two ranked flyweights looking to climb to the top of the division. UFC odds have Kara-France installed as the -250 favorite, while Royval is the underdog at +198. 

We break down the UFC betting odds for this flyweight battle and give our best picks and predictions for Kara-France vs. Royval at UFC 253.

Kara-France vs Royval odds

Method of Victory Kai Kara-France Brandon Royval
Win outright -250 +198
Win by KO/TKO +500 +850
Win by points -110 +500
Win by submission +1,000 +700
Draw +5,000 +5,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel

Kara-France vs Royval betting preview

Kai Kara-France is No. 7 in the UFC flyweight rankings. He's coming off a unanimous-decision victory over Tyson Nam in February and has won nine of his last 10 fights. The New Zealand native is high-volume striker who averages 5.27 significant strikes per minute and has a lot of pop in his right hand. 

Nicknamed "Don't Blink" for the first-round finishes that filled up his resume earlier in his career, Kara-France hasn't found things quite so easy now that he's facing tougher opponents. Seven of his previous eight fights have gone the distance.  

Brandon "Raw Dawg" Royval is the No. 10 flyweight contender. Royval is fresh off his first career UFC fight, a submission victory over Tim Elliott in May. The 28-year-old has now won seven of his last eight fights

Royval is a well-rounded fighter that excels on the ground, with his last three victories - and seven of his 11 overall wins - coming by submission.  

 

Kara-France vs Royval tale of the tape

Kai Kara-France   Brandon Royval
27 Age 28
5-foot-4 Height 5-foot-9
125 lbs Weight 125 lbs
69 inches Reach 70.5 inches
21-8-1 Record 11-4-0

Kara-France vs Royval predictions and betting picks

PREDICTION: Kara-France to win by points -110 - As tempting as it is to root for a fighter nicknamed Raw Dawg - especially when he will try to engage in close-contact grappling - I just don't see the underdog winning. While Royval has a strong submission game, Kara-France has terrific takedown defense and is the much better fighter standing up. 

Royval might have won of his last five fights, but he has only one victory at the UFC level and it will be a step up in competition against Kara-France. Kara-France has seen all five of his UFC fights go the distance, which has us leaning towards a win via points on Saturday night. 

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Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports.

Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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