CFL Week 7

Question

A few things stick out right away:Hamilton as a road favorite over the last 10 to 15 years is .Okay much better the last few years going 13-7 as a favorite, but 2-4 as a favorite the last 6.  they had a good run but they are coming back to earth.  Indigo makes a good point about coach Ken Austin.  He is superior, but this is a middle of the road team.  After this week they will be 3-3.I am on Peg &#x2B;3.5

spottie2935 · Answer

A few things stick out right away:Hamilton as a road favorite over the last 10 to 15 years is .Okay much better the last few years going 13-7 as a favorite, but 2-4 as a favorite the last 6.  they had a good run but they are coming back to earth.  Indigo makes a good point about coach Ken Austin.  He is superior, but this is a middle of the road team.  After this week they will be 3-3.I am on Peg &#x2B;3.5

spottie2935 · Answer

other things that stick outEdmonton &#x2B;4.5 or 5.5?  what?  over reaction!!!!  Ottawa is not Elite!!!!   Edmontons D is piss poor !  and their offense has been a know show for 6 quarters now.  That is not going to be the case the rest of the year.  Jason Maas is a new coach and has to get his game plan figured out.  Get the ball to the beast WR&#x27;s and lets your good QB make the throws and as  a dog in this spot it should be goldEdmonton &#x2B; finally getting some value.  once again Ottawa over laying points!

spottie2935 · Answer

Sask@Calgary  no line but -14 is about right maybe less I am no lines maker .Calgary or nothing here.  Sask playing one of the bests here.  I am not taking the points but I am not a fan of laying this many.  too many things can go wrong.  kicking and special teams can ruin a 14 point line.  This could and should be a blowout, but I probably wont have action.  No line because the sask QB status is in the air?  probably.   maybe that will change my mind, but i still think sask can stink this one up and look to the coming weeks to make a sask play.

spottie2935 · Answer

Peg already down to 2.5????thats too bad i only took it small thinking it would go up not down.  home teams are going to start winning though.  I think this is one of the home wins

spottie2935 · Answer

now its 2??

spottie2935 · Answer

If you like the stamps its 12.5 and might and should move higher

spottie2935 · Answer

Both 59 totals.  Sask @ Calgary 59.5 depends on who is playing QB for sask.  I havent looked yet.ED @ OTT 59.  This one makes more sense.

spottie2935 · Answer

I have the following Peg &#x2B;3.5Edmonton &#x2B;4.5Under Calg/ Sask 59.5Good #&#x27;s and solid plays.  Hope it plays out like I think

CJT_Super_Glide · Answer

Hey Spottie....thanks for your posts.......I&#x27;ve posted how my metric has ranked the teams going into week 7....I only have to possible plays at this point...Hamilton would be a play according to my numbers, but Winnipeg is using a new pumped up QB - he seems on a mission. I&#x27;ll probably not bet this game.The other play I may do is Ottawa since my numbers are showing that Edmonton is the worst team in CFL.  I feel like I may take this on as home teams should catch up a little at some point.... this is a rebound spot for Ottawa, but then again, if they&#x27;re starting burris again, I may not play this one either.  IDK

spottie2935 · Answer

Okay thanks cjtI like the Edmonton game but it&#x27;s not a sure thing.  I just like the switch from big favorite to catching more than &#x2B;3 that&#x27;s a 2 td switch!

NJBeast · Answer

Took ur win&#x2B;3 I got and edm&#x2B;4. Cal-12.5 right now?

AussieDownUnder · Answer

https://www.killersports.com/cfl/query?sdql=p%3AHFL&#x2B;and&#x2B;p%3Aline%3C%3D-6&#x2B;and&#x2B;AD&#x2B;and&#x2B;line%3C6&amp;submit=&#x2B;&#x2B;S&#x2B;D&#x2B;Q&#x2B;L&#x2B;%21&#x2B;&#x2B;

AussieDownUnder · Answer

Agree with Spottie, I don&#x27;t like the massive 2 TD line swing. But it depends, is Harris on the 6 week injury list or did he just miss the last game? If Harris is QB, then no play for me. If Burris starts, like the Eskimos.

spottie2935 · Answer

Hi Aussie.can you explain this when you have time please.p:HFL and p:line &lt;= -6 and AD and line &lt; 6p=previousH=homeF=favoriteL=lastand p:=previous:line &lt;=-6and A=awayD=underdogand line is now &lt;6please correct any mistakes please

spottie2935 · Answer

NJBeast I dont play big favorites.  I usually dont bet against the Saskatchewan Riders.  This week I want to play Calgary -12.5, but I cant.  i like the under in that game as noted above.

spottie2935 · Answer

I maybe including Montreal still searching info.The thing that pops about BC they are undefeated as dogs and this week a switch to a favorite.  All of their games so far the dog has won straight up.

AussieDownUnder · Answer

Hey Spottie,Bravo buddy You hit all the nails on the head mate.Exactly what you said. Not a very big sample size but still, I like your train of thought considering the massive line shift from the Eskimos being -10 vs the Bombers and now &#x2B;4 vs the Redblacks..

spottie2935 · Answer

That&#x27;s good!!!It&#x27;s still hard to put together a formula there because everything is very specific.  You need spaces and proper words like "and"and "line" and yet also you need to know Lettering.  A,H,L,D,F.  It&#x27;s a bit much for a simple guy like me.

AussieDownUnder · Answer

Weston Dressler is on the 6 game injury list. That is a massive loss for the Bombers. I know they did well 2H without him last week but their 1H was amazing thanks to Dressler. Tough call this game tomorrow

spottie2935 · Answer

I guess I am betting on or against the Masoli factor. MVP or the bench this week?

Hamilton is deep at the WR position and Peg is all beat up.

The home teams have totally sucked.
The favorites have sucked

Masoli laying more than a field goal after a huge game.

I hope we see this Masoli again

19 of 27 0 TD 1 INT and 208 yards

Indigo999 · Answer

A couple of corrections on the queries."L" = lost,   not last game, "p" means last or previous game and "pp" would mean the second previous game.line&lt;-6 actually means -7 or -8 or -9 etc.  however when the number is positive, (not negative) the "less than" sign denotes a smaller numberline &lt;6 would be &#x2B;5, or &#x2B;4, or &#x2B;3, or &#x2B;2, &#x2B; 1, 0, or -1 etc.So to put the query into words....p:HFL and p:line &lt;= -6 and AD and line &lt; 6Means that a team that lost their previous game as a home favorite where they were at least a -6 favorite (-6, -7 or -8, etc), now they are an away dog where they are less than a 6 point dog....&#x2B;5, or  &#x2B;4, or &#x2B;3,  or &#x2B;2 etc.  Fits Edmonton this week as they were -10 last week (p) and now are 4 point away dogs (AD) in this game.Totals are moving down and now covers consensus numbers show the public is onto the under trend.Spot, are you the whale that is moving these lines?

Indigo999 · Answer

There is a query....when a team has lost two straight games as a favorite, now a home favorite in a non divisional game...that team is 6-0 winning by an average of 22 points, with the smallest win by 10 points.....fits Ottawa this week.

p:FL and pp:FL and HF and not DIV

Indigo999 · Answer

Also, when a home non divisional favorite lost last week as a home favorite despite being up at half time, they are 6-1 ATS after that loss....fitting Ottawa again.

p:HFL and p:M2>0 and HF and not DIV

spottie2935 · Answer

Whale? Lol hardly I am the little fish the whale sees as dung and moves right past lol.

I understand that Ottawa is a play on here. Edmonton is totally messed up. I am just moving on the fact that finally they find themselves in a favorable line position. Ottawa has not been doing well, not a lot of favorites have. This might be a bad spot for Edmonton but Edmonton has a load on offense. They have not been playing well but that should change this week.

The totals are heading down. Maybe Durrant plays. Since Calgary wants to score lately maybe they put Sask under fire early and often.

We'll see how this all shakes out.

CJT_Super_Glide · Answer

Ottawa was the only one I liked anyhow... my numbers have Ottawa as the #4 team in the CFL and Edmonton as the #9, worst team to bet on.  Thanks - this confirms my only play for the week that I can see at this point.

CFL Week 7

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