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- 2024 NCAAB TOURNAMENT / NIT

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MVP
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Joined: Feb, 2023
Posts: 15680
Posted: #201

Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:

@Michigan_D  Yes I PM'd you

 

You messaged me? I’m not even able to get into my stuff, I don’t even know why

 
Legend
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Joined: Jan, 2005
Posts: 34008
Posted: #202

@Michigan_D

 peace_5

 
Banned
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Posts: 6283
Posted: #203

Quote Originally Posted by zircon:

Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:   Sat: 2-9  -55.5 units... Standard recommendation posted all over the internet including on Covers.com is for 2-3% of total BR per bet (like Wolefman3 stated!) for an average bettor, which includes beginners. Skilled and experienced handicappers will of course bet a higher percentage of their total BR because they are less likely to lose than the average guy. 3% would be a minimum for the skilled and experienced handicapper on any given bet. Highly skilled handicappers bet an even higher percentage of their total BR as for them there is an even smaller chance of losing. Any bet with no assigned units is assumed a one unit bet thereby costing 3% of total BR, for the skilled handicapper. 10 games bet, each for one unit, would mean 30% of total BR is being risked. Likewise it follows logically that a 10 unit bet on a single game is also costing 30% of total BR (as Wolfeman3 agreed!)  Therefore if a person truly is a  skilled and experienced handicapper then he is logically limited to an absolute maximum of about 33 units in play at any given moment before he tops out his entire BR, except the vast majority of the skilled and experienced handicappers would rarely even approach maxing out their BR. Yesterday, this thread posted 87 units in play at one given time. Sunday we see 32 units in play posted already!

 

zurch- go jump in the lake. an_cheers

The impossible only takes longer….
 
Captain
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Joined: Dec, 2019
Posts: 6547
Posted: #204

Quote Originally Posted by Wizerguy:

@Puerta2Puerta  The children must play bro..nice day you had

yesteday I did well. Today not so good. That baylor and JMU gave were killers.

 
Legend
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Joined: Jan, 2005
Posts: 34008
Posted: #205

@Puerta2Puerta

 Going to take what I learned this year with the conversion from the Sagarin's ratings to Kenpom and bring it into next March..peace_5

 
Legend
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Posts: 34008
Posted: #206

@wolfeman3

 let the children play Wolfeman, you're aware of  what I did past 3 years +120 units when Baylor won the NGC the St Peters game vs Purdue on National Peacocks Day in '22 a solid season and a solid March last season. Jeff Sagarin not posting his ratings this year and learning the Kempom on the fly this season hurt mepeace_5

 
Prospect
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Joined: Feb, 2015
Posts: 420
Posted: #207

@zircon

Are you finally done talking to yourself? Fuckin loser

 
Banned
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Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 6283
Posted: #208

@Wizerguy

Some great matchups coming peace_5  I don’t know many at all that had a profitable first 4 days. 

1 kilometer on the marathon lol bigsmile

The impossible only takes longer….
 
Captain
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Joined: Sep, 2021
Posts: 6453
Posted: #209

@Wizerguy

 Ignore the haters my friend. You have been solid for many years. Enjoy the day today that the Lord has provided. God Bless!

 
Legend
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Posts: 34008
Posted: #210

@Romans

Smile at their antics and tolerate their presence as you would a silly child, its all part of the human comedy. 

We must continue to walk by faith, not by sitepeace_5

 
Legend
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Joined: Jul, 2004
Posts: 154411
Posted: #211

@Romans12 peace_5

@Wizerguy peace_5

goodpost Post #209 & #210 

Much respect fellas peace_5

new_moj_smile

 

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
 
Legend
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Joined: Jan, 2005
Posts: 34008
Posted: #212

@Macwestie1

 peace ( Heart )peace_5

 
 
Veteran
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Joined: Dec, 2021
Posts: 3704
Posted: #213

 Let's effin gooooooo wiserpeace_5

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