Bubba's $$$$ Thread SATURDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 03.19.16

Sorry fellas i posted my day 2 LAst Man Standing picks on anoher post FORGOT the title of this one and it didn't pop up early...

...the Whistle is still picking the winners and making leads disappear,hopefully next week things will change....

So first I will comment on the ND (-1.5) SF Austin posters make solid points.....But truth is SFA is solid also this is a pretty good play with 2 point SFA..> ND struggled vs a weak young michigan team. However, Notre dame is the National teamand probably will get the Favorable whistle.
yes SFA doesnt have only 1 great win WVa &...1 great player. Walkups . It is true ND spreads it around.....So does UCONN I was told.....GONE! 
The style matchup was well coached and WVa best weapon became its worst enemy, as SFA attacked the  press until WVa gave up pressing.....

NOW FOR MY last man Standing pick for sunday....
( so under the contest rules you play till you lose and split the pot ($52,000+)  only 611 left......Stations contest. I bought 2 cards. my A card remains....lost my B card as Miami didn't cover....
TOdays pick was Va I posted somewhere on covers, not sure where it landed.

SUNDAY  I am split between the Sooners and the Tx  AM Aggies..
I am taking the Aggies as my best play!

#1  Biggest variance in ranking from 3 sources of the 8 games.A&M is top 20 , while NIowa is still in the mid 60's.
#2  N Iowa mid court shot.....all luck....back in their minds they know they had lost. And now so have the Shockers.
#3. Only SEC team left  now that KY is gone. NIowa is no Indiana! and KY only won tourney due to OT!
 #4.  4 Seniors starters no in experience disadvantage
#5. Size advantage front and back court....
#6 Off versus NI's def. looks like +3 
#7 Def vs NI Off  looks 6 better
#8 A&M had only 3 losses when their 6-10 forward was charged with DUI by campus security, they then lost 4 in early Feb over this.
( so I think they are better than their record with Morrales in the line-up.
 
I must lay 6.5 with TX A&M  or OK  ( but won't know till after 7 am PDT....if its more I will go with the home team Sooners.as my back-up..against a small and overrated east coast bias team VCU.)
best wins out of conference Buffy and @ Mid Tenn
 ranked 128 & 106 at the time respectively..... I am unimpressed.

I had listed and elaborated on 7 reasons why I like NOVA and then lost what I typed when I clicked on another Covers heading.  This time I'll just sum it up.

1. Game site much closer to home.
2. Much better overall record.
3. Iowa has lost 5 of last 7, incl losses to Penn St and Illinois.
4. Nova has #20 defense, giving up only 63 ppg.
5. Last 5 games, Iowa shooting under 40% and Nova shooting 50% against equal or better competition.
6. Friday, Nova coasted with 30 point win and Iowa squeaked by with a 2 point OT win.
7. Except for Indiana, Big Ten has been a major disappointment.

I expect Nova to win the game handily, 77-64.  There are 6.5's out there.  I bought it down to 6, but would have played it at 7.  I also played the under for a lesser amount. I realize this is not an "in-depth" analysis, but sometimes the obvious just jumps out at you.  There is no reason to believe that Iowa is going to all of a sudden revert back to some allegedly "good Iowa."  Iowa is not good.  I'll take my chances with the #2 seed against a mediocre Big Ten team.

SUNDAY PLAY   $$$$$   XAVIER -4

Parlay of the day!!!
Mary-7,ND+1,Syr-6, 13-15 seeds in round of 32 games 5-14 ats lifetime 26% cover