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Bubba's $$$$ Thread SATURDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 03.19.16

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Posted: #26

Not $$$$ plays but I also like..

Wichita State -2

Over 131 on Wichita State vs Miami

 
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Posted: #27
Miami-Florida +2 and +115 on the ML, they win outright.  While I had the Shockers winning in my Bracket, I think they come up short against a solid Mia-Fl squad,  yes, the Shockers play good defense but we step it up in competition level here, Purdue was a Pretender and like I said earlier I had the Shockers advancing so no shock to me.  If you look at the last 5 games played overall prior to the tourney and competition, Miami has the edge and is playing better.  The individual matchups break down to Miami's advantage however I wil give Wichita the slight edge in depth.  I do not think that wil be a factor as Miami's starters will control this one.....  I am all over them to win outright here.  GL everyone!
 
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Posted: #28
Not Purdue, Vanderbilt!!!   Wichita beat Vandy,   I am stil celebrating UALR win over the Boilermakers...LOL
 
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Posted: #29
My book has Leicester ML at +145... is this an error? should i jump on it?
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by rf_dawg:

UALR vs Iowa State

These two teams are coming off of very different games on Thursday. Iowa State cruised to a high scoring win over Iona while Little Rock battered its way to a double OT win vs Purdue.

I think the total is over-inflated based on the following:

1) UALR has the 3rd best scoring defense nationally, at just under 60 ppg
2) UALR knows that the Cyclones like an up-tempo pace and are the more talented team. Solution: slow the game down.
3) The total went over for each team in their first games but this is deceptive as it was certainly under in the Purdue/UALR game at the end of regulation. 
4) UALR is coming off a double OT game with only one day of rest.
5) Both teams played a game at altitude and now have a quick turnaround for a second game at altitude. I can really see this slowing the pace, especially in the second half.

$$$$ Pick: UALR/Iowa State under 145

Also like the following unders:
Indiana/Kentucky under 155.5
Miami/Wichita State under 131.5
Kentucky/Indiana under 155.5
UNC/Providence under 151
Utah/Gonzaga under 140


RF dawg you beat me to it I had a similar write up planned but no need yours is better.

This is also my $$$$ play Arkansas LR Iowa State Under 145

I also like the following
Yale +4 1h
Wichita state -1
Under 140 Gonzaga Vs Utah U
 
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Posted: #31
im not sure if he was  picking a draw or a win?
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by SnakeMan420:

My book has Leicester ML at +145... is this an error? should i jump on it?

I'm not betting ML since there's no push if the game ends tied. Look for asian handicap 0 / PK on Leicester
 
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Posted: #33
In alternative lines it offers a DNB (draw no bet line). It pays you if they win and its a push if its a draw. I found it on one of my sites
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by rebel1927:

$$$$ Wichita State -2 vs Miami



1. Defense. I think the Wichita State defense is going to give Miami a great deal of headaches. Miami wins games based on guard play but Rodriguez is no VanVleet and he is physically weaker. Miami runs their offense off of pick and rolls constantly and I think that the quick Wichita front court will help disrupt this. Miami would have to shoot absolutely lights out from 3 to win this game - McClellan is capable but I just think the Wichita defense is going to be rabid tomorrow.

2. Miami is downtrending and Wichita is absolutely rolling right now - Miami have turned it over 60 times in the last 5 games. They struggled a bit with Buffalo who is by no means a defensive juggernaut. At times it seemed that Miami just couldn't get stops and had no flow on offense. Miami is allowing opponents to shoot over 35% from 3 during the last 5 games. Wichita, well we have all watched the last two games....

3. Intangibles, effort, and shooting - I think it would be difficult for anyone to argue that Miami beats Wichita head to head in the above 3 categories. The chemistry and amount of time these kids on Wichita have played together is extremely rare to have. This coach has them 100% buying into playing angry and they will be flying around tomorrow. I think they have an edge in 3 point shooting which is always important during tournament time. I think Wichita plays another great, dominant defensive game tomorrow and they win by 4-10 points.

Good luck!


Line down to -1/5.  Reverse line movement?  We scared?
 
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Posted: #35
Kansas    They are playing great and w a chip on their shoulders
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by bk1374:


ML and PK are different in soccer.  On a ML play, a draw means you lose.  On a PK line, you push on a draw.

The PK -140 line is the play in the $$$$ write up. Draw means a push.  

@bk - you like this play?
 
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Posted: #37
$$$$$$ GONZAGA =even. The Zags have been hot Lately and have really been sharing the ball and finding the open man easily. Utah has one thing going for them which is there center but I believe Gonzaga has just enough size to deal with them not to mention physical advantage Gonzaga is a great tournament team and believe it or not won a very hard conference tournament. This team will be hyped up for this game and come out blazing. $$$$$$ 3-1-1
 
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Posted: #38
I like Wagner +15 at Creighton today as well.  $$$ play already in today though
 
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Posted: #39
YTD-22-11 Kentucky-3 GL everyone
 
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Posted: #40

$$$$ INDIANA/KENTUCKY OVER 72.5 1ST HALF $$$$

As much as I'd love to sit here and pick Indiana to win this game with how well they have played (except Michigan), I don't see once the horn sounds anything other then Kentucky winning in the end. But I do think with the emotions surrounding this game 3-4 point spread seems like it might be tight go Hoosiers though and make me a believer.

Anyway my play is 1st half, out of the gates this is where Indiana I think rides their hot shooting and gets out and runs trying to shoot Kentucky out of the gym. Kentucky imo will rebound and run as well Ulis and Ferrell will dictate the pace and I imagine moxy will want each to prove who is the alpha guard in this game. I don't think IU has answer for Murray and Kentucky will have issues with T.Williams though I think Williams plays out of control. Up and downs !st half maybe some, If IU gets out slow they are done before 1st half ends, IU has to score and score a bunch . one of these teams will hit 40 and other will be right on their heels, I believe the !st half will be the show of this game before game slows down and grinds its way to the buzzer...gl all

 

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by threeforthree:


@bk - you like this play?

No.  I played the draw on a whim.  
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by threeforthree:


@bk - you like this play?

To clarify, playing Leicester on a PK/DNB line is not bad, I just can't lay that much juice on a road side, even vs. Crystal Palace.  I liked the price on draw, this one could end 1-1.  But it was a smaller risk for me. I'm no expert though, so what I say and what happens certainly don't always overlap!  

That being said, betting against Leicester has been a losing proposition all season.  I hate rooting against them, because it's a great story, but have to support my Spurs!!


BOL...............
 
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Posted: #43
Friday $$$$ Summary: 5-7-6  42%

Winners: Donkey_dealer08, worthbob, Rf_dawg, OneHundo, desertcapper
Losers: Dark_McGwire, PoutyPrince, RedBandit, limbix, HammerTheOver, raider44, SikSenses
Draws: TopFlightSports, Lakerz, burntcalloway, bshoe43, bk1374, TiltingChaser

$$$$ Thread NCAA Tournament $$$$ Record:   19-16-4
 
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Posted: #44
                          $$$$ Standings                        
                            Currently Updated Thru 3-18-2016                               
       
$$$$ Thread YTD:       345-249-21      58%  
$$$$ This Week:         38-28-9           58%
$$$$ Friday:                  5-7-6            42% 
       

$$$$ Standings for Players with 10 or more $$$$
          Note: Above .500 required                                      
                       
1.  Rf_dawg--------------(13-4-1)----76.47%
2.  Rebel1927---------------(8-3)-----72.72%
3.  TopFlightSports----(13-5-1)-------72.22%
4.  Jimc0911------------(10-4)--------71.43%
5.  Gatorbear-------------(12-5)-------70.59%
6.  Bubbaski27----------(16-7-1)-----69.57%
7.  FenwayFrank-------(11-5)--------68.75%
8.  wmi799----------------(12-6)--------67%
8.  Desertcapper--------(10-5)----------67%
10. NFL_Brosuf--------(16-10-3)---61.54%
11. USC_Holmey-------(9-6-1)-------60%
11. Donkey dealer08-----(6-4-1)--------60%
11. Lakerz-------------(6-4-1)-------60%
14. ncaabb---------------(10-7)---------58.82%
15. BadTimes-----------(8-8)---------50.00%
15. PoutyPrince-----------(5-5)---------50.00%
 
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Posted: #45
$$$$ Standings for Players with 9 or less $$$$    
Note: Above .500 required and a minimum of 4 $$$$ 

1. beardown1123------------(4-0)
2. gambleholic63------------(4-1)
2.      Geeman7-----------------(4-1)
4. worthbob-------------------(7-2)
5.      redtear2989---------------(6-2)
5.      burntcalloway------------(3-1-1)
5. mommo--------------------(3-1)
5. QQladiesmanQQ-------(3-1)
5.      JustLucke----------------(3-1)
10. OneHundo----------------(5-2)
11. GtimeButler---------------(6-3)
11.     limbix-------------------------(4-2)
11.     siksenses-----------------(4-2)
11. Thebigcat-----------------(2-1-1)
15. TiltingChaser-----------(3-2-1)
15.     gatornation24-----------(3-2-1)
15. Stu23----------------------(3-2)
18. Da_Oracle---------------(4-3)
19. Supereagle43-----------(4-4)
19.     Dark_McGwire---------(4-4)
19. Steelerbets--------------(3-3-1)
19. BK1374-------------------(3-3-1)
 
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Posted: #46
Still no kussoy sightings.

Am bouncing back after disrespecting SFA against the mountaineers. The lumberjacks picked their pockets on a number of occasions as well as mine .

Went back to the nit to seek some gold and to even my ssss record.
Wagner travels to omaha to contest the creighton bluejays. The blue love to run and gun especially at home. Wagner has shown, even in a big spot that it well accommodate a fast pace.m

Am promised a big crowd will  attend tonight inspiring a lightning pace
Am designating creighton over 145 as my ssss play today

Good luck
Bandit

 
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Posted: #47


2. Poeltl is a big man, but a very over-rated one. Utah was out rebounding Fresno St something like 16-6 after the first few minutes. It was a clear mismatch, but couldn't seem to capitalize. They even let Fresno regain the lead briefly, toward the end before they woke up and realized they were plarebound benefit like th. Zags by 6+ maybe even 10+ if Utah shoots horribly. Lock it in. BOL cappers. 
[/Quote]


no way is Poeltl overrated, he is by far the best big man in the country, He'll go top 3 in the draft prob, its too bad zaga didn't have karnowski available to neutralize Jacob, sabonis will do a goog job too, but need to stay away from foul trouble
 
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Posted: #48
also dranganis is the overrated one, but wiljter will be the difference 

zags -2
 
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Posted: #49
Hey  Bubba  who DO YOU LIKE "TODAY"
 
 
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Posted: #50
Does anybody have any opinion on the Creighton Game line is
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