Conf Tournament Info So Far

Wednesday, March 13th plays:

2 unit plays**:

1. St Joseph’s (104) vs George Mason** 0-1 (95) -2.0

2. USC (86) vs Washington** 0-1 (60) +3.5

3. Oklahoma** 0-1 (40) +3.5 vs TCU (33)

4. NC State** 0-2 (76) +2.0 vs Syracuse (79)

5. CA Baptist** 0-2 (193) +5.5 vs Utah Valley (164)

6. Cincinnati** 0-1 (43) -2.5 vs Kansas (18)

1 Unit plays:

7. UCF 0-2 (57) +6.0 vs BYU (16)

8. Rice 0-1 (226) +3.0 vs Wichita St (159)

9. Fordham 0-1 (190) +8.5 vs VCU (84)

10. Fresno St 0-2 (245) +5.5 vs Wyoming (154)

11. Notre Dame (121) vs Wake Forest 0-1 (26) -9.5

12. Alabama A & M 0–1 (329) +4.0 vs Alcorn St (290)

13. UTSA 0-2 (255) -2.0 vs Temple (219)

14. San Jose St 0-1 (248) +14.5 vs Colorado St (35)

15. Nicholls 0-2 (224) +16.5 vs McNeese (63)

16. Lasalle (199) vs St Bonaventure 0-1 (96) -7.5

17. Oregon St 0-2 (157) +6.0 vs UCLA (102)

18. Coppin St 0-2 (360) +13.5 vs Norfolk St (236)

19. Georgetown 0-2 (191) +9.5 vs Providence (62)

20. Lehigh 0-2 (260) +8.5 vs Colgate (150)

21. Vanderbilt 0-1 (186) +6.0 vs Arkansas (106)

22. Kansas St 0-1 (68) +5.5 vs Texas (23)

23. STL 0-1 (195) +8.5 vs Duquesne (100)

24. MD-Eastern 0-2 (349) +9.5 vs NC Central (242)

25. Michigan 0-1 (126) +7.0 vs Penn St (77)

26. Iona (222) vs Fairfield 0-2 (167) -4.5

27. DePaul 0-2 (315) +24.0 vs Villanova (29)

28. MTSU 0-2 (281) +9.0 vs Louisiana Tech (90)

29. Missouri 0-1 (146) +2.5 vs Georgia (93)

30. Boston College 0-1 (88) +7.0 vs Clemson (24)

31. Montana State 0-2 (230) +6.0 vs Montana (145)

32. Arizona St (120) vs Utah 0-2 (51) -5.5

My brief analysis is this system was great through Sunday when it went 9-1 and not so great the last 2 days. I will try to finish this through Sunday (very labor intensive) so we get a final picture.

Good luck!

2. Teams that have played each other once or twice and are winless in the season series: 

Yesterday: 19-13 (59.4%) ATS (any Kenpom)

Overall: 59-44 (57.3%) ATS (any Kenpom - these are the combined 1 and 2 unit plays)

Yesterday: 3-3 (50.0%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom)

Overall: 17-11 (60.7%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom - these are the 2 unit plays)

Interesting info:

Monday and Tuesday, in games in which teams were 1-1 head-to-head, the favorites were 1-14 (.067%). 

The favorites rallied today 9-2.

Wednesday = 9-2

Tuesday = 0-9

Monday = 1-5

Total Monday thru Wednesday (1-1 head-to-head games):

Favorites: 10-16 (38.5%)

Today’s games on the way.

Thursday, March 14, 2024:

2 unit plays**:

1. St Joseph’s** 0-1 (103) +3.0 vs Richmond (81)

2. BYU** 0-1 (15) -2.0 vs Texas Tech (24)

3. Tulsa** 0-1 (180) +2.0 vs E. Carolina (181)

4. Bowling Green** 0-2 (239) -2.5 vs C. Michigan (269)

5. VCU** 0-1 (86) -1.5 vs UMass (84)

6. St John’s** 0-2 (29) -4.0 vs Seton Hall (56)

7. TCU (31) vs Houston** 0-1 (1) -9.5

8. St Bonaventure (96) vs Loyola Chicago** 0-1 (93) -2.5

9. Ohio State** 0-1 (50) -2.0 vs Iowa (52)

10. Delaware St** 0-2 (304) +1.5 vs SC State (293) 

11. Penn St (77) vs Indiana** 0-2 (87) +1.5

12. Colorado St** 0-2 (38) +3.5 vs Nevada (34)

13. St Peter’s** 0-2 (200) +1.5 vs Rider (221)

14. Cincinnati** 0–1 (33) +5.0 vs Baylor (14)

15. Villanova** 0-2 (35) +4.5 vs Marquette (13)

16. Boston College** 0-1 (76) +4.5 vs Virginia (68)

17. UC Riverside** 0-2 (201) +4.0 vs Long Beach St (177)

18. New Mexico** 0-2 (32) +1.5 vs Boise St (39)

1 Unit Plays: 

19. Kent St 0-2 (184) +6.0 vs Toledo (133)

20. Xavier 0-2 (53) +15.0 vs UConn (2)

21. Florida St 0-1 (80) +10.5 vs N Carolina (8)

22. Miss St (40) vs LSU 0–1 (91) +5.0

23. Maryland 0-1 (54) +3.5 vs Wisconsin (22)

24. Wichita St 0-2 (155) +8.5 vs Memphis (71)

25. Fresno St 0-2 (240) +12.5 vs Utah St (44)

26. Arkansas 0-1 (106) +6.5 vs S Carolina (47)

27. Miami Oh (254) vs Akron 0-1 (117) -8.5

28. W Michigan (297) vs Ohio 0-1 (150) -8.5

29. NC State 0-1 (72) +11.5 vs Duke (7)

30. Tulane 0-2 (134) +5.5 vs N. Texas (48)

31. Ole Miss 0-1 (85) +5.5 vs Texas A&M (48)

32. Duquesne 0-2 (98) +6.0 vs Dayton (27)

33. Stanford 0-2 (105) +8.5 vs Washington St (45)

34. CA Baptist 0-2 (183) +5.5 vs Seattle U (130)

35. Temple 0-1 (220) +12.0 vs SMU (64)

36. Bethune (311) vs Southern 0-2 (255) -2.5

37. Georgia 0-2 (92) +8.0 vs Florida (28)

Today, I really like St Joseph’s, Bowling Green, St John’s, Duquesne and CSUN (1-1) +5.5 vs Hawaii.

Good luck!

@Sladerunningfox

 Sladerfox I know this has to be a pain in thee ass to keep up with , just know its very appreciated!!!!!

@Sladerunningfox

 Almost cleaned up with all the ** play. Great work 

2. Teams that have played each other once or twice and are winless in the season series: 

Yesterday: 20-17 (54.1%) ATS (any Kenpom)

Overall: 79-61 (56.4%) ATS (any Kenpom - these are the combined 1 and 2 unit plays)

Yesterday: 11-7 (61.1%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom)

Overall: 28-18 (60.9%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom - these are the 2 unit plays)

Additionally:

Thursday, in games in which teams were 1-1 head-to-head, the favorites were 9-6 (60.0%).

Thursday = 9-6

Wednesday = 9-2

Tuesday = 0-9

Monday = 1-5

Total Monday thru Thursday (1-1 head-to-head games):

Favorites: 19-22 (46.3%)

Today’s games on the way a bit later.

Friday, March 15, 2024:

2 unit plays**:

1. Michigan State** 0-1 (19) +7.5 vs Purdue (3)

2. Wisconsin (18) vs Northwestern** 0-1 (43) +4.0

3. Bethune-Cookman** 0-2 (305) +3.0 vs Grambling (284)

4. Wichita State (149) vs UAB** 0-1 (119) -5.5

5. St Johns** 0-2 (26) +9.5 vs UConn (2)

6. Texas Tech** 0-1 (23) +9.5 vs Houston (1)

7. Baylor (14) vs Iowa State** 0-1 (9) -1.0

8. UT Arlington** 0-2 (116) +1.0 vs Tarleton St (133)

1 unit plays:

9.  UTEP 0-2 (178) +4.5 vs Sam Houston St (140)

10. Mississippi St (37) vs Tennessee 0-1 (6) -9.5 

11. E. Carolina 0-1 (180) +7.5 vs South Florida (89)

12. S. Carolina 0-1 (46) +7.5 vs Auburn (5)

13. Kent St (179) vs Bowling Green 0–1 (230) +2.0

14. Howard 0-2 (281) +3.5 vs Norfolk St (225)

15. St Peters 0-2 (199) +2.0 vs Quinnipiac (167) 

16. Ohio St 0-1 (49) +5.0 vs Illini (10)

17. Pitt 0-1 (40) +7.5 vs N. Carolina (7)

18.  Texas A & M (72) vs Kentucky 0-1 (17) -5.0

19. N. Texas 0-2 (72) +5.5 vs FAU (36)

20. Oregon 0-2 (68) +11.0 vs Arizona (4)

21. Delaware St 0-2 (298) +5.0 vs NC Central (244)

22. Indiana 0-2 (84) +4.5 vs Nebraska (30)

23. Long Beach St 0-2 (171) +8.0 vs UC Irvine (73) 

24. Temple 0-1 (197) +7.0  vs Charlotte (115)

25. Alabama A & M 0-1 (327) +6.5 vs Texas Southern (270) 

I like Michigan State, Bethune-Cookman, Texas Tech, UT Arlington, Kentucky, North Texas and Long Beach State.

Good luck!

2. Teams that have played each other once or twice and are winless in the season series: 

Friday: 14-11 (56.0%) ATS (any Kenpom)

Overall: 93-72 (56.4%) ATS (any Kenpom - these are the combined 1 and 2 unit plays)

Friday: 5-3 (62.5%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom)

Overall: 33-21 (61.1%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom - these are the 2 unit plays)

Additionally:

Friday, in games in which teams were 1-1 head-to-head, the favorites were 8-3 (72.7%)

Friday = 8-3

Thursday = 9-6

Wednesday = 9-2

Tuesday = 0-9

Monday = 1-5

Total Monday thru Friday (1-1 head-to-head games):

Favorites: 27- 25 (51.9%)

Saturday’s games on the way a bit later.

Saturday, March 16, 2024:

2 unit plays**:

1. Wisconsin** 0-2 (17) +5.5 vs Purdue (3)

2. Delaware State** 0-2 (291) +4.5 vs Howard (278)

3. St Josephs** 0-1 (98) +2.5 vs VCU (80)

4. St Bonaventure** 0-2 (97) +1.5 vs Duquesne (94)

5. Texas A & M (42) vs Florida** 0-1  (28) -2.5

6. Nebraska** 0–1 (29) +4.5 vs Illinois (10)

7. Marquette** 0-2 (12) +9.5 vs UConn (2)

1 unit plays:

8. UMass-Lowell 0-2 (154) +8.5 vs Vermont (104)

9. Brown 0-2 (206) +10.0 vs Princeton (56)

10. UAB 0-1 (115) +2.0 vs South Florida (82)

11. Temple 0-1 (188) +13.5 vs FAU (35)

12. St Peters 0-2 (195) +2.5 vs Fairfield (163)

13. Kent State 0-2 (173) +5.5 vs Akron (117)

14. NC State 0-2 (66) +9.5 vs North Carolina (7)

15. Oregon 0-2 (58) +2.5 vs Colorado (23)

16. UT-Arlington 0-2 (116) +6.5 vs Grand Canyon (54)

Good luck!

Nice work. GL 

Slade-

Thank You for the researched stats...much appreciated

Lets make some coin

$lade, can u refresh my memory am @ole lady, the team first is ur play TY

Slade - 

Good Fortune! 

@finsterbaby

 The team with the line next to it, Finster.

Thanxs $lade

2. Teams that have played each other once or twice and are winless in the season series: 

Saturday: 11-5 (68.8%) ATS (any Kenpom)

Overall: 104-77 (57.5%) ATS (any Kenpom - these are the combined 1 and 2 unit plays)

Saturday: 3-4 (42.9%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom)

Overall: 36-25 (59.0%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom - these are the 2 unit plays)

Additionally:

Saturday in games in which teams were 1-1 head-to-head, the favorites were 2-5 (28.6%)

Saturday = 2-5

Friday = 8-3

Thursday = 9-6

Wednesday = 9-2

Tuesday = 0-9

Monday = 1-5

Total Monday thru Saturday (1-1 head-to-head games):

Favorites: 29 - 30 (49.2%)

Sunday’s games on the way a bit later.

FREPORN.COM EASY THAN FOLLOW YOUR POST.!!  SPANKY

Sunday, March 17, 2024:

2 unit plays**:

1. Florida (24) vs Auburn** 0-1 (4) -5.0

2. Duquesne (90) vs VCU** 0-1 (76) -2.5

3. Wisconsin** 0-1 (17) +3.5 vs Illinois (10)

1 unit play:

4. Temple 0-1 (180) +7.0 vs UAB (106) 

Erin go Bragh 

Good luck!

@Sladerunningfox

 Sweep

Conference Tournament Final Results:

2. Teams that have played each other once or twice and are winless in the season series: 

Sunday: 1-3 (25.0%) ATS (any Kenpom)

Overall: 105-80 (56.8%) ATS (any Kenpom - these are the combined 1 and 2 unit plays)

Sunday: 1-2 (33.3%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom)

Overall: 37-27 (57.8%) ATS (Kenpom within 30 of the better Kenpom - these are the 2 unit plays)

Additionally:

Sunday in games in which teams were 1-1 head-to-head, the favorites were 0-1.

Sunday: 0-1

Saturday = 2-5

Friday = 8-3

Thursday = 9-6

Wednesday = 9-2

Tuesday = 0-9

Monday = 1-5

Total Monday thru Sunday (1-1 head-to-head games):

Favorites: 29 - 31 (48.3%)

Analysis: It looks like this is a good system for hitting that magic number of 57.0% of your bets…without any additional capping. Combined with some additional capping and the winning percentage should be higher.

Someone please put this on bring up for next year and remind me. :)

Good luck in the Dance!