BOL
Fantastic write-up as usual......pretty unreal analysis. I know these teams though like the back of my hand, so I'm sticking with Kentucky.
Kentucky won comfortably in the first match-up(don't let the score fool you) and they have improved a lot since then. I do think U of L has also improved, but they also don't have Buckles who they had the first game as an extra body. Don't forget T. Jones was also coming back from a dislocated finger and obviously by his 0'fer from the line and 1'fer form the field he was clearly affected.
Anthony Davis also only played 27 minutes and was in foul trouble. That was an anomoly playing against a non-offensive threat like Dieng. Davis really was only in foul trouble 2 or 3 other times this whole season and it was against a strong offensive threat in the paint....Cody Zeller.
U of L shot better both from the field and 3 point land than UK and UK still won easy. the only advantage UK had was at the free throw line, but that is to be expected this game again due to size and athleticism and attacking the rim. I certainly don't expect Uof L to shoot better than UK again this game.
Also, I would factor in that UK just played several games in New Orleans for the SEC tourney. Comfort with the court and scenery might be a small advantage, but I think anything giving an advantage period is important. Crowd will also be a UK crowd as usual.
Bottom line is the game could be sloppy due to the rivalry, whats at stake, and how both teams play great defense. I just think UK has too mnay playmakers, size and athleticism for U of L to contain for 40 minutes.
I see UK winning by double digits. Probably 11-13 range. Going to be a war though with neither team backing down and crazy competive players and coaches. Let's just hope the refs call a good game and let the players play.
Much respect for your analysis and thoghts dude.......I'm just on the other side and riding the freight train on this one.
, then I'm all in on the Cats
03/30/12
09:54PM 5 Team Parlay
Baseball 938 SFO vs. SDG - Exhibition Baseball
SAN DIEGO PADRES
[Action]
-160 03/30/12
10:05PM 500 9269
Baseball 939 TEX vs. COL - Exhibition Baseball
TEXAS RANGERS
[Action]
-105 03/30/12
10:10PM
Basketball 523 Portland vs. LA Clippers - ESPN
PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS
+9½ -110 03/30/12
10:45PM
Hockey 16 Dallas vs Vancouver
VANCOUVER CANUCKS
-145 03/30/12
10:05PM
College Basketball 817 Louisville vs. Kentucky - CBS
LOUISVILLE
+9 -110 03/31/12
06:05PM
TOTALS 500 9269
after stumbling across this post, i am not even going to consider hedging this play... good luck to the forum. and thanks Nropp, you sir are a invaluable resource.
Fantastic write-up as usual......pretty unreal analysis. I know these teams though like the back of my hand, so I'm sticking with Kentucky.
Kentucky won comfortably in the first match-up(don't let the score fool you) and they have improved a lot since then. I do think U of L has also improved, but they also don't have Buckles who they had the first game as an extra body. Don't forget T. Jones was also coming back from a dislocated finger and obviously by his 0'fer from the line and 1'fer form the field he was clearly affected.
Anthony Davis also only played 27 minutes and was in foul trouble. That was an anomoly playing against a non-offensive threat like Dieng. Davis really was only in foul trouble 2 or 3 other times this whole season and it was against a strong offensive threat in the paint....Cody Zeller.
U of L shot better both from the field and 3 point land than UK and UK still won easy. the only advantage UK had was at the free throw line, but that is to be expected this game again due to size and athleticism and attacking the rim. I certainly don't expect Uof L to shoot better than UK again this game.
Also, I would factor in that UK just played several games in New Orleans for the SEC tourney. Comfort with the court and scenery might be a small advantage, but I think anything giving an advantage period is important. Crowd will also be a UK crowd as usual.
Bottom line is the game could be sloppy due to the rivalry, whats at stake, and how both teams play great defense. I just think UK has too mnay playmakers, size and athleticism for U of L to contain for 40 minutes.
I see UK winning by double digits. Probably 11-13 range. Going to be a war though with neither team backing down and crazy competive players and coaches. Let's just hope the refs call a good game and let the players play.
Much respect for your analysis and thoghts dude.......I'm just on the other side and riding the freight train on this one.
Nropp....Question .... have you looked who is officiating this game ?, do you have any info., on #'s on fouls called, call tight games ?, hand checking, more charges ?, etc.... The mind blowing # of times of the Cats getting to line and shooting well, just think it is something to consider. Lou. getting in first half foul trouble could spell trouble ?. Thanks for the help and best of luck on your plays. Ice
Established in 1995,
amazing write up. let's go LOU.
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