Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:
Some good discussion in here, some I can agree with, others I cannot. Just to make myself clear, I'm a value guy. Whether you or I or anyone else here thinks that Kentucky is the best team in the country and has the most talent, most NBA players, etc...really has no bearing on what I feel holds the value in this match-up:
Prep Time
Revenge
Defensive Pressure/Scheme
That's all I spelled out on page 1. Those are spots that I have found value in this year, and in past years, and being the value type of guy that I am, those are the focus of my analysis on this game. Did I overlook the match-up? Probably to an extent, but I tend to do those things when you have a few days to break down the game. My goal here, and always has been to throw out "the other stuff". You all know that Kentucky is a stacked team, they have all the talent in the world. You all know that Sullinger and Robinson are good post players. You all know that Anthony Davis and the unibrow are going to block shots.
I focus on the other stuff. Stuff that's not already built into the lines, and I've been doing it and will continue to do it all year. If you visit the thread, you're more than likely not going to see the same stuff that's repeated on the major networks by the so-called experts. I don't focus on that kind of stuff b/c it's covered from every angle. By focusing on the other stuff as I alluded to in page 1, I have found value.
Win or lose, sink or swim, I am going with what I feel holds value. Not off of future NBA talent, not off of a roster that causes match-up problems, or a team that doesn't pressure, or a team that does pressure, or the experience angle present. I found some spots that have held value all year in my eyes. Nothing different, more of the same, and just a spot. Again, win or lose, it's a spot play. And a spot play that I feel holds value, with a key emphasis on "I".
In terms of value, this is no bigger than any other play this year for me. No extra unit sample than what I've gone with on the year just b/c it's the final four. It's just 1 play of 500+.
GL
You're undoubtably an educated person....thank you for your time. It's educating more people than this thread indicates. Then again, I'm quite sure you knew that