Final Four Hoops

 

nropp - I could use your help with some futures. Currently holding Kansas +1800 for a potential 3500, Ohio St at +450 for a potential 3300, and Kentucky at +150 for a potential 750. How would you go about hedging out. I see that you have a small ML play here - do you really think that anyone can take UK out or should I be hedging big on UK to win the title right now at -140? Your help is appreciated.

@Gfunkera86

Great analysis, the only problem with it is that it's the players actually play the game. And in this game, the team Kentucky is putting on the floor is going to be playing in the NBA next year. And the team Louisville is, well won't be.

And this one, like the Baylor game (where Neil had a bunch of great observations and took Baylor +8), will be over about 10 min into it (just like the Baylor game) and you'll all be sweating hoping for a backdoor cover.

GL.

5* UK -8.5

Great insight....I wish I had the time you have to devote to handicapping - thats why youre the best Ive seen..

Thanks for all your efforts

cut & paste only way in 2 min

I was leaning Kentucky until I read your post. Biggest mush on covers. You cant read lines for shit and constantly out think yourself.

If LVille sticks around with their defense, are you leaning the U137? I dont htink they can put up 70 on Kentucky.

Great writeup Ropp.

Good luck nropp...I think Louisville will have a great shot at the win...imo this davis kid is too small for the nba game at this point...he'd be a tyler hansborough in the pros unless he puts on some muscle...although he could fill the tayshon prince roll on a shit team like pistons...btw nropp I've seen u post in the NBA forum once before...do u follow pro ball? And will you be focusing your attention there once the tournament is over?

Wish that's all it took.GL

And by the way all u dumbfucks talking about copy n paste are just jealous little punks who lose every week and wish you had the skills nropp does! Did u ever consider he could have typed it on Microsoft word etc then copy n pasted the write up to covers for the simple fact it would be a pain in the ass to do it on covers bc as u can see you can only fit so much text inthe thread without lapping over as such...but you can tell its nropp's words if u follow his threads

a double espresso and this write up just made my afternoon. thanks for all your hard work.

,gL

 Did u ever consider he could have typed it on Microsoft word etc then copy 

Bluefin you are forgived

Bluefin you are forgived

NROPP - Been following you for a while now and appreciate the time and hard work you put in. Also your dedication to bring winners in here to help others for free. THANK YOU for the winners!!

 

Evelyn Wood speed typing course.

And so you are not here all day long I suggest the Evelyn Speed Reading course

 

Like Ville nropp  

 

Evelyn Wood Speed Typing course.

And so you are not here all day long I suggest: Evelyn Wood Speed Reading course

 

Like Ville nropp  

Do you think that the ville will be able to score w U.K. the fouls they will get will be on their big man, and viceversa. UK has a huge edge in that aspect. I believe this game will Cary bewteen

Vary bewteen 5-8 points till crunch time, then the fouls begin and this patino team can't shoot from beyond the arc to save their lives ( the worst patino has ever had)... so this game could easily stretch itself to 12-15 ... I know I'm a homer but I have watched every game this year... the biggest factor is what defense the cards come out w... their man to man will get ate up... and their zone will get exploited by miller and lamb... I assume the soft zone will give uk fits, just not sure if they can maintain the pressure throughout the whole game given the ability of both teams to run and pressure the ball. I think these teams have a lot of the same fundamentals, w UK having the edge at every position on the court... look for Davis to show his colors... he takes the 5th most shots on this team... I believe he takes more shots and shows why he is the national player of the year

Well just to be clear, I ML'ed VCU (and played them bigger on the pts) all the way to the Final Four last year. Probably my biggest plays last year...just like Kentucky has been this tournament (which really screwed me in the first round, but has been cash since).

Just have to say, great work. 

These last two games...you could write up  another 5K words on. 

And though I lean your way, for all the homework (been there and do that) I just wonder about the refs.  How much will that whistle blow, and the thing you can't cap (like turnovers in football)  is those refs and how tight they call the game or let them play, 1st half, last ten minutes, etc.  Last couple of games they are calling touch fowls early and often and to the end.  Like an umpire in MLB, sure would like to study the refs here.  I'd like to see a few paragraphs on those stats and what it does to the totals and favs. And those points...I've played them this tourney, and been really burned by 1/2 a point, a few times when the team down a few "extends the game" by fouling with 3 minutes left, it just throws the "points" play out the window, because there is no tomorrow and the team down would risk losing by 15 than not win at all. I think this game comes down to who will win.  As much as I want to play this one, I might just stay away.  Sometimes cash in the pocket is a win. What I do take from your read is the under looks like the best play of all.  But then, that last 3 minutes spent mostly at the foul line, if that's how it plays out, will spoil that too. 

Would like to hear your comments on how the refs play into this one. 

Just wanted to say much respect for your write up and best of fortunes to you.