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ive been using the kenprom fan match unbelievable the accuracy

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Posted: #101
I also noticed that when Vegas and KP have a different team favored, KP was 11-4-1
 
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Posted: #102
Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

After reading thru this thread there seems to be confusion. All that is being said here is.....

If Kenpom computers have Team A winning by 3 (-3) and the Vegas line comes out at Team B -2, over the long run, it is better to take Team B at -2 since there is probably a reason that we are unaware of that favors Team B. It is merely a way to keep you from being a square bettor. However, keep in mind that squares win sometimes too.



It took 2.5 pages to find someone who finally understood what the OP was saying.

Is the betting world this stupid? If so, there may be hope that it's possible to win in the long term. Absolutely amazed at how many people failed to comprehend this simple concept.
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by SharpBettor1:



I agree that this Kenpom thing has no advantage whatsoever.  Gambling would be too easy if all u had to do was click on 2 buttons and u have your winner. 

As for the smelly lines, it didn't work when I bet on Stanford this past Thursday when they played UCLA.  It had the exact same lines and line movement as the CAL-Ucla gm.  I guess if u look at all the smelly lines, I'm sure 50% hit and 50% don't


You're "sure" of this, and also wrong.
 
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Posted: #104
Quote Originally Posted by big joe:

tonight:
kp Villanova by 5, vegas line -3.5
Valpo by 3, vegas -1
Kansas by 20, vegas -17
Col of Charleston by 23, vegas -17 
Furman by 6, vegas -3.5
W. Carolina by 4, vegas -3.5
W. Michigan +1, vegas -1.5

College of Charleston stands out among these.
Any others?

I went on kenpom's site. Where do you see his lines?
 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by tomherst:


I went on kenpom's site. Where do you see his lines?
I hope you aint serious
 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by tomherst:


I went on kenpom's site. Where do you see his lines?

These are his predictions vs vegas lines. Most are very close. Also been looking at total variances, again very close. Not sure I see anything there.
 
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Posted: #107
 For Tomherst:  On the main page @ Kenpom.com, you just need to find the heading that reads "FANMATCH". Click on that heading and you will see his lines under wher it says "Predictions". From there you can also go forward or back on the schedule by clicking the dates listed under Fanmatch. I hope this helps.
 
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Posted: #108

When I first looked at all i saw was a bunch of numbers and was dumbfounded.

Then I looked the menu and clicked on fanmatch. I believe this is what you're looking for. they have the predicted score, you have to subtract the difference.  https://kenpom.com/fanmatch.php

 
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Posted: #109

 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by disney1:

 

yesterday , the only play was south ala. ,  is that what you came up with

jax st was a play

 
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Posted: #111

I tried your system with a couple parlays, small bets. 5 and 2 bucks. the $5 i used on the money line favs. Villa, Furry, Valpo, and Prairie. Only hit on Praire.

Then did  a $2 parlay on covering spreads. Kans, Charley, Morgan, Did hit that one and threw another 10 Morgan just to cover.

Interesting system knowing that there are no guarantees, but it's nice to see a predicted score outcome. If anything I should've bet one Moneyline game and would've been Praire at home.

I need that extra bit of knowledge to try and help me with handicapping.

My sytem is basically take the best team playing at the time with points scored, field goal and free throw percentages, and 3 point shots, and then throw in some trend studying. And try to stick to home favorites, try that is :)

good luck with it

 
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Posted: #112
after staying away from college hoops for a couple of years,i'm going back into action.i'll start with the college tourneys that are plyd. on NEUTRAL floors.....and taking the points on every game.if a game has 1/2 onthe end of a #,then i'll buy the hook by laying,6/5...if my BR holds up, i'll do it through the final four....would appreciate any input..thks., daz
 
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Posted: #113
why do u keep saying kenprom? 
 
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Posted: #114
dag gone i wish you would of hit that ml parlay  syracuse won what did vegas do from kenpom lowered it    works great on small spreads high spreads kansas tonight c coll tonight blow outs we need some one on that high spread  blow out games ive onlt trended low 3 or close spreads    thx forum we are on to something 
 
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Posted: #115
I HAVE STUDIED KENPOM FOR A LONG TIME AND THE SHORT CUT TO ALL OF THIS IS BET ON THE TEAM THAT HAS THE HIGHEST ADJD NUMBER...........63% OVER THE LAST 18 MONTHS
 
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Posted: #116
thanks hank55 we need to let beaver no hes trending em can you help to explain why so forums can keep incorporating this to the analysis thx brother 
 
 
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Posted: #117
beaverfan23 posted 66^%  i payed a service and he BRAGED HOW AWESOME he was i lost serious coin with this so called expert   bevys first day  winning its just gonna get better with more minds  thx 
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