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Last2thirst Conference Play and March to Madness Season

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Posted: #126
Northern Arizona  -2.5  5x

Sacremento has lost to both Southern Utah and Northern Colorado scoring less than 55 pts and NA put up over 70 on the road!! and beat both those teams.....now that they are at home.....should be a walk in the park with their offense and the home crowd!
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Posted: #127

ENJOY READING YOUR WRITE -UPS. TOUGH LUCK ON INDIANA TOO. Also the buzzer 3 - pointer against S.D. STATE. YOUR VERY KNOWLEDGEABLE AND WILL FOLLOW. STUFF HAPPENS AT TIME. IS COLLEGE BASKETBALL THE ONLY SPORT YOU CAP AS I WILL BE LOOKING FOR YOUR PICKS IN OTHER SPORTS TOO. WISHES I FOUND YOU SOONER.

 
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Posted: #128

Been seeing this too on the 2nd half games. Fordham goes up 16-0 on Getting..then next 6 mins doesnt score. Memphis did this a few times

 
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Posted: #129

Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

Northern Arizona  -2.5  5xSacremento has lost to both Southern Utah and Northern Colorado scoring less than 55 pts and NA put up over 70 on the road!! and beat both those teams.....now that they are at home.....should be a walk in the park with their offense and the home crowd!

 

On it N Arz shoots the 3pt well and Sac doesn't defend it well or play well on the road. clover

 
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Posted: #130

NICE PICK LAST. I MESSED UP BY TAKING IOWA ALSO NOT LOOKING GOOD THERE. AGREES WITH YOU ON DATA. WILL START WORKING ON DATA FROM MLB SOON AND GET AS MUCH INFORMATION ON EVERY TEAM AND THEIR PITCHERS. I GUESS BASEBALL REFERENCE MAY BE BEST FOR THAT. AGAIN THANKS FOR THE WINNER AND WILL LOOK FOR YOUR PLAYS DURING NCAAB SEASON.

 
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Posted: #131

WOW! I HAD IOWA -5.5 AND THEY CAME BACK AND WON BY 6. I THINK I AM GOING TO FAINT.

 
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Posted: #132
Quote Originally Posted by Skydome:

ENJOY READING YOUR WRITE -UPS. TOUGH LUCK ON INDIANA TOO. Also the buzzer 3 - pointer against S.D. STATE. YOUR VERY KNOWLEDGEABLE AND WILL FOLLOW. STUFF HAPPENS AT TIME. IS COLLEGE BASKETBALL THE ONLY SPORT YOU CAP AS I WILL BE LOOKING FOR YOUR PICKS IN OTHER SPORTS TOO. WISHES I FOUND YOU SOONER.


Thanks...I mainly stick to college sports due to the monkey business factor....but just finished a successful NCAAF year, especially at the bowls. TBH, I am still down on basketball but tonight should just put me in the green .....been a grind this year frankly.

BOL going forward and be selective with my recommendations ....only if it makes sense to YOU...
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Posted: #133
Quote Originally Posted by Skydome:

NICE PICK LAST. I MESSED UP BY TAKING IOWA ALSO NOT LOOKING GOOD THERE. AGREES WITH YOU ON DATA. WILL START WORKING ON DATA FROM MLB SOON AND GET AS MUCH INFORMATION ON EVERY TEAM AND THEIR PITCHERS. I GUESS BASEBALL REFERENCE MAY BE BEST FOR THAT. AGAIN THANKS FOR THE WINNER AND WILL LOOK FOR YOUR PLAYS DURING NCAAB SEASON.


Don't start betting baseball until at least the middle of May once you figure out ump/team and pitching/hitter tendencies. I think pitchers are going to have a great year this year due to spy-gate because cheating is rampant with technology and that is why a lot of small hitters have been hitting over 30 HRs likely....things will swing back to the pitcher.....I am playing UNDERS using weather to assist me and some ump tendencies....until mid may.....always do baseball after NCAAB and some NBA after......think Raps will surprise again this year and go to Semis or Finals again.
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Posted: #134
Quote Originally Posted by Bigten51:

 

On it N Arz shoots the 3pt well and Sac doesn't defend it well or play well on the road. clover


Glad we got it 

I always finish well in March to April so lets stay hot...finally in the Green on the season...been a grind
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Posted: #135
Two plays Tuesday:

Bowling Green 2x   -1 ....has trouble covering spreads higher than -3 so the fact that they have won 6 in a row, are at 15-5 and trying to position itself for the NCAAB tourney has me believing this is a nice gift that Vegas gave us with such a tiny spread.....and did I mention they are 9-1 SU at home?

Rutgers  4x   -3.5 ....14-0 at home and have  a crazy good defense with excellent shooting at home....great formula to beat a team who relies on the inside game and if Purdue falls behind, Rutger has the perimeter defense to force bad shots and gain rebounds only to be fouled in the second half and cover this line easily. Purdue won their last game at home and at 11-9, they will gravitate to the mean which is lose their next one with a nearly .500 record on the season

BOL 

...A LOT of trap lines tomorrow.....tread carefully
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Posted: #136

THANK YOU FOR REPLYING. AGREES WITH YOU ON THE UNDERS THIS YEAR IN MLB. WILL FOLLOW YOU TONIGHT ON YOUR PICKS. GO BLUE JAYS. I AM A PENNSYLVANIA GUY AND FOLLOWED THE PITT, PENN STATE AND STEELER TEAMS. NOW LIVE IN CANADA AND FOLLOW BLUE JAYS AND RAPTORS ALONG WITH MAPLE LEAFS. IF YOU NEED ME TO HELPYOU WITH ANY STATS LET ME KNOW. ALSO HOW DO YOU FOLLOW WHO IS UMPIRING IN MLB? WHERE DO YOU FIND THE UMPIRE LOG WILL LIKE TO FOLLOW THIS MYSELF. THANKS AGAIN. BY THE WAY I GO BACK TO THE DAYS OF CLEMENTE, CHAMBERLAIN AND BRADSHAW ERA.

 
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Posted: #137

clover

 
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Posted: #138

Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

Two plays Tuesday:Bowling Green 2x   -1 ....has trouble covering spreads higher than -3 so the fact that they have won 6 in a row, are at 15-5 and trying to position itself for the NCAAB tourney has me believing this is a nice gift that Vegas gave us with such a tiny spread.....and did I mention they are 9-1 SU at home?Rutgers  4x   -3.5 ....14-0 at home and have  a crazy good defense with excellent shooting at home....great formula to beat a team who relies on the inside game and if Purdue falls behind, Rutger has the perimeter defense to force bad shots and gain rebounds only to be fouled in the second half and cover this line easily. Purdue won their last game at home and at 11-9, they will gravitate to the mean which is lose their next one with a nearly .500 record on the seasonBOL ...A LOT of trap lines tomorrow.....tread carefully

Hi L2T, I've been reading your posts for a long time, thanks for all the info :) I have a question. Last night I bet on Rutgers -3 thinking the line would go up. But now it's -2.5, can you think of any reason this happened? I agree completely with your write up of the game. Thanks

 
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Posted: #139
Quote Originally Posted by Skydome:

THANK YOU FOR REPLYING. AGREES WITH YOU ON THE UNDERS THIS YEAR IN MLB. WILL FOLLOW YOU TONIGHT ON YOUR PICKS. GO BLUE JAYS. I AM A PENNSYLVANIA GUY AND FOLLOWED THE PITT, PENN STATE AND STEELER TEAMS. NOW LIVE IN CANADA AND FOLLOW BLUE JAYS AND RAPTORS ALONG WITH MAPLE LEAFS. IF YOU NEED ME TO HELPYOU WITH ANY STATS LET ME KNOW. ALSO HOW DO YOU FOLLOW WHO IS UMPIRING IN MLB? WHERE DO YOU FIND THE UMPIRE LOG WILL LIKE TO FOLLOW THIS MYSELF. THANKS AGAIN. BY THE WAY I GO BACK TO THE DAYS OF CLEMENTE, CHAMBERLAIN AND BRADSHAW ERA.



Its all about NCAAB now ..cheers
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by lonfident:

Hi L2T, I've been reading your posts for a long time, thanks for all the info :) I have a question. Last night I bet on Rutgers -3 thinking the line would go up. But now it's -2.5, can you think of any reason this happened? I agree completely with your write up of the game. Thanks


Only thing I can surmise is.....Purdue has to get moving on their record if they are going to make NCAA tourney since they have some good scalps already....but not the record.

I have noticed over the years that good teams that are 11-9 /12-9 in tough conferences tend to stay in this vein of result unless they start a 3-0 run and then they can win many more to get to 16/17-9....my thinking is....Rutgers WANTS it more and has the team to get it this year as early 10 games in non-conf really, really opened some eyes and frankly, I put more stock in non-conf then I do in conference play since NCAAB tourney is non-conf so it helps me with apples to oranges comparisons. 
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Posted: #141
LAST TWO DAYS.......impresssions....will re-rank after tonight


Strong Game/ big uptick: Oregon, Creighton, Kansas

Rank climb: Sparty, Maryland, Houston, Tulsa, St. Louis, Loy-Chic.. Ohio St.,  Iowa,  

Top 50 rank >Meh!  game> San Diego St., N. Iowa, 

Downtick:> Minny, Virginia, Xavier, Stanford, NC St., 
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Posted: #142
Now we know what Vegas knew about the Bowling Green line being so skinny...

BWG down by 15 now 
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Posted: #143
Haha.....REVERSE BOOLIE worked!!  

BWG -1  +2 Units 
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Posted: #144

Congrats! Been some crazy games lately back and forth. Rutgers taking care of business so far at half. Took Raptors and Pelicans in NBA keeping fingers crossed.

 
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Posted: #145
Wow....its coming down to last shot likely. Either I am up +6 Units tonight or down -2 Units.

Good luck for those who tailed....30 seconds left....up by 3...need more
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Posted: #146
Good enough..... +6 Units it is 
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Posted: #147

an_cheers

 
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Posted: #148
Wed Play

East Carolina +13.     2x....beat UCF, SMU and USF.......tells me that home court and motivation should cover this score!

Duqesnese  +9  1x ....addicted to the points and Dusquesne have NOT LOST at home and Dayton is now BIG GAME for a home court crowd.....expect a close game but Dayton is super talented so go easy on this ( I lost my last Flyers fade at Richmond +6.5 and I think Duquesne is as good or better at home)

Holy Cross +11  1x ....crazy side but Navy have not beat any team by over 11 pts in the past 10 games.....total hunch play that I love!

Indiana St. -3.5 ....2x ....scroll above to an earlier love affair play with this home team....will keep riding especially against weaker road type teams

Bradley -6.5   3x ...very impressed with this team and they have been on the road a lot lately.... Valpo has got a lot of respect from Vegas but have not paid its bettors....I have laid off but been watching.....letting Evansville in a down year get back in on the road on Sunday was very telling

WVU   +2.5  1x ....tasty to take a higher rated team worth 1 basket

Tulane -1     2x ....don't buy USF on the road...home yes ....and Tulane is phenomenal at home

Baylor  -4.5   1x ....the sexy play is to fade high ranks with the home dog but I don't understand the home love here

BOL 



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Posted: #149
#1 -  Gonzaga  and  #1 San Diego St. (need to play each other!!!)
-----------------------------------------------------
#3 - Baylor
#4 - Kansas
#5 - Duke
-----------------------------------------------------
#6 - Dayton
#7 - Oregon
#8 - Kentucky 
#9 - Louisville
#10- Creighton

Poised for T- 10:  
11. Wichita   12. Texas Tech  13. WVU  14. FSU  
15. Villanova 16. Michigan St. 17. Seton Hall  18.  Colorado             19. Butler   20. Maryland  

TOP 25 > Stanford,  Houston, Penn St,  USC, Auburn, 
  
>>> OUT OF TOP 25 >  Iowa, Marquette, Arizona,   LSU,  St. Mary's,  Rutgers, BYU, Memphis, Illinois, Mississippi St, N. Iowa,  Utah St,  Indiana,  Arkansas,  Tulsa,  Cinci, Harvard, Syracuse, SMU, Virginia,  Michigan, St.Louis, S. Carolina,  Florida, VCU, < TOP 50  OUT of for now >> Richmond, DePaul,  Bradley, Alabama , Wright St., Boise,  Rhode Is. , Liberty,  Notre Dame, , Duquesne,  Yale,   Loyola- Chic, Washington,   Oklahoma, ( < 64th ranked) 
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Posted: #150
4 - 4    +1 Unit tonight

Shoulda just pressed more on Bradley as my big play

Thursday Plays:

Georgia St  -6.5     1x
Arkansas St. -2.5  3x... almost stole one in App St.'s building
Illinois          -5      1x ....Minny seems tired of their grinding sched

Strong leans .... Stanford, USC and Colorado
Maybe ....Iowa 

BOL 
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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