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Last2thirst Conference /Tourney Picks

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Posted: #301
Quote Originally Posted by VITS:

Was this play from Saturday?


Yes

2-3 Saturday  (-1 Unit)
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Posted: #302
TIER #3  - ranks 16 - 25 
#16  LSU                    
#17  VTECH        
#18  Michigan  St.     
#19  Kansas   
#20  Washington        #21 Cinci
#22  Texas Tech        #23 Auburn
#24  Clemson            #25 Buffalo

Ability to make some noise in the tourney:

Wisconsin
Texas
Arizona St.
Maryland
Miss St.


Probably won't make noise  but will be there most likely....most of these......

NC St., Iowa, Utah St. Oregon St., TCU, Georgetown, UCF,  Temple, VCU, Minnesota, Ole Miss, San Fran, Oregon, Dayton, Oklahoma,  Notre Dame,  Syracuse, Butler, UAB, Stanford, ....and maybe a few more
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Posted: #303
SUNDAY PLAYS:

Tulsa            -5.5        2x
Villanova      -4           2x
Colorado Over 138.5 1x
Boston C.     +3          2x
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Posted: #304
Games I am playing Tuesday: - some bet earlier....busy day!

Bowling Gr  -4.5    2x  

S. Carolina +3       1x

Toledo     -3           3x

Tennessee -17.5   1x

Drake     -4            1x

Iowa       -2.5         2x

Clemson  -2          1x

Kentucky  -11        1x
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Posted: #305
WEDNESDAY MONSTER BET

10 UNITS on UNC  +9.5......have watched too many of these to know that even with an avg UNC team, they can hang with Duke @  Duke and with a mostly veteran starting lineup who have been through this before.....and the #1 offense.....they will always be in the game because they are playing a lot of young players who will get even more nervous in key situations such as these stats for Duke rankings.....sit back and enjoy the last 3 min of a mostly tight game within 5 pts most likely

3-POINT %31.3317
FREE THROW %68.3257
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Posted: #306
I have had UNC rated high all year and was questioned by some who will remain nameles......we will see why in this game despite UNC having a strange game at home vs the Cavaliers.

This is the same situation that Kentucky had the other night with Tennessee although they were at home.....with UNC's presence on offense and offensive rebounding .....foul trouble by Duke is likely and I predict that UNC will have a lead for decent part of this game and maybe at the end too
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Posted: #307
Last2Thirst you are the cbb version of cfb Ba....excellent info man.....felt compelled to bump your big play and reasoning on
 UNC tonight.....thx for the info to help some of us decide!!




 
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Posted: #308
Quote Originally Posted by skoonr3:

Last2Thirst you are the cbb version of cfb Ba....excellent info man.....felt compelled to bump your big play and reasoning on
 UNC tonight.....thx for the info to help some of us decide!!





Enjoy man....hope you get it

I have had my shaky moments when I play a lot of plays but not when I see a spot.

Good start.....I played College sports so I know the older athlete vs younger athlete dynamic. Its a big deal in a rivalry!!!

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Posted: #309
20-9 for UNC ...8 minutes into the game. Zion is hurt. I would say I am liking my chances. 

More importantly, I hope people are watching and realize that Duke IS NOT THE #1  TEAM and that it will take a veteran team with talent mixed in/youth to win the whole thing. 

I like Gonzaga or Kentucky right now ....maybe Tennessee if they get mean and UNC a little

Even Virginia if they find their early season form.....Nevada or Houston are sleepers no doubt....but it will take a team that is used to an intense conference or schedule to win it all
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Posted: #310
POWER    RATINGS:

#1 Gonzaga
#2 Kentucky......if Gonzaga falters even a little.....Kentucky is #1
#3 Virginia
#4_North Carolina
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#5  Tennessee
#6  Duke

If Duke comes back from being down by 10  and wins a squeaker....I will put them back up to #3 but I don't think they  will come back without Zion against a senior UNC not in foul trouble!
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Posted: #311
Stick a fork in Duke until March Madness.....they are going to slide down a lot with Zion out....hope the kid is ok in a few weeks
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Posted: #312

Way to go man!  This was huge!  an_happydude

 
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Posted: #313
TIER #2 - Rank 7 - 15....might  get very deep to final four and then who knows what can happen??

#7 Nevada                  #8 Houston
#9  Marquette            #10 Florida St.
#11 Purdue                
#12  Michigan
#13 Michigan St.      #14  Louisville
#15 Kansas  
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Posted: #314
TIER #3  - ranks 16 - 25 
#16  Iowa St.             
#17  VTECH        
#18  Cinci                  
#19  Washington  
#20  Auburn              #21 Texas Tech
#22  Buffalo              #23  LSU
#24  Arizona St.        #25  Wisconsin

Probably won't make noise  but will be there most likely....most of these......
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Posted: #315
Ability to make some noise in the tourney:

Villanova
Texas
Maryland
Clemson
Miss St.

Probably won't make noise  but will be there most likely....most of these......

NC St., Utah St. Oregon St., Georgetown, VCU, Iowa,UCF,  Temple,
Minnesota,  Syracuse, San Fran, Oregon, Dayton, Oklahoma,  Notre Dame, Ole Miss, Butler, St. Johns, TCU,  UAB, Stanford, ....and maybe a few more
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #316
Some adjustments after late games last night....

TIER #2 - Rank 7 - 15....might  get very deep to final four and then who knows what can happen??

#7 Houston                  #8 Marquette
#9  Florida St.            #10 Purdue
#11 Michigan             
#12  Michigan St.
#13 Nevada                #14  Louisville
#15 Kansas  
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Posted: #317
Ability to make some noise in the tourney:

Villanova
Texas
Maryland
Clemson
Miss St.

Probably won't make noise  but will be there most likely....most of these......

NC St., Utah St. Oregon St., Georgetown, VCU, Iowa,UCF,  Temple,
Minnesota,  Syracuse, San Diego St., Oregon, Dayton, Oklahoma,  Notre Dame, Ole Miss, Butler, St. Johns, San Fran, TCU,  UAB, Stanford, ....and maybe a few more
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #318
Thursday:

Feeling frisky......Gonzaga -28.5   (5 Units)....here is the logic.

San Fran is a solid team and they lost on the road to Gonzaga by 30 pts......now Pepperdine is 12-15 with a terrible road record......Gonzaga scores 100......will Pepperdine score 70? I doubt it vs the #1 team
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Posted: #319
Saturday Plays:

Have Tenn -1 but did not post.

Upcoming games:

Kentucky -7.5  3x....Auburn is not good on the road and especially vs good teams....not sure why this is so low for the #2 team in my rankings

Iowa St. -1.5  (2x)....issues at the point guard position for TCU and a 3 game losing streak will continue....they often do vs another offensive team like ISU
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Posted: #320
Value Play:

Nebraska  +6     2x and 1x ML....was very high on this team. Go back and look at their first 10 games of non-conf. and they were playing the best teams across the country and doing well......got a feeling that they will bounce off of their recent funk....starting to see signs of it and Purdue is not good on the road but Nebraska is traditionally very strong at home.

This is my best hunch play for a home dog in a while.....since Kentucky vs Tennessee
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Posted: #321
Another Value Play:

Florida St. +7.5  2x   and 1x ML....they are actually scorching hot and I had them rated well early and they played a lot of good teams early too in non-conf. sched....but unlike Nebraska, they were able to sustain their form for the most part except a early season Conf. blip.

I love UNC ....everyone knows that but with Cameron Johnson wonky in the middle and a great offensive rebounder....I think FSU athleticism and shooting will give the Heels fits
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Posted: #322
Ole Miss  -10  1x....Georgia is terrible...what happened?

Kansas St. -9  1x ....have their lineup back with key inside players and leaders in the lineup....should win by over 10

Utah St.  -3.5  1x....if any team can break the Boise home dominance over most teams at times, this team can.....really like this line if UST can walk into a better teams homecourt like Fresno's and beat them

Syracuse  +5   5x.....the 2-3 zone gave Duke fits in the first matchup but having Zion being able to alley oop over it is no longer an option and if Barrett drives, they just collapse it with 2-4 guys always to bother him to the bucket....I think Cuse can wing outright with Duke's terrible outside shooting and the fact that the game is in the Carrier Dome....that makes it better because the sightlines are terrible for visiting shooters. If I am wrong on this play....oh well but frankly I was not impressed with Dukes defense of UNC after they lost Zion

Oregon St.  +2....1x ... consistent.talented team vs talented but inconsistent team so I am grateful for the points

Fresno St.  +13.5  2x....is this the start of Nevada's temporary slide every team seems to have throughout a season? Betting on it works to a high percentage in most instances

Kansas  +5   1x.....first bet on Kansas for me in over 2 months...lets face it, Self has them playing consistently and loosely given that they took themselves out of the Final four conversations so with the pressure off, they are performing and having fun

San Diego St.  -1  1x ....talented team that is peaking 

Colorado   +8   1x ....talented team that plays well on the road and Washington has been so so on offense this month

Playing a lot of games which is usually my downfall but there are a lot of great lines and I feel like I am 'feeling it' this week and as I am one to do as the season winds down.

BOL 
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Posted: #323
Forgot....Ivy League Under play  

Harvard /Yale  Under 142.5  4x....bitter rivals and tend to play tight games which is Harvard's style so I expect Harvard's coach to batten down the hatches in their own end and both teams are on a weekend back to back so the rivalry and style of play should make for tight defenses
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Posted: #324
Posted resutls:

Kentucky -7.5  3x   

Iowa St. -1.5  (2x)    

Nebraska  +6     2x    and 1x ML  

Not a good start to the half on this one....stay tuned... 
Florida St. +7.5  2x   and 1x ML.

2-1   so far   (+2 Units
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Posted: #325
Ole Miss  -10  1x         

Kansas St. -9  1x        
Utah St.  -3.5  1x       
Syracuse  +5   5x .....tight game

Oregon St.  +2......tight game
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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