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Last2thirst Conference /Tourney Picks

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Posted: #426
Duke -2.5.....2nd half  2x.....refs will help one #1 seed make it and  the young kids love pressure to perform

Under 78.5 is the play for me.....2x


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Posted: #427
Finishing strong this week.....only 3 games to go...sneaking a peek now at the lines. 

Texas Tech +3 looks tasty if they  are healthy.....

Play #1  - Auburn +5.5   10x
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Posted: #428
Wed 

DePaul  -5   5x....way too much offense at home and if they don't cover this, the 3rd game is a double up
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Posted: #429
DePaul  -1   10x .....just have to win at home for the championship and I like my chances with a jacked crowd and jacked offense that was a little off last game

Line was -5.5 for first game....Vegas trap for USF bettors? I think so
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Posted: #430
Sparty UNDER 133   10x.....Dome will affect all shooters but not 2 great defenses!

Sparty  -2  5x
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Posted: #431
There is no doubt, Vegas has thought about this number.....long and hard.

+1.5 is still a decent number if you like TTECH and I do. But I want +2 and will wait for it.

Guard play, I give the edge to Virginia
Defense, I give the edge to TTECH
Athleticism, I give a big edge to TTECH except at the 1 and 2 position

I believe Culver will take over this game after Mooney works his magic for a while....just like the Sparty game. 

Total is perfect. I see a 60-58 type game....maybe 63-61....so I lean over. I don't see 57 -55 type of score. TTECH at the line is 99th and Cavs are 69th. Strong lean to the over now and especially if I believe the refs will be aggressive and I believe they might trying to get a different kind of final trying to open it up.

If you have been watching the tourney, these two teams have had the refs in their favour when playing tight Dee and being aggressivve....something has to give. 

Initial play for action.......OVER 117.5   3x

Ready to hammer TTECH if I get +2.5 but will take +2

Up 27 Units on the season including another 6 in Football so I am primed for the Baseball season where I see some definite trends this year 
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Posted: #432
First Play and might be my only Play:

I am up 33 Units since August in 2 sports. I have booked 3 Units on the Game Total, going OVER

The more I think about it, I like the First Half Under at 53.5 10x

Here is why:
- Ttech played two good Michigan defenses and scored  40 and 44 with those teams in the first half

-Virginia's only opponent with a Top 25 defense was Oregon and they combined for 52

I believe, Virginia likes playing this style better than the open type games.....they like movement and cuts and set plays. TTECH will burn you on defense if you play one on one because they swarm the action always.....so I see a lot of long shotclocks and easily going UNDER 53.5 because that suits Virginia and they will dictate the tempo in this game, NOT TTech. 

BOL 



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Posted: #433
Hey Last with the first half under I’m concerned that Tech usually tightens up their D in 2nd half of these tournament games! Opinion 
 
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Posted: #434
Taking 10x  more at  UNDER 55

Vegas trap with rising line.....I can't let this go.....not worried one bit
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Posted: #435
Good Luck , Bud       
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #436
So, they are averaging 1  pts per minute and I have $1500 on this? 

Am I worried?
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Posted: #437
Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

Good Luck , Bud       

Wiser....hope to have 50 + Units after this game.....happy with my last 7 months

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Posted: #438
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


Wiser....hope to have 50 + Units after this game.....happy with my last 7 months




Hope you get it Bud  GL        
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #439
OK,....I'm worried. darn!  
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Posted: #440
Thats gambling for you and yacking about your play 101....
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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