Illinois -5 (3U) ... statement game to make a run....they have been on the road a lot and playing tough teams ......now they face a team that can't score and hit FTs .....home cooking, better offense and rebounding plus excellent FT team means Rutgers will be hacking all the way down the strettch and even if it is close, Illinois will hack themselves to get the ball back because Rutgers is 344th FT...yuck!
..double up game with Oklahoma (6U) -6.5/-7 if Illinois loses, will play them for 3U at these prices if Illinois wins....OKlhahoma scores over 90 at home and Baylor will not have an answer
Other Plays:
URI -10.5 (1U)
Florida -3 (1U)
TCU -1.5 (2U)....Cowboys are hurting at guard and not hitting FT at 301st rank will only compound the issue with bench nerves
BOL
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Tuesday:
Illinois -5 (3U) ... statement game to make a run....they have been on the road a lot and playing tough teams ......now they face a team that can't score and hit FTs .....home cooking, better offense and rebounding plus excellent FT team means Rutgers will be hacking all the way down the strettch and even if it is close, Illinois will hack themselves to get the ball back because Rutgers is 344th FT...yuck!
..double up game with Oklahoma (6U) -6.5/-7 if Illinois loses, will play them for 3U at these prices if Illinois wins....OKlhahoma scores over 90 at home and Baylor will not have an answer
Other Plays:
URI -10.5 (1U)
Florida -3 (1U)
TCU -1.5 (2U)....Cowboys are hurting at guard and not hitting FT at 301st rank will only compound the issue with bench nerves
#1 FSU -3.5 (2U) ....starting to roll now again and they are facing a bad Wake team. I think if FSU does not cover, they don't deserve to go to March Madness and I am sure their coach will remind them of this since I believe they are a bubble team that has to prove itself like they were playing earlier in the year
UCF -5 for (4U) if I don't cover......play UCF for 2U if FSU covers
#2 Under WVU 148 (3U)....WVU will press a rookie backup PG since the Cyclones very capable starter is down....7 Assists per game are big shoes to fill and this tells me their fastbreak offense will be affected, not only because of indecision by backup, but also from the full court pressing that WVU likes to run. I see a 75 -68 type of game and that may be too high of a total for Iowa St.
If they score over 76 pts......play Evansvlle -3 for (6U) against a very bad road shooting team in UNI who usually get pummelled on the road.....Evansville is notoriously strong shooting team at home according to my betting notes over 7 years!!
-If Evansville for 3U if WVU halftime total is UNDER 77
2U Play: Marquette -2....great home team and Butler this year is not a good road team in my opinion, unless they get hot shooting and Marquette has the style of team play to come back from being down if in that situation
I Unit Plays I like:
Alabama -5.5....can beat any team at home by 6 or more it seems but being cautious since Missouri can get hot shooting the ball
Bradley +2....strong home team
Texas Tech -7.5....Texas not built in style to overcome a hot homecourt shooting team which TTech is most of the time!
BOL
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Like the Wednesday card: some doubleups!
#1 FSU -3.5 (2U) ....starting to roll now again and they are facing a bad Wake team. I think if FSU does not cover, they don't deserve to go to March Madness and I am sure their coach will remind them of this since I believe they are a bubble team that has to prove itself like they were playing earlier in the year
UCF -5 for (4U) if I don't cover......play UCF for 2U if FSU covers
#2 Under WVU 148 (3U)....WVU will press a rookie backup PG since the Cyclones very capable starter is down....7 Assists per game are big shoes to fill and this tells me their fastbreak offense will be affected, not only because of indecision by backup, but also from the full court pressing that WVU likes to run. I see a 75 -68 type of game and that may be too high of a total for Iowa St.
If they score over 76 pts......play Evansvlle -3 for (6U) against a very bad road shooting team in UNI who usually get pummelled on the road.....Evansville is notoriously strong shooting team at home according to my betting notes over 7 years!!
-If Evansville for 3U if WVU halftime total is UNDER 77
2U Play: Marquette -2....great home team and Butler this year is not a good road team in my opinion, unless they get hot shooting and Marquette has the style of team play to come back from being down if in that situation
I Unit Plays I like:
Alabama -5.5....can beat any team at home by 6 or more it seems but being cautious since Missouri can get hot shooting the ball
Bradley +2....strong home team
Texas Tech -7.5....Texas not built in style to overcome a hot homecourt shooting team which TTech is most of the time!
Old Dominion -2.5(3U)...revenge game on homecourt....little to separate these two statistically but the outstanding rebounding of OD and FG defense is enough to tip it for me
Double up for (5U) if no cover......(2U) if cover on San Diego +17.5 at Gonzaga
Like .....NW (2U)@ Wisconsin
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Thurs value:
Old Dominion -2.5(3U)...revenge game on homecourt....little to separate these two statistically but the outstanding rebounding of OD and FG defense is enough to tip it for me
Double up for (5U) if no cover......(2U) if cover on San Diego +17.5 at Gonzaga
Kansas St. +7 (2U)...Vegas wants to believe WVU will pull out of their funk and yes they are good at home but what happened last game at home....have a feeling the players are tired or doubting the press
E. Wash U159
J.Madison Ov142.5
Oregon -1....in a dogfight for an NCAA bid like USC and UCLA
Ole Miss +10 (2U)....feel pick...always give Tenn trouble
Iowa +8.5....same reason as Ole Miss
UCLA U156.5 ...see Oregon...expect tough defense and dogfight
ISU +8.5...see Ole Miss write up
Indiana +8.5....see Ole Miss write up
Washington (5U)....play only if I am up units on day and getting +6 or higher !!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Other Sat. Plays:
Furman U170 (2U)
TCU -3.5
Bowling Gr. U154
W. Kentucky U154.5
Kansas St. +7 (2U)...Vegas wants to believe WVU will pull out of their funk and yes they are good at home but what happened last game at home....have a feeling the players are tired or doubting the press
E. Wash U159
J.Madison Ov142.5
Oregon -1....in a dogfight for an NCAA bid like USC and UCLA
Ole Miss +10 (2U)....feel pick...always give Tenn trouble
Iowa +8.5....same reason as Ole Miss
UCLA U156.5 ...see Oregon...expect tough defense and dogfight
ISU +8.5...see Ole Miss write up
Indiana +8.5....see Ole Miss write up
Washington (5U)....play only if I am up units on day and getting +6 or higher !!
2nd Group of plays: 5 - 9 (- 3 Units )....so if I were tailing, would definitely key on the first group that I cherry pick or in any suggestions, the multi-unit plays... usually. Still + UNITS on the day, and thats the name of the game!
Season so far = (166 - 144 - 8)......53.8%
+23 Units...starting to hit some double ups.....1 Unit won't cut it some days when you have 3-4 hot games and want to make $$
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Saturday Results:
Main plays: 5 - 2 (+10 Units)
2nd Group of plays: 5 - 9 (- 3 Units )....so if I were tailing, would definitely key on the first group that I cherry pick or in any suggestions, the multi-unit plays... usually. Still + UNITS on the day, and thats the name of the game!
Season so far = (166 - 144 - 8)......53.8%
+23 Units...starting to hit some double ups.....1 Unit won't cut it some days when you have 3-4 hot games and want to make $$
Canisuus PK is my Double up for 8U.....if B.C. covers or pushes -3
then I will take them for 5U
Focusing on Superbowl Props.....I smell a rat on this Superbowl line since they are playing in a Dome
Lots of talk about Patriots never scoring in the 1st quarter in any superbowl.....so I am going Contrarian on a lot of stats including Blount who every tout is fading
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Canisuus PK is my Double up for 8U.....if B.C. covers or pushes -3
then I will take them for 5U
Focusing on Superbowl Props.....I smell a rat on this Superbowl line since they are playing in a Dome
Lots of talk about Patriots never scoring in the 1st quarter in any superbowl.....so I am going Contrarian on a lot of stats including Blount who every tout is fading
+43 Units...starting to gain some momentum.....doubling up at times and pressing to make more $$ ...its working. At this stage of the year, look to press on teams that are bubble teams for NCAA or seem to have momentum that could translate into other tourneys/conference championship. Don't assume that very strong teams will hold their form....look at scores in the past 3-5 games and compare to earlier.....some teams are getting looser, some having lower scores so some lines are too inflated. BOL in the coming weeks
I am on fire lately......have gone from +12 Units to +43 in less than 2 weeks! Lets keep it going
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Tuesday results:
Boise -1.5 (2U) ....great comback
Fresno -3.5 (3U)
Season so far = (172 - 144 - 8)......54.4%
+43 Units...starting to gain some momentum.....doubling up at times and pressing to make more $$ ...its working. At this stage of the year, look to press on teams that are bubble teams for NCAA or seem to have momentum that could translate into other tourneys/conference championship. Don't assume that very strong teams will hold their form....look at scores in the past 3-5 games and compare to earlier.....some teams are getting looser, some having lower scores so some lines are too inflated. BOL in the coming weeks
I am on fire lately......have gone from +12 Units to +43 in less than 2 weeks! Lets keep it going
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)....so if I were tailing, would definitely key on the first group that I cherry pick or in any suggestions, the multi-unit plays... usually. Still + UNITS on the day, and thats the name of the game!
....great comback
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