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Last2thirst NCAAB Season Thread

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Posted: #226
Saturday: Pressing day and being very selective....double up system is going to be in effect!

Having almost the dream day....to pad my account...lets keep it rolling

GB  -5  (4U)...+4U.

2nd half plays: 1U plays

Wisc-Milwaukee -2   
Duke Over 70            
Kansas St  -3              
.Duke -4.5 2U...double up play 
......taking TCU -4 @ Vandy for 4U 
Oklahoma -1  4U...double up play  
..... Double-up candidate San Diego -2.5 for 8U if Oklahoma loses 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #227
More results....

Texas -5.5 2U   
Butler -8  (1U)    
fading ULL 10.5 (2U) ... double up game is Miss. St. -1.5 for 4U

ULL -10.5 at 3pm ....ULL 2U 
...........
Double Up game is Miss St. -1.5 for 4U  

Oklahoma 2nd half -2.5     
Texas        2nd half -1.5     



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Posted: #228
....taking TCU -4 @ Vandy for 4U ...1st double-up missed

Miami +5.5 (1U)  

Tenn  -2.5 (1U)     

 Double-up candidate San Diego -2.5 for 8U if Oklahoma loses ......
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Posted: #229
What's left?

... double up game is Miss. St. -1.5 for 4U

.Harvard/Brown Under 132.5
....Double up game is Nebraska -4 for 4U
Miami +5.5 (1U)...action play....

Tenn  -2.5 (1U)...action play....one of the few SEC teams that could handle most BIG 12 teams in head to head

Texas Am +8.5 (1U)..action play   

East Tenn St. -3.5 (1U)...action play

Under Crei/GT 156 (1U)...action play...

Colorado +10 (1U)....action play....something is wrong with this ASU

VTECH +5  (1U)...action play...

SF  +19  (1U)
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #230

.Harvard/Brown Under 132.5  
....Double up game is Nebraska -4 for 4U        

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Posted: #231
What's left?

... double up game is Miss. St. -1.5 for 4U 
SF  +19  (1U)   
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #232
1 UNIT LOSSES:
Miami +5.5         
Under Crei 156.5 
Colorado  +10   

1 UNIT WINS:
Tenn -2.5    
Vtech +5   
East T. -3.5 ......FINAL TALLY SOON....I think it will be a monster day!!
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Posted: #233
Day......16 - 11  (+14 Units ....doubling up worked the way I wanted it to but its dangerous so tread lightly if you tailed....had a monster football season so trying to carry over my strategies here as we get into the final quarter of the season...which is where I pressed last NCAAF season and it paid well....same here but selective on presses)

Season so far =   (141 - 119 - 8)......54.2%

( +11 Units...starting to hit some of these big ones to stay afloat  
)
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #234
Aggressive and active 'cappin, Thirst. You play a lot of action like I do around this time. Congrats on grinding out a very good day.
 
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Posted: #235
Great day, Thirst! Definitely tailed you on a few plays, and they were spot on. Enjoy your weekend!
 
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Posted: #236
Good night fellas.......Boss/Donn.....it was a good day, but keep the compass pointed forward. I know I was pressing a little today, but thats because I got some great lines on a  busy day. The Green Bay line was awesome......so too was San DIego, Miss St. (how does a 13-1 hr only be -1.5?) and Nebraska which came out of my 5 yr playbook.

Duke and Oklahoma really hurt.....surprising, but the Duke game to watch was unbelievable!!!

 I am glad you could make some cake. I am only hoping to offer my observations and pattern analysis. I have a playbook from over the past 5 years of some tendencies. This year is confounding me on occasion when I see a strong team win a couple to a few strong games in a row.....they rarely keep it going this year. 

Lets see what tomorrow brings. Cheers.....
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #237
A glance of the lines shows some promise on Sunday:

Great home teams (and especially on Sunday) getting good lines:

Traditionally strong homecourts, no matter the competition:

SMU

Marquette.....key guard might be out....played only 21 min the other day vs Xavier......PG for Villanova is not playing so this one is a saw.....lots a size with Villanova makes the role of the backup PG a lot easier

Indiana
Indiana St. 
Wright St.....key guard may miss game
Temple

USC.......Cal key guard is questionable for disciplinary action....doubt he plays because he played last week....but very key forward for USC is questionable...played only 15 min last game

Maryland

Road Warriors....this year

Clemson.....lost a key senior forward and one of the best players/leaders on their team

Seton Hall
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Posted: #238
Leans:

St. Bonnaventure -12
Marquette line Under when its released
Indiana St....fishing for better line?....Bradley is not good on the road and IS is a home beast every year despite their record.


Playing:

Michigan St. -5.5  (2U)
....destroyed them in MD last yr and with a weaker team....I think MSU is poised for a run now that they got their wonkiness out of the way

East Carolina +21.5 (2U)...2pm game
...SMU missing a guard and just not scoring over 85 which I think is the number they need to get their cover

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Posted: #239
Sunday Totals:- don't play double if win first leg unless stated


Villa/Marq Under 161.5 (2U)...double up is in effect.....double up on Indiana St. .4.5.....4(U) if the 1st half total is higher  than 78 pts

If under 78 pts.....no double and playing Indiana St. -4.5 (2U)

Purdue Over 143 (1U)....double up is in effect...on USC Over148 for (2U)


Oakland OVER148 (1U)
Temple Under 131 (U)

BOL 




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Posted: #240
Villa/Marq Under 161.5 (2U)  gonna seal the deal!...double up is in effect.....

double up on Indiana St. .4.5.....4(U)....its also my Streak Survivor pick so I am feeling confident.....have a look at Bradley's losses by (most by 10-20 pts)
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Posted: #241
Do I think Indiana St. will win but not cover? Yes......

3U ....Indiana St. -4 second half
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Posted: #242
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

Do I think Indiana St. will win but not cover? Yes......

3U ....Indiana St. -4 second half

Cmon.....ride that sucka home ....yee haw
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Posted: #243
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:


Cmon.....ride that sucka home ....yee haw

Sorry if you tailed.....I distracted the pony!.....we were charging up by 6 with 7 min left and then the other horse woke up!.....down by 6 with 2 min to go....WTF?
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Posted: #244
1-7  today....1 pending....expensive day too......ouch  -13 Units
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Posted: #245
Monday: Play #1 -double up in effect.....will announce later

East Tenn St. Under 164.5 (2U)....I am finding it a hard decision to take the cover on spread or total....I see an East Tenn team that does not take a break on defense, even against a team that seems to be in form on offense of late. East Tenn will score easy but the discouragement of not scoring on East Tenn by Citadel will mean a low scoring second half in my opinion which I most likely going to play

Play with caution .....after a redhot Sat, I got schooled on Sunday and my total plays are not better than 50% 

BOL 
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Posted: #246
East Tenn is up to 166!! WOW....nice little bonus for me but I am concerned since I am only hitting about 33% of my total plays when the line moves away from my bias
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Posted: #247
Doesn't look like I will need a double on the Under East Tenn....

other plays: 1U

Under Duke 150
Under Monmouth  155
Iona    -3
Nebraska  +4

Wofford  -11 (2U).....DOUBLE UP on Kansas -1.5 who have been deadly on the road!!  4U if the Terriers lose and 2U if Terriers win

bol
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Posted: #248
3-4 on the night but the double up did its work....+2 Units profit
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Posted: #249
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

3-4 on the night but the double up did its work....+2 Units profit

Not a bad night, Thirst. Tailed you on Kansas, and took Nebraska ML because I really liked that matchup. Those and the Celtics win made up for my terrible day yesterday haha.

Tons of games tomorrow, looking forward to it!
 
 
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