NCAAB - LAST's Non- Con Plays

Midweek update on overall record:

RECORD Overall:

Sides = 11 - 6    (Bigger bets 4 - 0)

Totals = 0 - 3     (Bigger bets 0 - 1)

Teaser = 0 - 2

In - game = 1 - 0

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Total Profit/Loss Units = +6 Units ($300)

My Plays of the Day Thursday:

Creighton -18.5 x 2U

Creighton Over 140.5 x 1U 

-Creighton scoring over 90 per game and rated preseason Top 10

-UCRiverside has scored over 80 pts and is rated around #195 pre and have not faced this strong of competition 

-having an electric CHARTING STAT so far with this game lining up with my 2 most significant ATS winning formulas!!

TOP 25 Teams are 15 - 2 ATS with a closing spread between -10 to -19.5 and .....Top 25 teams are a sizzling 9 - 4 ATS vs teams ranked 150th - 200th so far this season when playing at home (TOP 10 pre season teams are 4 - 1)

Play #2 Side > TCU -19.5 x HALF U (watching line ....I do not want it to go to -20 or higher, won't mind if I get better price) >> will be laying this close to game time

The ABOVE play should be KANSAS ST. -19.5 >>> but no longer playing this one

Late game > Washington -8 x HALF U lines up very well with one of my trends, but gonna be cautious vs a good Cal Baptist team with some talent

Thanks, I am only gonna play trends in my chart with the Top 100....sort of have already but now I will be disciplined with what to fade and what to buy

BUY Material today are:

Creighton

Washington

San Diego

Kansas St

Fade material today are: >> I tend to only use these in parlays 

Minny

Miss St

Butler

Utah

LSU

VCU

Probably gonna sit out today .... and just get ready for tomorrow. Too many neutral court games

Lean Indiana - pts so far.....

The Baylor - Virginia matchup is intriguing.....Virginia collapses inside lane and susceptible to 3 pt and it shows in the stats.....Baylor could open that up with their good 3pt play and ability to get inside with crisp passing and cuts when Cavs defense commits outside

Lean Baylor in that one....

For what its worth....TOP 10 teams are 5 - 1 ATS at home vs ranked 150 - 199st teams

KANSAS falls into this category today....but, with a spread at that number, Top 50 teams are only hitting 13 - 17 ATS and Top 10 teams specifically are 4 - 6 ATS with that number between -20 to -25

Oklahoma at -10.5 is a good number with teams going 5 - 2 ATS ranked 26 - 50th vs teams ranked 150 - 199

Will look at late games later...

Found something that fits into two strong specific trends at a high %

Play #1 - UCONN -18.5 x 1 U 

ranks #11 - 25 pre-season are 10 -2 ATS at home with a point spread between -10 and -19.5  and further, they are 5 - 3 ATS vs teams ranked 150 - 199

..looks like my only play today

Nice 3 pter at the buzzer for a 12 pt first half lead for UCONN!

Very sweet win demonstrating trend is your friend and hard work pays (charting to uncover best % trends)

- because the Non- Conf schedule is short, I will soon start SINGLE, DOUBLE, QUAD Unit betting, assuming 3 in row will not kill the trend and if it does, its a sign to leave the trend alone and re-jig your rankings or find another trend

RECORD Overall after tonight:

Sides = 13 - 7    (Bigger bets 5 - 0)

Totals = 0 - 4     (Bigger bets 0 - 1)

Teaser = 0 - 2

In - game = 1 - 0

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Total Profit/Loss Units = +7.5 Units ($375)

I don't see anything worthy to bet today, JUST for some action.....

I will look for Sunday, later tonight

I did take parlay bets with Butler -19.5 but nothing official on here.....parlays with TCU ml and then a bunch of plays both NCAAF and NCAAB at $10 a shot....looking good for 7 of 10 plays 

Top 10 UNC (22nd BPI) vs #172 pre-season James Mad (81st BPI)

-no covers for UNC yet

-Top 50 teams pre-season are 9 - 6 ATS with -10 to -14.5 spread

- specifically though, Top 10 teams are 6 - 1 ATS with a spread from -10 to -19.5 and TOP 25 pre-season teams are 17 - 3 with a spread in that range !

-Top 10 teams pre-season are 5 - 1 ATS vs teams ranked 150 - 199 pre-season...and TOP 25 are 12 - 5 ATS 

If you think UNC is a TOP 25 team >> take them! I will. PLAY #1 UNC -11.5 x 1U

I want to bet Houston but the spreadsheet says lay off this number, unless it dipped under -5 .......

Take points with KENTUCKY >> Play #2 Kentucky +4 x 1U 

Lean Michigan -14.5 now ....very good trend wise  > PLAY #3 x HALF U

11 - 2 ATS for pre-season ranks 11 - 25 with this spread level and 7 - 4 ATS vs teams ranked 150th - 199th ...very much like the UNC game right now except they are TOP 10 so the ATS record is even stronger

Teaser 5 pt > Quarter U each ($15) pays +110 = $16 gain per correct - loss -$15 per:

Alabama St +26.5 with Charleston +10.5 with:

All selections are on best trends + adding pts

1. Miami +6

2. UMASS +6 

3. Providence +7.5

4. Loy Mary +11

5. DePaul +12.5

6. Loy Chic +10

7. Baylor +2.5

8. Mia Oh +32.5

9. Wyoming +10.5

10 Col St +10

11. Boise +7

12. Oregon +12

 plays were made between 12:40 - 1 pm

Pitt > pre -season rank #99 vs #335 Alabama St

-serious fade material here since teams that are ranked 81st - 100th are only 2 - 2 ATS with a spread in the -20's but a staggering 1 - 7 ATS vs teams ranked > 300th!

Seton Hall -18.5 or under -20 is a decent play......evaluating taking it perhaps

-Teams in the Top 50 pre-season having a home line of -15 to -19.5 are > 22 - 8 ATS  (but 4 have lost outright)

-also, teams ranked 26 - 50th are around .500 avg both with a spread between -10 and -19.5 and vs teams ranked 250 - 299th

some winning margin plays with VTECH@Charleston

$20@ VTECH winning by -10 to -13 @+600

$10 VTECH winning by 3 - 6 pts = +450

Teaser KEYS solidified!! 

Alabama St +26.5  with Charleston +10.5  with:  <<<< did not even need the +5 pts

All selections are on best trends + adding pts

-$30 for exotics

1. Miami +6    NO

2. UMASS +6  $16 ...exotics paid

3. Providence +7.5  $16

4. Loy Mary +11  $16 

5. DePaul +12.5  $16 ....1 / 2 of TEASER buys now paid

6. Loy Chic +10    NO

7. Baylor +2.5  $16

8. Mia Oh +32.5  $16

9. Wyoming +10.5 $16 ...up a small profit now

10 Col St +10    NO

11. Boise +7  

12. Oregon +12

Will update later....going out for dinner

1 - 2 on Sides 

9 - 3 on system Teasers >  for a small profit gain overall

Will have some system picks later when I check things out