The only thing I see so far, is a fade of IOWA -30.5 vs the #297 pre-season Omaha team because.....
Teams ranks 26th - 50th vs teams ranked 250 - 300 and over 300th are 15 - 20 ATS and with a spread of -30 or higher, are 1 - 3 ATS
I don't love it which is why I may lay off today unless I see something hit a trend
Tuesday Total Play + Side:
Sam Houston UNDER 127 x 1U
-N. Illinois rarely gets their total above 60 pts with their style of play and SH has a very strong defense
-I expect SH to relish this kind of basketball and methodically score hoops and keep NIU from their lead
-I would press more on this, but, wish to improve my TOTALS record firstly
Sam Houston -12 x HALF U > I don't believe NIU has the systems or shooters to keep this close, so I see a 65 - 52 score at best for NIU .....it could end up lower like 60 -45
Side play today:
Charleston @ home vs Kent St -2.5 x 1U
-a check of the teams K-ST has played pales in comparison to Charleston's lineup including a win over a highly ranked VTECH team
-their building is electric for home games and I have seen this team get down by 10 pts and coming storming back to take the lead in a few minutes time
Two plays so far today.....
Towson -9.5 x HALF U vs #219 pre-season rank Fairfield who has not won a game yet and has a feeble offense
-Towson is 4 - 1 ATS against all comers and just recently covered a -14.5 spread to the 277th ranked Coppin St...who likes to shoot the 3pt which tells me that Towson locked them down pretty well as they have good offense and a good defense
Maryland -23.5 on home court x Half U vs Coppin St.
-they are 5 - 0 ATS so far and have covered spreads of -17.5 to -21.5 on home court already.
-they have the type of defense that can defend the 3pt
-teams ranked in the 51-65th category like Maryland are 8 - 6 ATS vs teams ranked 250th - 299
I am only gonna play hard and fast trends now and will post the best ones with points and best situations to fade once I have finished colour coding my chart of over 600 game results....stay tuned. O - 2 TODAY. I HATE feel betting a side ....no more until I get to the CONFERENCE schedule. The money is there on trends.
YOU LIKE STATS? WELL HERE WE GO! - every game charted so far but stats mostly based on first 5 games or so
Best teams ATS in the TOP 100 (Pre-season)
* - indicates when a team smashes the line by +10 or more points
HOUSTON 6 - 0 ATS**
MARYLAND 5 - 0 ATS**
PENN ST 5 - 0 - 1 ATS*
Mississippi St. 5 - 1 ATS***
UCONN 5 - 1 ATS**
ALABAMA 4 - 1 ATS**
SETON H 4 - 1 ATS**
OLE MISS 4 - 1 ATS*
UMASS 4 - 1 ATS*
INDIANA 4 - 1 ATS*
WISCONSIN 4 - 1 ATS
TOWSON 4 - 1 ATS
Worst Teams in the Pre-Season Top 100 (dropping these out)
Louisville 0 - 6 ATS (-3) < lost 3 games outright despite being favorite
Loyola-Chic 0 - 5 ATS (-1)
Wyoming 0 - 4 ATS (-2) - played a Non D - 1 school
Florida St 1 - 5 ATS (-4) < how they were considered for Top 50 baffles me with 4 outright losses as a favorite!
Tulane 1 - 5 ATS* (-1)
Virginia T 1 - 5 ATS
Georgia 1 - 5 ATS*
Best Betting angles so far:
- BETTING TEAMS IN THE PRE-SEASON TOP 50 > playing @ home
> especially if spread between -15 to -19.5 = 24 of 32 (75%)
> when playing on the road with a spread of -4.5 to -0.5 = 61 . 7 %
Specific Rank Positions (good ATS combos)
> TOP 10 teams hit ATS at a high % when: - line is -10 to -19.5 at home = 88% success AST
> when they have a spread of -30 or higher = 70% success rate ATS
> when they play a team ranked 150th - 199th in the pre-season = 84.3 % success rate ATS
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TEAMS ranked 11th - 25th achieve high ATS success in these scenarios:
> when spread is -10 to -19.5 at home = 78.5 % success ATS
> when they play a team ranked 250th - 299th = 70 % success ATS
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Teams ranked 26th - 80th achieve high ATS success in these scenarios:
-have some success when spread at home is -10 to -19.5 = 58.5 % success ATS
- have decent success when they play a team ranked 150th to 199th at home = 60 % success ATS
Teams ranked 81st to 100th
- no successful winning combos greater than 55 %
Worst betting angles so far for TOP 100 Pre-Season teams:
-never BET + pts for a team on the road ranked 51st - 100th pre-season and getting +1 to +9.5 pts
= 12.5 % success rate ATS
-avoid BETTING spreads -20 to -29.5 = 44.5 % success ATS
-avoid BETTING teams RANKED 81st - 100th pre-season if the spread is higher than -9.5 = 40.2% ATS
- if ranked 51st to 100th, avoid taking them as favorites on the road or neutral sites for spreads -0.5 to -15
= only 44.2 % success rate / 30.8% of those games are lost outright
Pre-season Top 100 is going to be re - jigged > dropping worst ATS teams out / adding highest BPI TEAMS not in top 100
- ALSO > new Top 100 is being created based on record ATS and present ranking on Pre-season list + BPI power ranking blend so that a true reflection of the best teams are being used to gather trends....
I have a lot of work to do, but will show my TOP 100 when completed. Then it will be used to help with Conference Schedule coming up in January
Its gonna be tight for Texas....half point off with 1:30 to go
MAYBE NOT.....up by 4.5 to cover just like that!! MAN, this is my #1 team after the beating they put on ZAGA!
Sunday
I really want to bet Arizona St. -17 BUT.... teams ranked 81 -100th pre-season are only 3 - 10 ATS vs teams ranked over 300th!
Taking:
St. Louis +6.5 x Half U
-clash of styles....offense and rebounding vs defense and rebounding, so go with offense to keep it within range
Nebraska /FSU UNDER 140.5 x 1U ....note, I am 0 - 5 on my Totals theories
-FSU with a terrible start and open play is not in their best interest to climb out of a poor record....NEBRASKA very solid defensively and in half court set
- 1 - 6 ATS vs 1 - 5 ATS ..... UNDER is ripe here with too inconsistent shooting teams who both don't handle pressure
Monday: -some tough lines but I think the value is in the teaser with taking dogs
TEASER 5 PT: x HALF U each
Miss St -18.5 with Troy +22.5 with Seattle +10.5
ULM +23.5 with Troy +22.5 with Seattle +10.5
Minnesota +16.5 with Troy +22.5 with Seattle +10.5
- Vtech dawdling vs last 2 including a collapse vs UCharleston in last 8 minutes of the game
- Tulane is covering ATS weakly and has some injury issues including a player who scored 23 pts last game and now likely out
-Miss St is 5 -0 ATS but Vegas is now cranking up the home pts on teams like this and watched all weekend high ATS teams lose their covers as a result
-Troy is a fast rising team that can score on anyone
-Seattle blew away Portland in their building....Portland beat Villanova and almost Sparty (lost by 1)
Middie Teasers:
Half U > Kansas +18.5 with Troy +22.5 with Sam H +9.5 with Miss St. -18.5
Half U > Tex Sou +28.5 with Troy +22.5 with Sam H +9.5 with Miss St -18.5
-Kansas desperately needs a free-scoring game and buttkicking...look at the pressure they have been under with their schedule but, that being said, I think fading +23.5 could work
- SAM H beat UTAH in their building by 10 pts!!! Nevada won't scare them as they can play lockdown defense or score if need be
Still waiting for some results....
Miss St -18.5 
with Troy +22.5 with Seattle +10.5 ??
ULM +23.5 with Troy +22.5 with Seattle +10.5 ??
Minnesota +16.5 with Troy +22.5 with Seattle +10.5 ??
Half U > Kansas -18.5 with Troy +22.5 with Sam H +9.5 ??? with Miss St. -18.5
Half U > Tex Sou +28.5 with Troy +22.5 with Sam H +9.5 with Miss St -18.5 
Back to teaser for the first play: x HALF U each
Old Dom +11.5 with Under 153.5 with NCST -16.5
same above (minus NCST) with Maryland -7.5
same as first one (minus NCST) with UMASS +2.5
same as the first one (minus NCST) with Norfolk +30.5
Illinois -12.5 x 2U
-with their shooting on 2-3 zone/ability to break it down inside..... and defense ....this should be a throttle by over 20 pts in my view
Established in 1995,
.....finally get off the schnaid on a total
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