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Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

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Rookie
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Posted: #2826
 
Captain
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Posted: #2827
Divot your correct and i'm pulling Bradly as a no play sorry for confusion

Maryland ,,,,,,,,,,1 unit
Colorado St,,,,,,,1 unit

San Jose for 10 units

what also interests me is these 3-0 teams as i had a math error(28 covers into 79 streaks) is a 35% to not cover ratio and not 55 % as posted thus it appears as most 3-0 win streak teams will cover today at 65%
Incorrect post error
3-0 to stop (1-23-14) 140-86 cur record 168-137 = 28-51= 55% to not cover is not correct

Going to add
Louisville due to they are playing 0-3 S Fla
NC St since they are playing  0-2 Clemson
due to 65% cover ratio and would not surprise me all 3-0's cover today but even at 65% is not great so will play for i unit each





 
Captain
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Posted: #2828
4-0 streaks are 7-8 since 2/8/14 i believe and balanced out recently so why i'm backing off 4-0's for a few days until i see a better % return
 
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Posted: #2829
Waiting on Wofford on 2/20 for a 10 unit play to not cover

7-0 to stop (1-8-14) 3-5 cur record  7-6 =  4-1 = 75% to not cover

our next large play 
 
Captain
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Posted: #2830
 can't wait for MLB 
 
Captain
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Posted: #2831
Last week of ST going into 2013 season


FYI
all ST records as of 3/20 to close of ST in 2013
                                                              (RF-RA)  ST season run totals
Ariz            4-4 ending at 0-2           (128-156)
Atla            3-3 ending    1-0            (146-144)
Cubs        2-3-1 ending on a push ( 95-121)
colorado  4-2 ending on  0-2          (132-106)
Marlins     3-5 ending on a 0-1        (136 127)
Lad            2-6 ending on a 1-0       (128-145)
Milw           1-4 ending on a 0-1       (73-99)
Mets          6-2 ending on a 1-0        (135-115)
Phil            5-4 ending on a 0-1       (143-160)
Pitt          2-5-1 ending on a 1-0       (109-144)
S/D           2-5 ending on a 0-1         (125-109)
S/F            5-3 ending on a 0-1         (134-143)
S/L           4-3 ending on a 0-1          (145-136)
Nats         2-5 ending on a 1-0         (124-138)


 
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Posted: #2832
Balt       3-3-2 ending on a Push     (117-117)
Bost         3-6 ending on a 0-1          (123-121)
Chw      3-4-1 ending on a 2-0         (133-139)
Clev          2-8 ending on a 0-6         (168-180)
Det            4-3 ending on a 1-0         (142-118)
K/C            8-0 ending on a 8-0         (183-96)
Laa            3-5 ending on a 0-1        (145-157)
Minn          6-3 ending on a 1-0         (152-123)
Nyy         3-4-1 ending on a 0-1         (113-120)
Oak        7-0-1 ending on a 0-1         (127-119)
Seat           4-3 ending on a 2-0         (159-128)
T/B         1-6-1 ending on a 0-1      (119-128)
TX              4-3 ending on a 1-0       (199-130)
Tor             6-3 ending on a 1-0       (133-135)

Visit me at my MLB Thread

Gonna win a lot of Money in ST 

 
Captain
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Posted: #2833
Funny thing Cleve closes out ST on a 0-6 loss streak and they win their 1st game Masterson vs Dickey 4-1
____________________________________________________
Royals with the 8-0 win streak into season Lost their 1st game 1-0 Shields vs Chw  Sale
 
Captain
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Posted: #2834
went back into year 2011 to match this years records comparison

Loss Streaks to cover at Close YEAR 2011
Losing streak Teams with a Cover Streak

0-12 to cover ( 0-0)
0-11 to cover ( 2-0) exactly the same as this year 2014
0-10 to cover ( 1-2)
0-9 to cover,,,( 3-3) 
0-8 to cover ,,( 7-6)
0-7 to cover ,,(14-13)
0-6 to cover,,,(19-27) 
0-5 to cover,,,(40-46),
0-4,to cover,,,(94-86),
0-3 to cover,,,(188-180)
___________________________________________________________________________________
 Win Streaks to stop(not Cover)

10-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not Cover,,,,,,( 0-0 )
9-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 0-0 ) 
8-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 1-0 )
7-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 11-1 ) outstanding ,Just 4-6 this year
6-0 win streaks ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 28-12) 
5-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 43-40)  
4-0 win streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 108-83)
3-0 win Streaks,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 188-191
 
Captain
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Posted: #2835
Streaks for year 2011 at close vs this year 2014

10-0 win streaks,,,to not Cover,,,,,,( 0-0 ),,, 2014 to date
9-0 win streaks,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 0-0 ),,,,,,,,3-0 
8-0 win streaks,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 1-0 ),,,,,,,,3-3
7-0 win streaks,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 11-1 ),,,,,,,7-6
6-0 win streaks ,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 28-12),,,,,18-14 
5-0 win streaks,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 43-40),,,,,23-34  
4-0 win streaks,,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 108-83),,,,69-61
3-0 win Streaks,,,to not cover,,,,,,,( 188-191,,168-137
_______________________________________________________
Loss Streaks records 2011 vs 2014
0-12 to cover ( 0-0)
0-11 to cover ( 2-0),,,,,,,,,,,,,2-0 
0-10 to cover ( 1-2),,,,,,,,,,,, 0-2
0-9 to cover,,,( 3-3),,,,,,,,,,,,,0-2 
0-8 to cover ,,( 7-6),,,,,,,,,,,,,2-2
0-7 to cover ,,(14-13),,,,,,,,,12-4 looking very good
0-6 to cover,,,(19-27),,,,,,,,18-17 
0-5 to cover,,,(40-46),,,,,,,,35-40
0-4,to cover,,,(94-86),,,,,,,,74-78
0-3 to cover,,,(188-180),,,125-153
_______________________
 
Veteran
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Posted: #2836
Stevie thanks for all your work. I went back and read a lot if the thread but can you tell me approx how many units up you are for the season? I'm impressed, thanks
 
Captain
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Posted: #2837
6-0 Fresno is 17-14 to not cover  and over the last week or so is 2-4 they  will cover  also so passing this play
Cancelling this play  as read it wrong
 
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Posted: #2838

yea sjst nice nite stevo ,

0-4 lsu, cin, kent,and monm 68% to not cover

0-5 akr 60% to not cover

0-6 jmu 89% to cover

these are my # we will wait for stevo to verify. gl all and good nite

 
Captain
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Posted: #2839
fresno covers although passed (2-4 ) to cover 

3-0 streaks are 4-2 to cover 
Maryland beats up 0-5 wake
Louisville beats up S Fla
T Tech wins over Kansas but did not like that play and passed
Detroit covers but passed


our 10 unit play Jose St to cover,,,,,,,Wins SU 


 
Captain
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Posted: #2840
quone
 i'm up a lot but i don't divulge my winnings as this is a public forum and i do not need some one knocking on my door and i do have my  phone out there in forum although i am not worried but not a good policy

Follow the thread and make your own conclusion's as its all there for all to review,,,,,,,,,,,


 
Captain
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Posted: #2841
Morn guys well we hit our large play San Jose St without the need of the +13.5
and wish i had stayed with Fresno but that happens when you are reviewing plays and work at it for too long but overall a good day and only 7 days to PLAY BALL. my best money maker $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

3-0 win streaks did very well going 4-2 although i was looking for a sweep due to records but knew that was asking a lot

0-3's went 1-1 (15-33) in last week (37-56) overall
0-4's went 0-1 (8-8) in last week (70-62)    overall
0-5's went 1-1 (16-14) in last week (36-41) overall
_____________
3-0's went 4-2 (15-33) in last week (170-140) overall
4-0's went 1-1 (8-8) in last week (70-62) overall
6-0 went 1-0 (3-5) in last week (18-15) overall

Guys don't hold me to be exact on all these totals as have not proof read but most are correct just to give you an idea where things are going and will await Divot to confirm or anyone involved in this mess

 
Captain
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Posted: #2842
i can already see my 0-3 record is wrong as posted the 3-0 record in there but will correct later today

whats more important is whats on the agenda for today as yesterday is Past

0-3 we have
COFC Charlston ???
N/W
Van
Peay
______________
0-4
Cinn
Kent
Lsu
Monm
_____________
0-5
Akron
__________
0-6
Madison our next big play to cover
Recently at 8-1 to cover is a 10 unit play
Divot please confirm or anyone keeping records
_________
Note
We have loyla Marymount at 0-6 tomorrow as could be a nice 2 Teamer into tomorrow since i will be on them to cover
for 10 units regardless of what happens today
___________________________________________
3-0,, went 4-2 yesterday,expect the same % today
Drexel
Oregon
Minn
Ucla
That's it for streaks today


 
Captain
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Posted: #2843
Since drexel is playing Madison i already see one no cover in 3-0 win streaks,so we can cancel them out of the group as a winner
 
Prospect
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Posts: 236
Posted: #2844

gm all, off to golf course but will put up what i have on records, we are close stevo

0-3 (23-31)  since 2/5

0-4 (11-21)  since 2/5

0-5 (10-15)  since 2/5

0-6 (7-2)     since 2/5

later

 

 
Captain
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Posted: #2845
Divot get that hole in one for me

Looks like a great day for links,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

I'll be here holding down fort,,,

Was looking in NBA and we do have a play 5-0 Cleveland and record is 14-9 to not cover and with NBA that record is impressive as normally almost always, records are close to 50 % and why i never have any plays in NBA
 
Captain
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Posted: #2846
Divot i know your gone but on streaks at 0-6 i show after the close of 2/5 we had Ind Purdue go to 0-8 and not cover at 0-8 till 2/6 and more recently Okie St not  cover until 2/15 and now are awaiting play on 2/22 at 0-7 thus they are the only 2 Teams that advanced to 0-6 or past 0-6 after 2/5/14 yes we have 2 others but they went to 0-11 but much earlier in year and for year we do have 4 teams total that have advanced higher and that is why the 0-8 streak record stands at 1-2 for season but just 1-0 after the date of 2/5

The  0-6 teams that covered after the close of 2/5 were 
Montana St 2/8
Oakland 2/9
N Ariz 2/13
Ole Dom 2/13
cal poly 2/13
N Colorado 2/15
S Alab 2/15
San Jose St 2/17

This is what i have thus the record of 0-6 teams to cover after 2/5 is 8-2
and not 8-1 as i had but still pretty damnnn good at 80% and why i'm willing to lay 10 units on 0-6 Madison to cover as i did Jose St yesterday and will do tomorrow on loy mary mt 
 
Captain
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Posted: #2847
will someone not agree with me that after reviewing 0-6 streak records the 0-6 records should not be 8-1 after 2/5/14 and not 8-2 although not a big difference but for argument sake on 2/5/14 Indiana Pur were already way past 0-6 as they were at 0-8 when covered on 2/6
so 0-6 streak records to cover after 2/5 was 8-1 and not 8 -2

I believe i am correct but would like confirmation as that % would rise even higher to 89% cover ratio
 
Rookie
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Posted: #2848
Nice hit last night bro!
 
Captain
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Posted: #2849
NP Tango,,,

went back into my history and put the last 4 years loss streak records together for future and also if any one should have an interest in past and if do cut out and save and add to 2014 for next years review

2009/2010 Loss streaks to cover
 
 0-14 streak   1-0 Tenn Martin last to cover 2/04/10
 0-13 streak    0-1
 0-12 streak    0-1
 0-11 streak    0-1
 0-10 streak    0-1        
 0-9 streak     2-1 Rutgers      last to cover 1/30/10
 0-8 streak     1-3 Texas        last to cover 2/01/10
 0-7 streak     1-4 Stanford     last to cover 1/09/10
 0-6 streak      9-5 Boise        last to cover 1/25/10
 0-5 streak   27-14 EMU          last to cover  2/01/10
 0-4 streak   52-41 EKU          last to cover 1/31/10
________________________________________________________
Loss Streaks to cover at Close YEAR 2011
Losing streak Teams with a Cover Streak

0-12 to cover ( 0-0)
0-11 to cover ( 2-0) exactly the same as this year 2014
0-10 to cover ( 1-2)
0-9 to cover,,,( 3-3) 
0-8 to cover ,,( 7-6)
0-7 to cover ,,(14-13)
0-6 to cover,,,(19-27) 
0-5 to cover,,,(40-46),
0-4,to cover,,,(94-86),
0-3 to cover,,,(188-180)
______________________________________
Streak records as of  close of 01/23/12

Losing Teams with a ATS cover Streak
0-13 to cover ( 1-0)
0-12 to cover ( 0-0)
0-11 to cover ( 0-0)
0-10 to cover ( 0-1)
0-9 to cover,,,( 1-1) 
0-8 to cover ,,( 2-2)
0-7 to cover ,,( 8-4)
0-6 to cover,,,(12-12) 
0-5 to cover,,,(22-24)
0-4,to cover,,,(44-46), 8 Pending
0-3 to cover,,,(121-98) 24 Pending

 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #2850
10 unit play on James Madison tonight? congrats on the big hit last night!
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